Central Bank
| Economic Indicators | Trend | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count (Feb/27) | 407 | 409 | — | |||
| EIA Refinery Crude Runs Change (Feb/20) | -0.416 | 0.077 | — | |||
| EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (Feb/20) | 15.989 | -9.014 | — |
| EIA Crude Oil Imports Change (Feb/20) | 0.412 | -1.132 | — |
| EIA Gasoline Stocks Change (Feb/20) | -1.011 | -3.213 | — |
| EIA Gasoline Production Change (Feb/20) | -0.223 | 0.29 | — |
| EIA Heating Oil Stocks Change (Feb/20) | -0.119 | 0.362 | — |
| EIA Cushing Crude Oil Stocks Change (Feb/20) | 0.881 | -1.095 | — |
| API Crude Oil Stock Change (Feb/20) | 11.4 | -0.609 | — |
| Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count (Feb/20) | 409 | 409 | — |
| EIA Crude Oil Imports Change (Feb/13) | -1.132 | 0.912 | — |
| EIA Cushing Crude Oil Stocks Change (Feb/13) | -1.095 | 1.071 | — |
| EIA Refinery Crude Runs Change (Feb/13) | 0.077 | -0.029 | — |
| EIA Heating Oil Stocks Change (Feb/13) | 0.362 | 0.202 | — |
| EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (Feb/13) | -9.014 | 8.53 | — |
| EIA Gasoline Production Change (Feb/13) | 0.29 | 0.139 | — |
| EIA Gasoline Stocks Change (Feb/13) | -3.213 | 1.16 | — |
| API Crude Oil Stock Change (Feb/13) | -0.609 | 13.4 | — |
| Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count (Feb/13) | 409 | 412 | — |
| EIA Refinery Crude Runs Change (Feb/06) | -0.029 | -0.18 | — |
| EIA Heating Oil Stocks Change (Feb/06) | 0.202 | -0.16 | — |
| EIA Gasoline Stocks Change (Feb/06) | 1.16 | 0.685 | — |
| EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (Feb/06) | 8.53 | -3.455 | — |
| EIA Crude Oil Imports Change (Feb/06) | 0.912 | 1.101 | — |
| EIA Cushing Crude Oil Stocks Change (Feb/06) | 1.071 | -0.743 | — |
| EIA Gasoline Production Change (Feb/06) | 0.139 | -0.565 | — |
| API Crude Oil Stock Change (Feb/06) | 13.4 | -11.1 | — |
| Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count (Feb/06) | 412 | 411 | — |
| EIA Refinery Crude Runs Change (Jan/30) | -0.18 | -0.395 | — |
| EIA Gasoline Stocks Change (Jan/30) | 0.685 | — | — |
| EIA Gasoline Production Change (Jan/30) | -0.565 | 0.791 | — |
| EIA Cushing Crude Oil Stocks Change (Jan/30) | -0.743 | -0.278 | — |
| EIA Crude Oil Imports Change (Jan/30) | 1.101 | -1.706 | — |
| EIA Heating Oil Stocks Change (Jan/30) | -0.16 | 0.026 | — |
| EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (Jan/30) | -3.455 | — | — |
| API Crude Oil Stock Change (Jan/30) | -11.1 | — | — |
| Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count (Jan/30) | 411 | 411 | — |
| EIA Refinery Crude Runs Change (Jan/23) | -0.395 | -0.354 | — |
| EIA Heating Oil Stocks Change (Jan/23) | 0.026 | 0.279 | — |
| EIA Gasoline Stocks Change (Jan/23) | 0.224 | 5.977 | — |
| EIA Cushing Crude Oil Stocks Change (Jan/23) | -0.278 | 1.478 | — |
| EIA Crude Oil Imports Change (Jan/23) | -1.706 | -0.027 | — |
| EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (Jan/23) | -2.296 | 3.602 | — |
| EIA Gasoline Production Change (Jan/23) | 0.791 | -0.246 | — |
| API Crude Oil Stock Change (Jan/23) | -0.25 | 3.04 | — |
| Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count (Jan/23) | 411 | 410 | — |
| EIA Refinery Crude Runs Change (Jan/16) | -0.354 | 0.049 | — |
| EIA Heating Oil Stocks Change (Jan/16) | 0.279 | -0.745 | — |
| EIA Gasoline Stocks Change (Jan/16) | 5.977 | 8.977 | — |
| EIA Gasoline Production Change (Jan/16) | -0.246 | 0.029 | — |
| EIA Cushing Crude Oil Stocks Change (Jan/16) | 1.478 | 0.745 | — |
| EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (Jan/16) | 3.602 | 3.391 | — |
| EIA Crude Oil Imports Change (Jan/16) | -0.027 | 0.71 | — |
| API Crude Oil Stock Change (Jan/16) | 3.04 | 5.27 | — |
| Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count (Jan/16) | 410 | 409 | — |
| EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change (Jan/09) | -71 | -119 | -90 | Beat Expectations |
| EIA Refinery Crude Runs Change (Jan/09) | 0.049 | 0.062 | — |
| EIA Heating Oil Stocks Change (Jan/09) | -0.745 | 0.672 | — |
| EIA Gasoline Stocks Change (Jan/09) | 8.977 | 7.702 | 4 | Beat Expectations |
| EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (Jan/09) | 3.391 | -3.831 | -2.2 | Beat Expectations |
| EIA Crude Oil Imports Change (Jan/09) | 0.71 | 0.563 | — |
| EIA Gasoline Production Change (Jan/09) | 0.029 | -0.472 | — |
| EIA Cushing Crude Oil Stocks Change (Jan/09) | 0.745 | 0.728 | — |
| API Crude Oil Stock Change (Jan/09) | 5.27 | -2.8 | -2 | Beat Expectations |
| Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count (Jan/09) | 409 | 412 | — |
| EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change (Jan/02) | -119 | -38 | -114 | Missed Expectations |
| EIA Refinery Crude Runs Change (Jan/02) | 0.062 | 0.071 | — |
| EIA Gasoline Stocks Change (Jan/02) | 7.702 | 5.845 | 2.9 | Beat Expectations |
| EIA Gasoline Production Change (Jan/02) | -0.472 | -0.352 | — |
| EIA Cushing Crude Oil Stocks Change (Jan/02) | 0.728 | 0.543 | — |
| EIA Heating Oil Stocks Change (Jan/02) | 0.672 | 0.134 | — |
| EIA Crude Oil Imports Change (Jan/02) | 0.563 | -0.957 | — |
| EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (Jan/02) | -3.831 | -1.934 | 1.1 | Missed Expectations |
| API Crude Oil Stock Change (Jan/02) | -2.8 | 1.7 | 1.2 | Missed Expectations |
| EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change (Dec/26) | -38 | -166 | -53 | Beat Expectations |
| EIA Gasoline Production Change (Dec/26) | -0.352 | 0.215 | — |
| EIA Gasoline Stocks Change (Dec/26) | 5.845 | 2.862 | 1.9 | Beat Expectations |
| EIA Cushing Crude Oil Stocks Change (Dec/26) | 0.543 | 0.707 | — |
| EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (Dec/26) | -1.934 | 0.405 | -0.9 | Missed Expectations |
| EIA Crude Oil Imports Change (Dec/26) | -0.957 | 0.609 | — |
| EIA Heating Oil Stocks Change (Dec/26) | 0.134 | -0.399 | — |
| EIA Refinery Crude Runs Change (Dec/26) | 0.071 | -0.212 | — |
| API Crude Oil Stock Change (Dec/26) | 1.7 | 2.4 | — |
| Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count (Dec/30) | 412 | 409 | — |
| EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change (Dec/19) | -166 | -167 | -168 | Beat Expectations |
| EIA Gasoline Stocks Change (Dec/19) | 2.862 | 4.808 | 1.1 | Beat Expectations |
| EIA Gasoline Production Change (Dec/19) | 0.215 | 0.033 | — |
| EIA Cushing Crude Oil Stocks Change (Dec/19) | 0.707 | -0.742 | — |
| EIA Refinery Crude Runs Change (Dec/19) | -0.212 | 0.128 | — |
| EIA Heating Oil Stocks Change (Dec/19) | -0.399 | 0.267 | — |
| EIA Crude Oil Imports Change (Dec/19) | 0.609 | -0.719 | — |
| EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (Dec/19) | 0.405 | -1.274 | -2.4 | Beat Expectations |
| Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count (Dec/26) | 409 | 406 | — |
| API Crude Oil Stock Change (Dec/19) | 2.4 | -9.3 | — |
| Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count (Dec/19) | 406 | 414 | — |
| EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change (Dec/12) | -167 | -177 | -169 | Beat Expectations |
| EIA Refinery Crude Runs Change (Dec/12) | 0.128 | -0.016 | — |
| EIA Heating Oil Stocks Change (Dec/12) | 0.267 | 0.442 | — |
| EIA Gasoline Stocks Change (Dec/12) | 4.808 | 6.397 | 2.1 | Beat Expectations |
| EIA Gasoline Production Change (Dec/12) | 0.033 | -0.178 | — |
| EIA Cushing Crude Oil Stocks Change (Dec/12) | -0.742 | 0.308 | — |
| EIA Crude Oil Imports Change (Dec/12) | -0.719 | 0.212 | — |
| EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (Dec/12) | -1.274 | -1.812 | -1.1 | Missed Expectations |
| API Crude Oil Stock Change (Dec/12) | -9.3 | -4.8 | -2.2 | Missed Expectations |
| Economic Indicators | Trend | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q1) | 3 | 3.1 | 3.1 | Missed Expectations | ||
| GDP Price Index QoQ (Q4) | 3.7 | 3.7 | 3.6 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Gross Domestic Product QoQ (Q4) | 1.4 | 4.4 | 2.8 | Missed Expectations | ||
| GDP Growth Rate QoQ (Q4) | 1.4 | 4.4 | 3.5 | Missed Expectations | ||
| GDP Sales QoQ (Q4) | 1.2 | 4.5 | 4.1 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q4) | 3 | 3.6 | 3.6 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Gross Domestic Product QoQ (Q3) | 4.4 | 3.8 | 4.3 | Beat Expectations | ||
| GDP Growth Rate QoQ (Q3) | 4.4 | 3.8 | 4.3 | Beat Expectations | ||
| GDP Sales QoQ (Q3) | 4.5 | 7.5 | 4.6 | Missed Expectations | ||
| GDP Price Index QoQ (Q3) | 3.7 | 2.1 | 3.7 | In Line |
| Economic Indicators | Trend | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Construction Spending MoM (Dec) | 0.3 | -0.2 | 0.2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Construction Spending MoM (Nov) | -0.2 | 0.5 | -0.1 | Missed Expectations | ||
| S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price YoY (Dec) | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | In Line | ||
| S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price MoM (Dec) | -0.1 | 0 | -0.1 | In Line | ||
| New Home Sales (Dec) | -1.7 | 15.5 | -2.8 | Beat Expectations | ||
| New Home Sales (Nov) | 15.5 | 737 | -3.7 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Building Permits (Dec) | 4.8 | -1.6 | 4.3 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Building Permits (Nov) | -1.6 | -0.3 | -1.6 | In Line | ||
| Pending Home Sales MoM (Jan) | -0.8 | -7.4 | 6.5 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Pending Home Sales YoY (Jan) | -0.4 | -3 | 2.4 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Housing Starts (Nov) | 1.322 | 1.246 | 1.27 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Housing Starts (Dec) | 1.404 | 1.322 | 1.29 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Housing Starts MoM (Dec) | 6.2 | 3.9 | -4.4 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Housing Starts MoM (Nov) | 3.9 | -4.6 | 1.9 | Beat Expectations | ||
| NAHB Housing Market Index (Feb) | 36 | 37 | 41 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Existing Home Sales (Jan) | 3.91 | 4.27 | 4.2 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Existing Home Sales MoM | -8.4 | 4.4 | -3.4 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Total Household Debt (Q4) | 18.8 | 18.59 | — | |||
| S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price MoM (Nov) | 0 | -0.3 | -0.2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price YoY (Nov) | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Pending Home Sales YoY (Dec) | -3 | 2.6 | 0.2 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Construction Spending MoM (Sep) | -0.6 | 0.2 | -0.1 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Pending Home Sales MoM (Dec) | -9.3 | 3.3 | 1.4 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Construction Spending MoM (Oct) | 0.5 | -0.6 | 0.1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| NAHB Housing Market Index (Jan) | 37 | 39 | 40 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Existing Home Sales (Dec) | 4.35 | 4.14 | 4.21 | Beat Expectations | ||
| New Home Sales (Sep) | 0.738 | 0.711 | 0.72 | Beat Expectations | ||
| New Home Sales (Oct) | 0.737 | 0.738 | 0.72 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Building Permits (Oct) | 1.411 | 1.415 | 1.412 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Housing Starts MoM (Sep) | 1.2 | -9.1 | 1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Housing Starts MoM (Oct) | -4.6 | 1.2 | 0.8 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Housing Starts (Sep) | 1.306 | 1.291 | 1.33 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Building Permits (Sep) | 6.4 | -2.3 | 0.8 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Housing Starts (Oct) | 1.246 | 1.306 | 1.33 | Missed Expectations | ||
| S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price MoM (Oct) | -0.3 | -0.5 | -0.3 | In Line | ||
| S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price YoY (Oct) | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Pending Home Sales MoM (Nov) | 3.3 | 2.4 | 1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Pending Home Sales YoY (Nov) | 2.6 | -0.4 | -0.6 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Existing Home Sales (Nov) | 4.13 | 4.11 | 4.2 | Missed Expectations |
| Economic Indicators | Trend | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago PMI (Feb) | 57.7 | 54 | 51 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index (Feb) | 10 | -2 | -1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index (Feb) | -10 | -6 | -8 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Richmond Fed Manufacturing Shipments Index (Feb) | -13 | -5 | -6 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index (Feb) | 0.2 | -1.2 | -3.5 | Beat Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash (Feb) | 51.2 | 52.4 | 51.8 | Missed Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Services PMI Flash (Feb) | 52.3 | 52.7 | 52.5 | Missed Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Composite PMI Flash (Feb) | 52.3 | 53 | 52.6 | Missed Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Services PMI (Feb) | 52.3 | 52.7 | 53 | Missed Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Feb) | 51.2 | 52.4 | 52.4 | Missed Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Composite PMI (Feb) | 52.3 | 53 | — | |||
| Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Feb) | 16.3 | 12.6 | 7 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Manufacturing Production MoM (Jan) | 0.6 | 0 | 0.7 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Industrial Production MoM (Jan) | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.5 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Manufacturing Production YoY (Jan) | 2.4 | — | 1.8 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Industrial Production YoY (Jan) | 2.3 | 1.3 | 1.9 | Beat Expectations | ||
| NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Feb) | 7.1 | 7.7 | 3 | Beat Expectations | ||
| NFIB Business Optimism Index (Jan) | 99.3 | 99.5 | 99.8 | Missed Expectations | ||
| ISM Services PMI (Jan) | 53.8 | — | 54.3 | Missed Expectations | ||
| ISM Non-Manufacturing New Orders (Jan) | 53.1 | 56.5 | 55 | Missed Expectations | ||
| ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Jan) | 53.8 | 53.8 | 53.5 | Beat Expectations | ||
| ISM Services New Orders (Jan) | 53.1 | — | 57.7 | Missed Expectations | ||
| ISM Services Business Activity (Jan) | 57.4 | — | 55.8 | Beat Expectations | ||
| ISM Services Prices (Jan) | 66.6 | — | 64 | Beat Expectations | ||
| ISM Non-Manufacturing Business Activity (Jan) | 57.4 | 55.2 | — | |||
| ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices (Jan) | 66.6 | 65.1 | 65 | Beat Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Services PMI (Jan) | 52.7 | 52.5 | 52.5 | Beat Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Composite PMI (Jan) | 53 | 52.7 | 52.8 | Beat Expectations | ||
| RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index (Feb) | 48.8 | 47.2 | 47 | Beat Expectations | ||
| IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism (Feb) | 48.8 | 47.2 | 47.9 | Beat Expectations | ||
| ISM Manufacturing PMI (Jan) | 52.6 | 47.9 | 48.2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| ISM Manufacturing Prices (Jan) | 59 | 58.5 | 59.9 | Missed Expectations | ||
| ISM Manufacturing New Orders (Jan) | 57.1 | 47.4 | 47.9 | Beat Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Jan) | 52.4 | 51.8 | 51.9 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Chicago PMI (Jan) | 54 | 42.7 | 45 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index (Jan) | -6 | -7 | -3 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Richmond Fed Manufacturing Shipments Index (Jan) | -5 | -11 | -6 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index (Jan) | -1.2 | — | -6 | Beat Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Composite PMI Flash (Jan) | 52.8 | 52.7 | 52.8 | In Line | ||
| S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash (Jan) | 51.9 | 51.8 | 52 | Missed Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Services PMI Flash (Jan) | 52.5 | 52.5 | 52.3 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index (Jan) | -2 | -3 | 5 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Manufacturing Production MoM (Dec) | 0.2 | 0.3 | -0.2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Industrial Production MoM (Dec) | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Industrial Production YoY (Dec) | 2 | 2.5 | 2.7 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Manufacturing Production YoY (Dec) | 2 | 1.9 | 2 | In Line | ||
| Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Jan) | 12.6 | -8.8 | -2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Jan) | 7.7 | -3.7 | 1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism (Jan) | 47.2 | 47.9 | 48.2 | Missed Expectations | ||
| RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index (Jan) | 47.2 | 47.9 | 48.2 | Missed Expectations | ||
| NFIB Business Optimism Index (Dec) | 99.5 | 99 | 99.5 | In Line | ||
| ISM Services Prices (Dec) | 64.3 | 65.4 | 65.5 | Missed Expectations | ||
| ISM Non-Manufacturing New Orders (Dec) | 57.9 | 52.9 | 52.6 | Beat Expectations | ||
| ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Dec) | 54.4 | 52.6 | 52.2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices (Dec) | 64.3 | 65.4 | 64.9 | Missed Expectations | ||
| ISM Services New Orders (Dec) | 57.9 | 52.9 | 52.2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| ISM Services Business Activity (Dec) | 56 | 54.5 | 54 | Beat Expectations | ||
| ISM Services PMI (Dec) | 54.4 | 52.6 | 52.3 | Beat Expectations | ||
| ISM Non-Manufacturing Business Activity (Dec) | 56 | 54.5 | — | |||
| S&P Global Services PMI (Dec) | 52.5 | 54.1 | 52.9 | Missed Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Composite PMI (Dec) | 52.7 | 54.2 | 53 | Missed Expectations | ||
| ISM Manufacturing Prices (Dec) | 58.5 | 58.5 | 59 | Missed Expectations | ||
| ISM Manufacturing PMI (Dec) | 47.9 | 48.2 | 48.3 | Missed Expectations | ||
| ISM Manufacturing New Orders (Dec) | 47.7 | 47.4 | 47.2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Dec) | 51.8 | 52.2 | 51.8 | In Line | ||
| Chicago PMI (Dec) | 43.5 | 36.3 | 39.5 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index (Dec) | -10.9 | -10.4 | -2.5 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index (Dec) | -7 | -15 | -7 | In Line | ||
| Richmond Fed Manufacturing Shipments Index (Dec) | -11 | -14 | -3 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Manufacturing Production YoY (Nov) | 1.9 | 2.1 | 0.9 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Industrial Production MoM (Oct) | -0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Industrial Production MoM (Nov) | 0.2 | -0.1 | 0 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Industrial Production YoY (Oct) | 2.2 | 1.9 | 1.1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Manufacturing Production MoM (Nov) | 0 | -0.4 | -0.1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Manufacturing Production YoY (Oct) | 2.1 | 1.8 | 1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Manufacturing Production MoM (Oct) | -0.4 | 0 | -0.2 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Industrial Production YoY (Nov) | 2.5 | 2.2 | 1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index (Dec) | -3 | 18 | 11 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Dec) | -10.2 | -1.7 | 3 | Missed Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Services PMI Flash (Dec) | 52.9 | 54.1 | 53 | Missed Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash (Dec) | 51.8 | 52.2 | 52 | Missed Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Composite PMI Flash (Dec) | 53 | 54.2 | 53.2 | Missed Expectations |
| Economic Indicators | Trend | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Producer Price Index MoM (Jan) | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | Beat Expectations | ||
| PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade YoY (Jan) | 3.4 | 3.5 | 3.4 | In Line | ||
| Producer Price Index YoY (Jan) | 2.9 | 3 | 2.9 | In Line | ||
| Core PPI MoM (Jan) | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Producer Price Index (Jan) | 152.174 | — | 151.9 | Beat Expectations | ||
| PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade MoM (Jan) | 0.3 | — | 0.1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Core PPI YoY (Jan) | 3.6 | 3.3 | 3.3 | Beat Expectations | ||
| House Price Index YoY (Dec) | 1.8 | 2.1 | 1.8 | In Line | ||
| House Price Index (Dec) | 440.4 | 439.7 | 443.6 | Missed Expectations | ||
| House Price Index MoM (Dec) | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.4 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations (Feb) | 3.3 | 3.3 | 3.4 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Michigan Inflation Expectations (Feb) | 3.4 | 4 | 3.5 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Inflation Expectations (Feb) | 3.3 | 3.3 | 3.4 | Missed Expectations | ||
| PCE Price Index YoY (Dec) | 2.9 | 2.8 | 2.8 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Core PCE Price Index YoY (Dec) | 3 | 2.8 | 2.8 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Core PCE Prices QoQ (Q4) | 2.7 | 2.9 | 2.7 | In Line | ||
| PCE Price Index MoM (Dec) | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Core PCE Price Index MoM (Dec) | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Core Inflation Rate YoY (Jan) | 2.5 | 2.6 | 2.5 | In Line | ||
| Core Inflation Rate MoM (Jan) | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| CPI (Jan) | 325.25 | 324.05 | 325.3 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Inflation Rate YoY (Jan) | 2.4 | 2.7 | 2.4 | In Line | ||
| CPI s.a (Jan) | 326.588 | — | 326.3 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Inflation Rate MoM (Jan) | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Consumer Inflation Expectation (Jan) | 3.1 | 3.4 | 3.4 | Missed Expectations | ||
| PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade MoM (Dec) | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Producer Price Index YoY (Dec) | 3 | 3 | 2.9 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Producer Price Index MoM (Dec) | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade YoY (Dec) | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | In Line | ||
