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Back to countries

United States

AmericasUSD
Compare with other countries
Producer Price Index MoM1.3%
Continuing Jobless Claims1,710%
Fed Interest Rate Decision4%
GDP Growth Rate QoQ2.2

Currency

EURUSD1.1242
+0.19%

Stock Index

S&P 500763.25
-1.11%

Central Bank

Federal Reserve4.00%
Last Decisionhike

Benchmark

Refreshed: 2026-04-25
87A
Coverage: 4/4

EPI = 100 − |inflation| − unemployment − deficit/GDP + GDP growth. Source: IMF WP/13/214 (Khramov & Lee, 2013).

GDP growth+0.5%
Inflation+3.3%
Unemployment+4.4%
Deficit / GDP-6.3%

Deficit/GDP sourced from CBO 2024

Economic Indicators

Central Bank

(14)
Economic IndicatorsHistoryActualPreviousForecastSurpriseTrendFrequency
43.754In LineRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
6.7566.748—

Upcoming Releases

Oct 19
14:00
NAHB Housing Market Index
Oct 19
15:30
3-Month Bill Auction
Oct 19
15:30
6-Month Bill Auction
Oct 20
12:30
Building Permits
Oct 20
12:30
Building Permits MoM
Oct 20
12:30
Housing Starts MoM

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Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
—
4-Week Bill Auction43.98—Rising5th Consecutive Increase—
8-Week Bill Auction4.053.98—Rising2nd Consecutive Increase—
17-Week Bill Auction4.1954.105—Rising2nd Consecutive Increase—
Fed Interest Rate Decision
In Line
Actual
4
Previous
3.75
Forecast
4
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Central Bank Balance Sheet
Actual
6.756
Previous
6.748
Forecast
—
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
4-Week Bill Auction
Actual
4
Previous
3.98
Forecast
—
Rising5th Consecutive Increase
8-Week Bill Auction
Actual
4.05
Previous
3.98
Forecast
—
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Actual
4.195
Previous
4.105
Forecast
—
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Show all indicators (14)Hide extra indicators
6-Month Bill Auction4.24.165—Rising2nd Consecutive Increase—
3-Month Bill Auction4.0854.054.009BeatRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
52-Week Bill Auction4.43.98—Rising5th Consecutive Increase—
03—Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
3.23.1—Rising2nd Consecutive Increase—
4.13.8—Rising3rd Consecutive Increase—
3.63.1—Rising2nd Consecutive Increase—
3.93.4—Rising3rd Consecutive Increase—
4.13.6—Rising3rd Consecutive Increase—
Actual
4.2
Previous
4.165
Forecast
—
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Beat
Actual
4.085
Previous
4.05
Forecast
4.009
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Actual
4.4
Previous
3.98
Forecast
—
Rising5th Consecutive Increase
Actual
0

Inflation

(39)
Economic IndicatorsHistoryActualPreviousForecastSurpriseTrendFrequency
Inflation Rate YoY3.73.43.6BeatRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
Core Inflation Rate YoY2.62.42.5BeatRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
0.60.40.6In LineRising4th Consecutive Increase—
0.30.30.2Beat—
3.43.43.7Miss—
Beat
Actual
3.7
Previous
3.4
Forecast
3.6
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Beat
Actual
2.6
Previous
2.4
Forecast
2.5
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
In Line
Actual
0.6
Previous
0.4
Forecast
0.6
Rising4th Consecutive Increase
Beat
Actual
0.3
Show all indicators (39)Hide extra indicators
333.3Miss—
0.30.10.4MissRising3rd Consecutive Increase—
0.20.1

Employment

(31)
Economic IndicatorsHistoryActualPreviousForecastSurpriseTrendFrequency
Unemployment Rate4.24.14.1BeatRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
Non Farm Payrolls2913390MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
468985MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
33.13.2MissFalling4th Consecutive Decrease—
0.10.30.3MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Beat
Actual
4.2
Previous
4.1
Forecast
4.1
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Miss
Actual
29
Previous
133
Forecast
90
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Miss
Actual
46
Previous
89
Forecast
85
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Miss
Actual
3
Show all indicators (31)Hide extra indicators
903670BeatRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
7.0797.3357.23MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
61.861.6