| Core PPI MoM (Dec) | 0.7 | 0 | 0.1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Core PPI YoY (Dec) | 3.3 | 3.1 | 3 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Producer Price Index (Dec) | 151.472 | — | 151 | Beat Expectations | ||
| House Price Index YoY (Nov) | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| House Price Index MoM (Nov) | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.3 | Beat Expectations | ||
| House Price Index (Nov) | 439.3 | 436.8 | 438 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Michigan Inflation Expectations (Jan) | 4 | 4.2 | 4.2 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Inflation Expectations (Jan) | 3.3 | 3.2 | 3.4 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations (Jan) | 3.3 | 3.2 | 3.4 | Missed Expectations | ||
| PCE Price Index MoM (Oct) | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | In Line | ||
| Core PCE Price Index YoY (Oct) | 2.7 | 2.8 | 2.8 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Core PCE Price Index YoY (Nov) | 2.8 | 2.7 | 2.7 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Core PCE Price Index MoM (Oct) | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| PCE Price Index YoY (Nov) | 2.8 | 2.7 | 2.7 | Beat Expectations | ||
| PCE Price Index YoY (Oct) | 2.7 | 2.8 | 2.7 | In Line | ||
| Core PCE Price Index MoM (Nov) | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| PCE Price Index MoM (Nov) | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | In Line | ||
| PCE Price Index MoM | 0.2 | 0.2 | — | |||
| PCE Price Index YoY | 2.7 | 2.8 | — | |||
| Core PCE Prices QoQ (Q3) | 2.9 | 2.6 | 2.9 | In Line | ||
| Producer Price Index (Nov) | 150.705 | 150.332 | 150.5 | Beat Expectations | ||
| PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade MoM (Nov) | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 | In Line | ||
| Producer Price Index (Oct) | 150.332 | 150.157 | 150.2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade YoY (Nov) | 3.5 | 3.4 | 2.8 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Core PPI YoY (Oct) | 2.9 | 2.9 | 2.6 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Producer Price Index MoM (Oct) | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.3 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Core PPI MoM (Oct) | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Producer Price Index YoY | 3 | 2.8 | — | |||
| Producer Price Index MoM | 0.2 | 0.1 | — | |||
| PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade YoY (Oct) | 3.4 | 3 | 2.9 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Core PPI MoM (Nov) | 0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Producer Price Index YoY (Oct) | 2.8 | 3 | 2.7 | Beat Expectations | ||
| PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade MoM (Oct) | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Producer Price Index YoY (Nov) | 3 | 2.8 | 2.7 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Producer Price Index MoM (Nov) | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | In Line | ||
| Core PPI YoY (Nov) | 3 | 2.9 | 2.7 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Inflation Rate YoY (Dec) | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.7 | In Line | ||
| Core Inflation Rate YoY (Dec) | 2.6 | 2.6 | 2.7 | Missed Expectations | ||
| CPI (Dec) | 324.05 | 324.12 | 323.8 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Core Inflation Rate MoM (Dec) | 0.2 | — | 0.3 | Missed Expectations | ||
| CPI s.a (Dec) | 326.03 | 325.031 | 325.7 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Inflation Rate MoM (Dec) | 0.3 | — | 0.3 | In Line | ||
| Consumer Inflation Expectation (Dec) | 3.4 | 3.2 | 3.2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| House Price Index (Oct) | 436.7 | 435.2 | 435.8 | Beat Expectations | ||
| House Price Index MoM (Oct) | 0.4 | -0.1 | 0.1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| House Price Index YoY (Oct) | 1.7 | 1.8 | 0.9 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations (Dec) | 3.2 | 3.4 | 3.2 | In Line | ||
| Michigan Inflation Expectations (Dec) | 4.2 | 4.5 | 4.1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Inflation Expectations (Dec) | 3.2 | 3.4 | 3.2 | In Line | ||
| Inflation Rate YoY (Nov) | 2.7 | 3 | 3.1 | Missed Expectations | ||
| CPI (Nov) | 324.12 | 324.8 | 325.13 | Missed Expectations | ||
| CPI s.a (Nov) | 325.031 | — | 325.9 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Core Inflation Rate YoY (Nov) | 2.6 | 3 | 3 | Missed Expectations |
| Economic Indicators | Trend | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7-Year Note Auction | 3.79 | 4.018 | — | |||
| 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Feb/26) | 5.98 | 6.01 | — | |||
| 15-Year Mortgage Rate (Feb/26) | 5.44 | 5.35 | — | |||
| 4-Week Bill Auction | 3.625 | 3.625 | — | |||
| 8-Week Bill Auction | 3.63 | 3.63 | — | |||
| Kansas Fed Composite Index (Feb) | 5 | 0 | 1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Fed Balance Sheet (Feb/25) | 6.61 | 6.61 | — | |||
| 5-Year Note Auction | 3.615 | 3.823 | — | |||
| 17-Week Bill Auction | 3.59 | 3.595 | — | |||
| EIA Weekly Refinery Utilization Rates WoW | -2.4 | 1.6 | — | |||
| EIA Distillate Fuel Production Change (Feb/20) | -0.136 | 0.028 | — | |||
| EIA Distillate Stocks Change (Feb/20) | 0.252 | -4.566 | — | |||
| MBA Mortgage Refinance Index (Feb/20) | 1432.9 | 1375.9 | — | |||
| MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Feb/20) | 6.09 | 6.17 | — | |||
| MBA Purchase Index (Feb/20) | 149.7 | 157.1 | — | |||
| MBA Mortgage Market Index (Feb/20) | 340.2 | 339 | — | |||
| MBA Mortgage Applications (Feb/20) | 0.4 | 2.8 | — | |||
| Money Supply (Jan) | 22.44 | 22.4 | — | |||
| 2-Year Note Auction | 3.455 | 3.58 | — | |||
| M2 Money Supply MoM (Jan) | 22.44 | 22.4 | — | |||
| Dallas Fed Services Revenues Index (Feb) | 4.1 | 7.8 | 6 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Dallas Fed Services Index (Feb) | -3.2 | 2.7 | 1.6 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Wholesale Inventories MoM (Dec) | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Wholesale Sales MoM (Dec) | 1 | 1.4 | — | |||
| Richmond Fed Services Revenues Index (Feb) | -8 | -3 | — | |||
| Redbook YoY (Feb/21) | 6.7 | 7.2 | — | |||
| 6-Month Bill Auction | 3.525 | 3.5 | — | |||
| 3-Month Bill Auction | 3.59 | 3.6 | — | |||
| Durable Goods Orders Ex Transp MoM | 1 | 0.9 | — | |||
| Factory Orders ex Transportation (Dec) | 0.4 | — | 0.1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense MoM | -2.4 | -2.5 | -2.5 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Factory Orders MoM (Dec) | -0.7 | 2.7 | 0.9 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Jan) | 0.18 | -0.21 | 0.3 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Dec) | -0.21 | — | 0.1 | Missed Expectations | ||
| CFTC Wheat speculative net positions | -55.1 | -71.3 | — | |||
| CFTC Silver Speculative net positions | 24 | 23 | — | |||
| CFTC Corn speculative net positions | -7.8 | -18.3 | — | |||
| CFTC Soybeans speculative net positions | 191.8 | 146.3 | — | |||
| CFTC Nasdaq 100 speculative net positions | 24.4 | 13.4 | — | |||
| CFTC Copper Speculative net positions | 59.3 | 45.9 | — | |||
| CFTC Natural Gas speculative net positions | -185.8 | -171.9 | — | |||
| CFTC Gold Speculative net positions | 159.9 | 160 | — | |||
| CFTC Crude Oil speculative net positions | 141.3 | 117.8 | — | |||
| CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions | -177.8 | -105.1 | — | |||
| CFTC Aluminium Speculative net positions | -2.7 | -3.2 | — | |||
| Michigan Current Conditions (Feb) | 56.6 | 55.4 | 58.3 | Missed Expectations | ||
| PCE Prices QoQ (Q4) | 2.9 | 2.8 | 2.6 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Personal Income MoM (Dec) | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Personal Spending MoM (Dec) | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | In Line | ||
| Fed Balance Sheet (Feb/18) | 6.61 | 6.62 | — | |||
| 30-Year TIPS Auction | 2.473 | 2.65 | — | |||
| 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Feb/19) | 6.01 | 6.09 | — | |||
| EIA Distillate Stocks Change (Feb/13) | -4.566 | -2.703 | — | |||
| 15-Year Mortgage Rate (Feb/19) | 5.35 | 5.44 | — | |||
| EIA Distillate Fuel Production Change (Feb/13) | 0.028 | 0.045 | — | |||
| Leading Index MoM (Dec) | -0.2 | -0.3 | -0.2 | In Line | ||
| Balance of Trade (Dec) | -70.3 | -53 | -58 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Philly Fed Prices Paid (Feb) | 38.9 | 46.9 | — | |||
| Philly Fed CAPEX Index (Feb) | 14.4 | 30.3 | — | |||
| Philly Fed Business Conditions (Feb) | 42.8 | 25.5 | — | |||
| Philly Fed New Orders (Feb) | 11.7 | 14.4 | — | |||
| Foreign Bond Investment (Dec) | -41.6 | — | — | |||
| Overall Net Capital Flows (Dec) | 44.9 | — | — | |||
| Net Long-Term TIC Flows (Dec) | 28 | — | — | |||
| 20-Year Bond Auction | 4.664 | 4.846 | — | |||
| Capacity Utilization (Jan) | 76.2 | 75.7 | 76.4 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Redbook YoY (Feb/14) | 7.2 | 6.5 | — | |||
| Non Defense Goods Orders Ex Air (Dec) | 0.6 | — | 0.2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Durable Goods Orders MoM (Dec) | -1.4 | 0.4 | -3.4 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Durable Goods Orders Ex Transp MoM (Dec) | 0.9 | — | 0.3 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Durable Goods Orders ex Defense MoM (Dec) | -2.5 | 6.6 | -4.3 | Beat Expectations | ||
| MBA Mortgage Refinance Index (Feb/13) | 1375.9 | 1284.6 | — | |||
| MBA Mortgage Applications (Feb/13) | 2.8 | -0.3 | — | |||
| MBA Purchase Index (Feb/13) | 157.1 | 161.5 | — | |||
| MBA Mortgage Market Index (Feb/13) | 339 | 329.9 | — | |||
| MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Feb/13) | 6.17 | 6.21 | — | |||
| 52-Week Bill Auction | 3.345 | 3.39 | — | |||
| Real Earnings MoM (Jan) | 0.5 | -0.5 | — | |||
| 30-Year Bond Auction | 4.75 | 4.825 | — | |||
| 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Feb/12) | 6.09 | 6.11 | — | |||
| 15-Year Mortgage Rate (Feb/12) | 5.44 | 5.5 | — | |||
| Fed Balance Sheet (Feb/11) | 6.62 | 6.61 | — | |||
| 10-Year Note Auction | 4.177 | 4.173 | — | |||
| Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI (Feb) | 53.8 | 53.81 | — | |||
| EIA Distillate Stocks Change (Feb/06) | -2.703 | -5.553 | — | |||
| EIA Distillate Fuel Production Change (Feb/06) | 0.045 | -0.005 | — | |||
| Average Weekly Hours (Jan) | 34.3 | 34.2 | 34.2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Participation Rate (Jan) | 62.5 | 62.4 | 62.3 | Beat Expectations | ||
| MBA Mortgage Refinance Index (Feb/06) | 1284.6 | 1269.7 | — | |||
| MBA Mortgage Applications (Feb/06) | -0.3 | -8.9 | — | |||
| MBA Mortgage Market Index (Feb/06) | 329.9 | 330.8 | — | |||
| MBA Purchase Index (Feb/06) | 161.5 | 165.4 | — | |||
| MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Feb/06) | 6.21 | 6.21 | — | |||
| 3-Year Note Auction | 3.518 | 3.609 | — | |||
| Business Inventories MoM (Nov) | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Redbook YoY (Feb/07) | 6.5 | 6.7 | — | |||
| Used Car Prices YoY (Jan) | 2.4 | 0.4 | — | |||
| Used Car Prices MoM (Jan) | 2.4 | 0.1 | — | |||
| Fed Balance Sheet (Feb/04) | 6.61 | 6.59 | — | |||
| 15-Year Mortgage Rate (Feb/05) | 5.5 | 5.49 | — | |||
| 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Feb/05) | 6.11 | 6.1 | — | |||
| EIA Distillate Stocks Change (Jan/30) | -5.553 | 0.329 | — | |||
| EIA Distillate Fuel Production Change (Jan/30) | -0.005 | -0.268 | — | |||
| All Car Sales (Jan) | 2.6 | 2.67 | — | |||
| All Truck Sales (Jan) | 12.33 | 13.33 | — | |||
| Total Vehicle Sales (Jan) | 14.9 | 16 | 15.5 | Missed Expectations | ||
| MBA Mortgage Applications (Jan/30) | -8.9 | -8.5 | — | |||
| MBA Mortgage Market Index (Jan/30) | 330.8 | 363.3 | — | |||
| MBA Mortgage Refinance Index (Jan/30) | 1269.7 | 1332.2 | — | |||
| MBA Purchase Index (Jan/30) | 165.4 | 193.3 | — | |||
| MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Jan/30) | 6.21 | 6.24 | — | |||
| Redbook YoY (Jan/31) | 6.7 | 7.1 | — | |||
| LMI Logistics Managers Index (Jan) | 59.6 | 54.2 | — | |||
| Fed Balance Sheet (Jan/28) | 6.59 | 6.59 | — | |||
| 15-Year Mortgage Rate (Jan/29) | 5.49 | 5.44 | — | |||
| 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Jan/29) | 6.1 | 6.09 | — | |||
| Factory Orders ex Transportation (Nov) | 0.2 | — | 0.9 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Factory Orders MoM (Nov) | 2.7 | -0.1 | 1.4 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Wholesale Sales MoM (Nov) | 1.3 | -0.4 | — | |||
| Wholesale Inventories MoM (Nov) | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Nonfarm Productivity QoQ (Q3) | 4.9 | 4.1 | 4.9 | In Line | ||
| Balance of Trade (Nov) | -56.8 | -29.2 | -37 | Missed Expectations | ||
| EIA Distillate Stocks Change (Jan/23) | 0.329 | 3.348 | — | |||
| EIA Distillate Fuel Production Change (Jan/23) | -0.268 | -0.209 | — | |||
| MBA Mortgage Refinance Index (Jan/23) | 1332.2 | 1580.8 | — | |||
| MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Jan/23) | 6.24 | 6.16 | — | |||
| MBA Mortgage Market Index (Jan/23) | 363.3 | 397.2 | — | |||
| MBA Purchase Index (Jan/23) | 193.3 | 194.1 | — | |||
| MBA Mortgage Applications (Jan/23) | -8.5 | 14.1 | — | |||
| M2 Money Supply MoM (Dec) | 22.4 | 22.3 | — | |||
| Money Supply (Dec) | 22.4 | 22.3 | — | |||
| Dallas Fed Services Revenues Index (Jan) | 7.8 | — | 1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Dallas Fed Services Index (Jan) | 2.7 | — | 2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Richmond Fed Services Revenues Index (Jan) | -3 | -6 | -2 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Redbook YoY (Jan/24) | 7.1 | 5.5 | — | |||
| Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Oct) | -0.42 | — | -0.2 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Durable Goods Orders Ex Transp MoM (Nov) | 0.5 | — | 0.5 | In Line | ||
| Durable Goods Orders ex Defense MoM (Nov) | 6.6 | — | 0.7 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Durable Goods Orders MoM (Nov) | 5.3 | 0.2 | 1.1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Nov) | -0.04 | -0.42 | -0.4 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Non Defense Goods Orders Ex Air (Nov) | 0.7 | — | 0.5 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Leading Index MoM (Nov) | -0.3 | -0.1 | -0.2 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Leading Index MoM (Oct) | -0.1 | -0.3 | -0.2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Michigan Current Conditions (Jan) | 55.4 | 50.4 | 52.4 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Fed Balance Sheet (Jan/21) | 6.59 | 6.58 | — | |||
| 10-Year TIPS Auction | 1.94 | 1.843 | — | |||
| EIA Distillate Fuel Production Change (Jan/16) | -0.209 | -0.019 | — | |||
| 15-Year Mortgage Rate (Jan/22) | 5.44 | 5.38 | — | |||
| 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Jan/22) | 6.09 | 6.06 | — | |||