Growth

(12)
Economic IndicatorsHistoryActualPreviousForecastSurpriseTrendFrequency
GDP Growth Rate YoY1.81.71.8In Line—
GDP Growth Rate QoQ2.22.51.5BeatRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
1.52.11.5In Line—
3.63.63.6In LineFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
1.62——
In Line
Actual
1.8
Previous
1.7
Forecast
1.8
Beat
Actual
2.2
Previous
2.5
Forecast
1.5
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
In Line
Actual
1.5
Previous
2.1
Forecast
1.5
In Line
Actual
3.6
Previous
3.6
Show all indicators (12)Hide extra indicators
6.13.26.4MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
2.82.32.2BeatRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
2.23

Housing

(21)
Economic IndicatorsHistoryActualPreviousForecastSurpriseTrendFrequency
Housing Starts1.2751.3091.31MissFalling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
Building Permits1.4031.4331.394BeatFalling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
-2.6-99MissRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
-2.14.3-2.7BeatFalling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
0.6840.6430.62BeatRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
Miss
Actual
1.275
Previous
1.309
Forecast
1.31
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
Beat
Actual
1.403
Previous
1.433
Forecast
1.394
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
Miss
Actual
-2.6
Previous
-9
Forecast
9
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Beat
Actual
-2.1
Show all indicators (21)Hide extra indicators
3.993.933.95BeatRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
0.3-2.62MissRising3rd Consecutive Increase—
3235

Consumer

(20)
Economic IndicatorsHistoryActualPreviousForecastSurpriseTrendFrequency
Retail Sales MoM0.11.30.3MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Retail Sales YoY6.35.65.2BeatRising3rd Consecutive Increase—
0.91.40.5BeatFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
0.21.10.2In LineFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
46.348.147.6MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Miss
Actual
0.1
Previous
1.3
Forecast
0.3
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Beat
Actual
6.3
Previous
5.6
Forecast
5.2
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
Beat
Actual
0.9
Previous
1.4
Forecast
0.5
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
In Line
Actual
0.2
Show all indicators (20)Hide extra indicators
0.90.10.8BeatRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
0.20.30.4MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
8.2817.74

Trade

(11)
Economic IndicatorsHistoryActualPreviousForecastSurpriseTrendFrequency
Balance of Trade-105.6-92.8-102MissFalling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
Trade Balance-78.3-59.1-77.7MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
-246-212.6-255BeatFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
315.2310.7314.6BeatRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
420.8403.6416.8BeatRising3rd Consecutive Increase—
Miss
Actual
-105.6
Previous
-92.8
Forecast
-102
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
Miss
Actual
-78.3
Previous
-59.1
Forecast
-77.7
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Beat
Actual
-246
Previous
-212.6
Forecast
-255
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Beat
Actual
315.2
Previous
Show all indicators (11)Hide extra indicators
-132.6-118.9-115MissFalling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
8.16.77.9BeatRising3rd Consecutive Increase—
11.69.3

Manufacturing

(45)
Economic IndicatorsHistoryActualPreviousForecastSurpriseTrendFrequency
ISM Manufacturing PMI54.554.655MissFalling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
Manufacturing PMI55.953.957MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
55.454.154.1BeatRising3rd Consecutive Increase—
54.955.455MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
58.856.558.7BeatRising3rd Consecutive Increase—
Miss
Actual
54.5
Previous
54.6
Forecast
55
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
Miss
Actual
55.9
Previous
53.9
Forecast
57
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Beat
Actual
55.4
Previous
54.1
Forecast
54.1
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
Miss
Actual
54.9
Show all indicators (45)Hide extra indicators
58.45658.4In Line—
2.21.61BeatRising3rd Consecutive Increase—
0.70.1

Energy

(16)
Economic IndicatorsHistoryActualPreviousForecastSurpriseTrendFrequency
EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change3.8243.4751.1BeatFalling4th Consecutive Decrease—
API Crude Oil Stock Change-11.1-2.091.9MissFalling5th Consecutive Decrease—
678576MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
3.5180.382—Rising4th Consecutive Increase—
-2.527-0.042—Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Beat
Actual
3.824
Previous
3.475
Forecast
1.1
Falling4th Consecutive Decrease
Miss
Actual
-11.1
Previous
-2.09
Forecast
1.9
Falling5th Consecutive Decrease
Miss
Actual
67
Previous
85
Forecast
76
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Actual
3.518
Show all indicators (16)Hide extra indicators
459462—Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
EIA Weekly Petroleum Report-8.557-3.186-0.3MissFalling4th Consecutive Decrease—
-0.4480.668