| EIA Distillate Stocks Change (Jan/16) | 3.348 | -0.029 | — | |||
| Kansas Fed Composite Index (Jan) | 0 | 1 | 4 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Personal Spending MoM (Nov) | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.4 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Personal Income MoM (Oct) | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.3 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Personal Spending MoM (Oct) | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Personal Income MoM (Nov) | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.3 | In Line | ||
| Personal Spending MoM | 0.5 | 0.3 | — | |||
| Personal Income MoM | 0.1 | 0.4 | — | |||
| PCE Prices QoQ (Q3) | 2.8 | 2.1 | 2.8 | In Line | ||
| Corporate Profits QoQ (Q3) | 4.7 | 0.2 | 4.4 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Redbook YoY (Jan/17) | 5.5 | 5.7 | — | |||
| MBA Mortgage Applications (Jan/16) | 14.1 | 28.5 | — | |||
| MBA Mortgage Market Index (Jan/16) | 397.2 | 348 | — | |||
| MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Jan/16) | 6.16 | 6.18 | — | |||
| MBA Purchase Index (Jan/16) | 194.1 | 184.6 | — | |||
| MBA Mortgage Refinance Index (Jan/16) | 1580.8 | 1313.1 | — | |||
| Capacity Utilization (Dec) | 76.3 | 76 | 76 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Fed Balance Sheet (Jan/14) | 6.58 | 6.57 | — | |||
| Overall Net Capital Flows (Nov) | 212 | -22.5 | — | |||
| Net Long-Term TIC Flows (Nov) | 220.2 | 30.9 | — | |||
| Foreign Bond Investment (Nov) | 85.6 | -60.1 | — | |||
| 15-Year Mortgage Rate (Jan/15) | 5.38 | 5.46 | — | |||
| 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Jan/15) | 6.06 | 6.16 | — | |||
| Philly Fed Business Conditions (Jan) | 25.5 | 38.1 | — | |||
| Philly Fed CAPEX Index (Jan) | 30.3 | 29.1 | — | |||
| Philly Fed Prices Paid (Jan) | 46.9 | 49.3 | — | |||
| Philly Fed New Orders (Jan) | 14.4 | 5.7 | — | |||
| Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI (Jan) | 53.81 | 51.86 | — | |||
| EIA Distillate Fuel Production Change (Jan/09) | -0.019 | 0.081 | — | |||
| EIA Distillate Stocks Change (Jan/09) | -0.029 | 5.594 | -0.2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Business Inventories MoM (Oct) | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Jan/09) | 6.18 | 6.25 | — | |||
| MBA Mortgage Market Index (Jan/09) | 348 | 270.8 | — | |||
| MBA Mortgage Refinance Index (Jan/09) | 1313.1 | 937 | — | |||
| MBA Purchase Index (Jan/09) | 184.6 | 159.3 | — | |||
| MBA Mortgage Applications (Jan/09) | 28.5 | 0.3 | — | |||
| Redbook YoY (Jan/10) | 5.7 | 7.1 | — | |||
| Real Earnings MoM (Dec) | -0.3 | -0.1 | — | |||
| Quarterly Grain Stocks - Soy (Dec) | 3.29 | 0.32 | 3.28 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Quarterly Grain Stocks - Wheat (Dec) | 1.68 | 2.13 | 1.65 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Quarterly Grain Stocks - Corn (Dec) | 13.28 | 1.55 | 13.1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Participation Rate (Dec) | 62.4 | 62.5 | 62.6 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Average Weekly Hours (Dec) | 34.2 | 34.3 | 34.3 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Fed Balance Sheet (Jan/07) | 6.57 | 6.64 | — | |||
| 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Jan/08) | 6.16 | 6.15 | — | |||
| 15-Year Mortgage Rate (Jan/08) | 5.46 | 5.44 | — | |||
| Wholesale Sales MoM (Oct) | -0.4 | -0.2 | — | |||
| Wholesale Inventories MoM (Oct) | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | In Line | ||
| Used Car Prices YoY (Dec) | 0.4 | 0 | — | |||
| Used Car Prices MoM (Dec) | 0.1 | 1.3 | — | |||
| Balance of Trade (Oct) | -29.4 | -48.1 | -58.9 | Beat Expectations | ||
| EIA Distillate Fuel Production Change (Jan/02) | 0.081 | -0.076 | — | |||
| EIA Distillate Stocks Change (Jan/02) | 5.594 | 4.977 | 2.2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Factory Orders MoM (Oct) | -1.3 | 0.2 | -1.2 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Factory Orders ex Transportation (Oct) | -0.2 | 0.1 | -0.3 | Beat Expectations | ||
| MBA Purchase Index (Jan/02) | 159.3 | 169.8 | — | |||
| MBA Mortgage Market Index (Jan/02) | 270.8 | 269.9 | — | |||
| MBA Purchase Index (Dec/26) | 169.8 | 169.9 | — | |||
| MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Dec/26) | 6.32 | 6.31 | — | |||
| MBA Mortgage Refinance Index (Dec/26) | 872.1 | 1084.3 | — | |||
| MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Jan/02) | 6.25 | 6.32 | — | |||
| MBA Mortgage Market Index (Dec/26) | 269.9 | 299.8 | — | |||
| MBA Mortgage Refinance Index (Jan/02) | 937 | 872.1 | — | |||
| MBA Mortgage Applications (Dec/26) | -10 | -5 | — | |||
| MBA Mortgage Applications (Jan/02) | 0.3 | -10 | — | |||
| All Truck Sales (Dec) | 13.25 | 13.63 | — | |||
| All Car Sales (Dec) | 2.77 | 2.65 | — | |||
| Redbook YoY (Jan/03) | 7.1 | 7.6 | — | |||
| LMI Logistics Managers Index (Dec) | 54.2 | 55.7 | — | |||
| Total Vehicle Sales (Dec) | 16 | 15.6 | 15.7 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Fed Balance Sheet (Dec/31) | 6.64 | 6.56 | — | |||
| 15-Year Mortgage Rate (Dec/31) | 5.44 | 5.5 | — | |||
| 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Dec/31) | 6.15 | 6.18 | — | |||
| EIA Distillate Fuel Production Change (Dec/26) | -0.076 | 0.107 | — | |||
| EIA Distillate Stocks Change (Dec/26) | 4.977 | 0.202 | 2.2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Dallas Fed Services Index (Dec) | -3.3 | -2.3 | -2 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Dallas Fed Services Revenues Index (Dec) | 0.1 | -2.5 | -4 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Redbook YoY (Dec/27) | 7.6 | 7.2 | — | |||
| EIA Distillate Fuel Production Change (Dec/19) | 0.107 | -0.228 | — | |||
| EIA Distillate Stocks Change (Dec/19) | 0.202 | 1.712 | 0.4 | Missed Expectations | ||
| 15-Year Mortgage Rate (Dec/25) | 5.5 | 5.47 | — | |||
| 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Dec/25) | 6.18 | 6.21 | — | |||
| MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Dec/19) | 6.31 | 6.38 | — | |||
| MBA Mortgage Market Index (Dec/19) | 299.8 | 315.6 | — | |||
| MBA Mortgage Refinance Index (Dec/19) | 1084.3 | 1148.3 | — | |||
| MBA Purchase Index (Dec/19) | 169.9 | 176.5 | — | |||
| MBA Mortgage Applications (Dec/19) | -5 | -3.8 | — | |||
| M2 Money Supply MoM (Nov) | 22.3 | 22.3 | — | |||
| Money Supply (Nov) | 22.3 | 22.3 | — | |||
| 2-Year FRN Auction | 0.139 | 0.168 | — | |||
| Richmond Fed Services Revenues Index (Dec) | -6 | -4 | 1 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Capacity Utilization (Nov) | 76 | 75.9 | 75.8 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Capacity Utilization (Oct) | 75.9 | 76 | 75.9 | In Line | ||
| Redbook YoY (Dec/20) | 7.2 | 6.2 | — | |||
| Non Defense Goods Orders Ex Air (Oct) | 0.5 | 1.1 | -0.1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Durable Goods Orders ex Defense MoM (Oct) | -1.5 | 0.1 | -0.8 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Durable Goods Orders Ex Transp MoM (Oct) | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Durable Goods Orders MoM (Oct) | -2.2 | 0.7 | -1.5 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Sep) | -0.21 | -0.31 | -0.4 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Michigan Current Conditions (Dec) | 50.4 | 51.1 | 50.7 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Fed Balance Sheet (Dec/17) | 6.56 | 6.54 | — | |||
| Overall Net Capital Flows (Oct) | -37.3 | 184.3 | — | |||
| Foreign Bond Investment (Oct) | -61.2 | 25.1 | — | |||
| Net Long-Term TIC Flows (Oct) | 17.5 | 173.2 | 122.7 | Missed Expectations | ||
| 5-Year TIPS Auction | 1.433 | 1.182 | — | |||
| 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Dec/18) | 6.21 | 6.22 | — | |||
| 15-Year Mortgage Rate (Dec/18) | 5.47 | 5.54 | — | |||
| Kansas Fed Composite Index (Dec) | 1 | 8 | 6 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Philly Fed CAPEX Index (Dec) | 30.3 | 26.7 | — | |||
| Philly Fed Prices Paid (Dec) | 43.6 | 56.1 | — | |||
| Philly Fed New Orders (Dec) | 5 | -8.6 | — | |||
| Philly Fed Business Conditions (Dec) | 41.6 | 49.6 | — | |||
| EIA Distillate Stocks Change (Dec/12) | 1.712 | 2.502 | 1.2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| EIA Distillate Fuel Production Change (Dec/12) | -0.228 | 0.38 | — | |||
| MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Dec/12) | 6.38 | 6.33 | — | |||
| MBA Mortgage Refinance Index (Dec/12) | 1148.3 | 1190.6 | — | |||
| MBA Mortgage Applications (Dec/12) | -3.8 | 4.8 | — | |||
| MBA Mortgage Market Index (Dec/12) | 315.6 | 327.9 | — | |||
| MBA Purchase Index (Dec/12) | 176.5 | 181.6 | — | |||
| Business Inventories MoM (Sep) | 0.2 | 0 | 0.2 | In Line | ||
| Redbook YoY (Dec/13) | 6.2 | 5.7 | — | |||
| Average Weekly Hours (Nov) | 34.3 | 34.2 | 34.2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Participation Rate (Nov) | 62.5 | 62.4 | 62.5 | In Line | ||
| Average Weekly Hours (Oct) | 34.2 | 34.2 | 34.2 | In Line |
| Economic Indicators | Trend | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Initial Jobless Claims (Feb/21) | 212 | — | 210 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Jobless Claims 4-Week Average (Feb/21) | 220.25 | — | 221 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Continuing Jobless Claims (Feb/14) | 1833 | — | 1872 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Jobless Claims 4-Week Average (Feb/14) | 219 | — | 221 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Initial Jobless Claims (Feb/14) | 206 | — | 229 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Continuing Jobless Claims (Feb/07) | 1869 | — | 1870 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Philly Fed Employment (Feb) | -1.3 | 9.7 | — | |||
| CB Employment Trends Index (Jan) | 105.06 | 104.51 | — | |||
| Jobless Claims 4-Week Average (Feb/07) | 219.5 | — | 214 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Initial Jobless Claims (Feb/07) | 227 | — | 225 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Continuing Jobless Claims (Jan/31) | 1862 | — | — | |||
| Unemployment Rate (Jan) | 4.3 | 4.4 | 4.5 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Average Hourly Earnings YoY (Jan) | 3.7 | 3.7 | 3.8 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Manufacturing Payrolls (Jan) | 5 | -8 | -10 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Government Payrolls (Jan) | -42 | -16 | 8 | Missed Expectations | ||
| U-6 Unemployment Rate (Jan) | 8 | 8.4 | 8.5 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Nonfarm Payrolls Private (Jan) | 172 | 64 | 32 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Average Hourly Earnings MoM (Jan) | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.3 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Non Farm Payrolls (Jan) | 130 | 48 | 40 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Employment Cost Index QoQ (Q4) | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.7 | In Line | ||
| Employment Cost - Wages QoQ (Q4) | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Employment Cost - Benefits QoQ (Q4) | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.7 | In Line | ||
| Employment Benefits QoQ (Q4) | 0.7 | 0.8 | — | |||
| Employment Wages QoQ (Q4) | 0.7 | 0.8 | — | |||
| JOLTs Job Openings (Dec) | 6.542 | 6.928 | 7 | Missed Expectations | ||
| JOLTs Job Quits (Dec) | 3.204 | — | 3.15 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Initial Jobless Claims (Jan/31) | 231 | 209 | 214 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Jobless Claims 4-Week Average (Jan/31) | 212.25 | 206.25 | 210 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Continuing Jobless Claims (Jan/24) | 1844 | — | 1825 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Challenger Job Cuts (Jan) | 108.435 | 35.553 | 43 | Beat Expectations | ||
| ISM Services Employment (Jan) | 50.3 | — | 52 | Missed Expectations | ||
| ISM Non-Manufacturing Employment (Jan) | 50.3 | 51.7 | 52.3 | Missed Expectations | ||
| ADP Employment Change (Jan) | 22 | 37 | 35 | Missed Expectations | ||
| ISM Manufacturing Employment (Jan) | 48.1 | 44.8 | 44.8 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Unit Labour Costs QoQ (Q3) | -1.9 | -2.9 | -1.9 | In Line | ||
| Jobless Claims 4-Week Average (Jan/24) | 206.25 | — | 204 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Continuing Jobless Claims (Jan/17) | 1827 | — | 1860 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Initial Jobless Claims (Jan/24) | 209 | — | 205 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Initial Jobless Claims (Jan/17) | 200 | 198 | 195 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Jobless Claims 4-Week Average (Jan/17) | 201.5 | 205 | 203 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Continuing Jobless Claims (Jan/10) | 1849 | 1884 | 1880 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Continuing Jobless Claims (Jan/03) | 1884 | 1903 | 1890 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Initial Jobless Claims (Jan/10) | 198 | 207 | 215 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Philly Fed Employment (Jan) | 9.7 | 13 | — | |||
| Jobless Claims 4-Week Average (Jan/10) | 205 | 211.5 | 215 | Missed Expectations | ||
| CB Employment Trends Index (Dec) | 104.27 | 104.64 | — | |||
| Manufacturing Payrolls (Dec) | -8 | -2 | -5 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Average Hourly Earnings YoY (Dec) | 3.8 | 3.6 | 3.6 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Unemployment Rate (Dec) | 4.4 | 4.5 | 4.5 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Average Hourly Earnings MoM (Dec) | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | In Line | ||
| U-6 Unemployment Rate (Dec) | 8.4 | 8.7 | 8.8 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Government Payrolls (Dec) | 13 | 6 | -10 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Nonfarm Payrolls Private (Dec) | 37 | 50 | 64 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Non Farm Payrolls (Dec) | 50 | 56 | 60 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Continuing Jobless Claims (Dec/27) | 1914 | 1858 | 1900 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Jobless Claims 4-Week Average (Jan/03) | 211.75 | 219 | 210.75 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Initial Jobless Claims (Jan/03) | 208 | 200 | 210 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Challenger Job Cuts (Dec) | 35.553 | 71.321 | 89 | Missed Expectations | ||
| ISM Non-Manufacturing Employment (Dec) | 52 | 48.9 | 49 | Beat Expectations | ||
| JOLTs Job Openings (Nov) | 7.146 | 7.449 | 7.6 | Missed Expectations | ||
| ISM Services Employment (Dec) | 52 | 48.9 | 48.7 | Beat Expectations | ||
| JOLTs Job Quits (Nov) | 3.161 | 2.973 | 2.99 | Beat Expectations | ||
| ADP Employment Change (Dec) | 41 | -29 | 47 | Missed Expectations | ||