Government

(12)
Economic IndicatorsHistoryActualPreviousForecastSurpriseTrendFrequency
Budget Balance-27-167-29BeatRising3rd Consecutive Increase—
Monthly Budget Statement-432-120-346MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
5.6185.308—Rising5th Consecutive Increase—
5.34.834—Rising5th Consecutive Increase—
4.9324.474—Rising4th Consecutive Increase—
Beat
Actual
-27
Previous
-167
Forecast
-29
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
Miss
Actual
-432
Previous
-120
Forecast
-346
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Actual
5.618
Previous
5.308
Forecast
—
Rising5th Consecutive Increase
Actual
5.3
Show all indicators (12)Hide extra indicators
5.0854.512—Rising4th Consecutive Increase—
5.0334.393—Rising2nd Consecutive Increase—
4.7874.204

Other

(90)
Economic IndicatorsHistoryActualPreviousForecastSurpriseTrendFrequency
Overall Net Capital Flows199.887.4—Rising2nd Consecutive Increase—
Foreign Bond Investment108.9-3.6—Rising2nd Consecutive Increase—
279.2-27.975.2BeatRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
0.80.2—Rising4th Consecutive Increase—
7.47.4——
Actual
199.8
Previous
87.4
Forecast
—
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Actual
108.9
Previous
-3.6
Forecast
—
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Beat
Actual
279.2
Previous
-27.9
Forecast
75.2
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Actual
0.8
Show all indicators (90)Hide extra indicators
6.716.73—Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
4.329.2—Falling4th Consecutive Decrease—
43.248.6
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12:30
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Fed Interest Rate Decision
Central Bank Balance Sheet
Previous
3
Forecast
—
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Interest Rate Projection - Longer
Actual
3.2
Previous
3.1
Forecast
—
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Interest Rate Projection - Current
Actual
4.1
Previous
3.8
Forecast
—
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
Interest Rate Projection - 3rd Yr
Actual
3.6
Previous
3.1
Forecast
—
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Interest Rate Projection - 2nd Yr
Actual
3.9
Previous
3.4
Forecast
—
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
Interest Rate Projection - 1st Yr
Actual
4.1
Previous
3.6
Forecast
—
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
Previous
0.3
Forecast
0.2
PCE Price Index YoY
Miss
Actual
3.4
Previous
3.4
Forecast
3.7
0.3
Miss
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
—
CPI336.94334.98—Rising3rd Consecutive Increase—
CPI YoY2.52.62.5In LineRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
CPI MoM0.50.60.5In LineRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
Producer Price Index YoY6.35.65.3BeatRising3rd Consecutive Increase—
Producer Price Index MoM1.30.50.5BeatRising4th Consecutive Increase—
Inflation Expectations3.23.33.2In Line—
Consumer Inflation Expectation3.93.63.7BeatRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
Producer Price Index159.78157.662159.1BeatRising4th Consecutive Increase—
PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade MoM0.50.30.3BeatRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade YoY54.84.7BeatRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
Core PPI MoM0.70.20.3BeatRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
Core PPI YoY54.84.4BeatRising3rd Consecutive Increase—
Cleveland CPI MoM0.20.2——
CPI n.s.a MoM0.590.32——
Super Core CPI MoM0.330.40.4MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
CPI SA336.3334.131335.8BeatRising4th Consecutive Increase—
Core Inflation Rate338.9337.77—Rising4th Consecutive Increase—
Super Core CPI YoY3.052.993.1MissRising3rd Consecutive Increase—
Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations3.53.43.5In LineRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
Super Core PCE YoY3.463.42—Rising2nd Consecutive Increase—
Core PCE Prices QoQ3.33.93.6MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
PCE Prices QoQ54.25.3MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Super Core PCE MoM0.360.07—Rising2nd Consecutive Increase—
Core CPI337.77336.79—Rising4th Consecutive Increase—
Michigan 1 Year Inflation Expectations3.443.5MissRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
Core PCE YoY1.51.4——
Core PCE MoM0.20.20.2In LineRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
Core PCE Price Index QoQ1.31.31.3In Line—
Core PCE Prices YoY1.31.5——
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy YoY1.71.71.7In Line—
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy MoM0.20.20.2In Line—
Core PCE Price Index YoY
Miss
Actual
3
Previous
3
Forecast
3.3
PCE Price Index MoM
Miss
Actual
0.3
Previous
0.1
Forecast
0.4
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
Core PCE Price Index MoM
Miss
Actual
0.2
Previous
0.1
Forecast
0.3
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
CPI
Actual
336.94
Previous
334.98
Forecast
—
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
CPI YoY
In Line
Actual
2.5
Previous
2.6
Forecast
2.5
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
CPI MoM
In Line
Actual
0.5
Previous
0.6
Forecast
0.5
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Beat
Actual
6.3
Previous
5.6
Forecast
5.3
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
Beat
Actual
1.3
Previous
0.5
Forecast
0.5
Rising4th Consecutive Increase
Inflation Expectations
In Line
Actual
3.2
Previous
3.3
Forecast
3.2
Beat
Actual
3.9
Previous
3.6
Forecast
3.7
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Beat
Actual
159.78
Previous
157.662
Forecast
159.1
Rising4th Consecutive Increase
Beat
Actual
0.5
Previous
0.3
Forecast
0.3
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Beat
Actual
5
Previous
4.8
Forecast
4.7
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Core PPI MoM
Beat
Actual
0.7
Previous
0.2
Forecast
0.3
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Beat
Actual
5
Previous
4.8
Forecast
4.4
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
Cleveland CPI MoM
Actual
0.2
Previous
0.2
Forecast
—
CPI n.s.a MoM
Actual
0.59
Previous
0.32
Forecast
—
Miss
Actual
0.33
Previous
0.4
Forecast
0.4
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
CPI SA
Beat
Actual
336.3
Previous
334.131
Forecast
335.8
Rising4th Consecutive Increase
Core Inflation Rate
Actual
338.9
Previous
337.77
Forecast
—
Rising4th Consecutive Increase
Miss
Actual
3.05
Previous
2.99
Forecast
3.1
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
In Line
Actual
3.5
Previous
3.4
Forecast
3.5
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Super Core PCE YoY
Actual
3.46
Previous
3.42
Forecast
—
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Miss
Actual
3.3
Previous
3.9
Forecast
3.6
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Miss
Actual
5
Previous
4.2
Forecast
5.3
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Super Core PCE MoM
Actual
0.36
Previous
0.07
Forecast
—
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Core CPI
Actual
337.77
Previous
336.79
Forecast
—
Rising4th Consecutive Increase
Michigan 1 Year Inflation Expectations
Miss
Actual
3.4
Previous
4
Forecast
3.5
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Actual
1.5
Previous
1.4
Forecast
—
In Line
Actual
0.2
Previous
0.2
Forecast
0.2
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
In Line
Actual
1.3
Previous
1.3
Forecast
1.3
Actual
1.3
Previous
1.5
Forecast
—
In Line
Actual
1.7
Previous
1.7
Forecast
1.7
In Line
Actual
0.2
Previous
0.2
Forecast
0.2
Previous
3.1
Forecast
3.2
Falling4th Consecutive Decrease
Average Hourly Earnings MoM
Miss
Actual
0.1
Previous
0.3
Forecast
0.3
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
61.4
Beat
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
—
Initial Jobless Claims199198200MissRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
Continuing Jobless Claims171017141710In LineFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Jobless Claims 4-Week Average198.5198.25199MissRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
Challenger Job Cuts43.28152.88178MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Philly Fed Employment9.111.8—Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
Real Earnings MoM-0.50.2—Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
CB Employment Trends Index107.56108.08—Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
U-6 Unemployment Rate7.67.77.7MissFalling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
Average Weekly Hours34.434.434.3Beat—
Manufacturing Payrolls91510MissFalling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
Government Payrolls-174415MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
JOLTs Job Quits3.0663.0893BeatFalling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
Unit Labour Costs QoQ1.21.31.3MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Employment Cost - Wages QoQ0.90.80.7BeatRising3rd Consecutive Increase—
Employment Benefits QoQ11.2—Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Employment Wages QoQ0.90.8—Rising3rd Consecutive Increase—
Employment Cost - Benefits QoQ11.21.1MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Employment Cost Index QoQ0.90.90.8Beat—