| ISM Manufacturing Employment (Dec) | 44.9 | 44 | 44.1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Initial Jobless Claims (Dec/27) | 199 | 215 | 220 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Jobless Claims 4-Week Average (Dec/27) | 218.75 | 217 | 224.25 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Continuing Jobless Claims (Dec/20) | 1866 | 1913 | 1915 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Jobless Claims 4-Week Average (Dec/20) | 216.75 | 217.5 | 219 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Initial Jobless Claims (Dec/20) | 214 | 224 | 223 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Continuing Jobless Claims (Dec/13) | 1923 | 1885 | 1900 | Beat Expectations | ||
| CB Employment Trends Index (Nov) | 105.8 | 106.24 | — | |||
| Initial Jobless Claims (Dec/13) | 224 | 237 | 225 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Philly Fed Employment (Dec) | 12.9 | 6 | — | |||
| Jobless Claims 4-Week Average (Dec/13) | 217.5 | 217 | 218.5 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Continuing Jobless Claims (Dec/06) | 1897 | 1830 | 1930 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Average Hourly Earnings MoM (Nov) | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.3 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Average Hourly Earnings MoM (Oct) | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Nonfarm Payrolls Private (Oct) | 52 | 104 | 20 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Average Hourly Earnings YoY (Oct) | 3.7 | 3.7 | 3.8 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Average Hourly Earnings YoY (Nov) | 3.5 | 3.7 | 3.7 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Government Payrolls (Nov) | -5 | -157 | -3 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Manufacturing Payrolls (Oct) | -9 | -5 | -8 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Nonfarm Payrolls Private (Nov) | 69 | 52 | 45 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Manufacturing Payrolls (Nov) | -5 | -9 | -5 | In Line | ||
| U-6 Unemployment Rate (Nov) | 8.7 | 8 | 8.2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Non Farm Payrolls (Oct) | -105 | 108 | 55 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Unemployment Rate (Nov) | 4.6 | 4.4 | 4.4 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Non Farm Payrolls (Nov) | 64 | -105 | 50 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Government Payrolls (Oct) | -157 | 4 | -35 | Missed Expectations |
| Economic Indicators | Trend | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Imports | 0.412 | -1.132 | — | |||
| Goods Trade Balance (Dec) | -98.5 | -82.78 | -86 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Imports (Dec) | 357.6 | 345.3 | 347 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Goods Trade Balance Adv (Dec) | -98.5 | — | -82 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Exports (Dec) | 287.3 | 292.3 | 289 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Import Prices YoY (Dec) | 0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Import Prices MoM (Dec) | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.3 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Export Prices YoY (Dec) | 3.1 | — | 2.8 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Export Prices MoM (Dec) | 0.3 | — | 0.1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Exports (Nov) | 292.1 | 303 | 303 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Imports (Nov) | 348.9 | 332.1 | 340 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Import Prices YoY (Nov) | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.4 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Import Prices MoM (Nov) | 0.4 | 0 | -0.1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Export Prices YoY (Nov) | 3.3 | — | 2.3 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Current Account (Q3) | -226.4 | -249.2 | -238.4 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Exports (Oct) | 302 | 294.2 | 290 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Imports (Oct) | 331.4 | 342.4 | 344 | Missed Expectations |
| Economic Indicators | Trend | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CB Consumer Confidence (Feb) | 91.2 | 89 | 87.4 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Michigan Consumer Expectations (Feb) | 56.6 | 57 | 56.6 | In Line | ||
| Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Feb) | 56.6 | 56.4 | 57.3 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Real Consumer Spending (Q4) | 2.4 | 3.5 | — | |||
| Real Consumer Spending QoQ (Q4) | 2.4 | 3.5 | 2.6 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM (Dec) | 0.2 | — | 0.1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM (Nov) | 0.2 | — | 0.2 | In Line | ||
| Retail Sales MoM (Dec) | -0.1 | 0.6 | 0.3 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM (Dec) | 0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM (Dec) | 0 | — | 0.3 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Retail Sales YoY (Dec) | 2.4 | 3.3 | 2.9 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Consumer Credit Change (Dec) | 24.05 | — | 10 | Beat Expectations | ||
| BoE Consumer Credit | 24.05 | 4.7 | 9 | Beat Expectations | ||
| CB Consumer Confidence (Jan) | 84.5 | 94.2 | 90.6 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Michigan Consumer Expectations (Jan) | 57 | 54.6 | 55 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Jan) | 56.4 | 52.9 | 54 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Real Consumer Spending (Q3) | 3.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | In Line | ||
| Real Consumer Spending QoQ (Q3) | 3.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | In Line | ||
| Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM (Oct) | 0.3 | 0.1 | -0.1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Retail Sales MoM (Nov) | 0.6 | -0.1 | 0.4 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM (Nov) | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Retail Sales YoY (Nov) | 3.3 | 3.3 | 3 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM (Nov) | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.4 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Consumer Credit Change (Nov) | 4.23 | 9.24 | 10 | Missed Expectations | ||
| CB Consumer Confidence (Dec) | 89.1 | 92.9 | 91 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Michigan Consumer Expectations (Dec) | 54.6 | 51 | 55 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Dec) | 52.9 | 51 | 53.4 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM (Sep) | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Retail Sales YoY (Oct) | 3.5 | 4.2 | 2.7 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Retail Sales MoM (Oct) | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM (Oct) | 0.5 | 0 | 0.2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM (Oct) | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.3 | Beat Expectations |
| Economic Indicators | Trend | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Budget Balance (Jan) | -95 | -145 | -94.6 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Monthly Budget Statement (Jan) | -95 | -145 | -90 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Budget Balance (Dec) | -145 | -173 | -144.5 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Monthly Budget Statement (Dec) | -145 | -173 | -150 | Beat Expectations |
| Economic Indicators | Trend | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | In Line |