Average Hourly Earnings3.944MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Fed Labor Market Conditions Index MoM1.53.32.5MissFalling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
Labour Costs QoQ-1.6—-0.5Miss—
Employment cost Index0.50.40.4Beat—
Unit Labour Costs YoY2.10.1——
ADP Employment Change
Beat
Actual
90
Previous
36
Forecast
70
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
JOLTs Job Openings
Miss
Actual
7.079
Previous
7.335
Forecast
7.23
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Participation Rate
Beat
Actual
61.8
Previous
61.6
Forecast
61.4
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
Initial Jobless Claims
Miss
Actual
199
Previous
198
Forecast
200
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
In Line
Actual
1710
Previous
1714
Forecast
1710
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Miss
Actual
198.5
Previous
198.25
Forecast
199
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Challenger Job Cuts
Miss
Actual
43.281
Previous
52.881
Forecast
78
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Actual
9.1
Previous
11.8
Forecast
—
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
Actual
-0.5
Previous
0.2
Forecast
—
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Actual
107.56
Previous
108.08
Forecast
—
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Miss
Actual
7.6
Previous
7.7
Forecast
7.7
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
Beat
Actual
34.4
Previous
34.4
Forecast
34.3
Miss
Actual
9
Previous
15
Forecast
10
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
Miss
Actual
-17
Previous
44
Forecast
15
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Beat
Actual
3.066
Previous
3.089
Forecast
3
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
Miss
Actual
1.2
Previous
1.3
Forecast
1.3
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Beat
Actual
0.9
Previous
0.8
Forecast
0.7
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
Actual
1
Previous
1.2
Forecast
—
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Actual
0.9
Previous
0.8
Forecast
—
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
Miss
Actual
1
Previous
1.2
Forecast
1.1
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Beat
Actual
0.9
Previous
0.9
Forecast
0.8
Average Hourly Earnings
Miss
Actual
3.9
Previous
4
Forecast
4
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Fed Labor Market Conditions Index MoM
Miss
Actual
1.5
Previous
3.3
Forecast
2.5
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
Miss
Actual
-1.6
Previous
—
Forecast
-0.5
Employment cost Index
Beat
Actual
0.5
Previous
0.4
Forecast
0.4
Actual
2.1
Previous
0.1
Forecast
—
Forecast
3.6
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
GDP Deflator QoQ
Actual
1.6
Previous
2
Forecast
—
—
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
—
GDP Price Index1.31.61.6Miss—
GDP Deflator1.621.3Beat—
GDP Consumer Spending YoY1.51.81.6Miss—
GDP Growth Rate2.51.12.2Beat—
GDP Price Index QoQ
Miss
Actual
6.1
Previous
3.2
Forecast
6.4
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
GDP Sales QoQ
Beat
Actual
2.8
Previous
2.3
Forecast
2.2
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
GDP Consumer Spending QoQ
Actual
2.2
Previous
3
Forecast
—
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
GDP Price Index
Miss
Actual
1.3
Previous
1.6
Forecast
1.6
Beat
Actual
1.6
Previous
2
Forecast
1.3
Miss
Actual
1.5
Previous
1.8
Forecast
1.6
GDP Growth Rate
Beat
Actual
2.5
Previous
1.1
Forecast
2.2
Previous
4.3
Forecast
-2.7
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
New Home Sales
Beat
Actual
0.684
Previous
0.643
Forecast
0.62
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
34
Miss
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
—
House Price Index YoY2.62.32.2BeatRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
House Price Index MoM0.300.1BeatRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
MBA Purchase Index139.3145.1—Falling5th Consecutive Decrease—
MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate7.57.49—Rising5th Consecutive Increase—
MBA Mortgage Applications-2.7-4.2—Rising3rd Consecutive Increase—
MBA Mortgage Market Index199.2204.7—Falling5th Consecutive Decrease—
MBA Mortgage Refinance Index513.5515.8—Falling5th Consecutive Decrease—
Existing Home Sales MoM1.5-3.2-0.3BeatRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
Construction Spending MoM0.9-0.10BeatRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price YoY2.52.22.2BeatRising5th Consecutive Increase—
S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price MoM00.40.2MissFalling5th Consecutive Decrease—
House Price Index443.5442.3442.9BeatRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
Pending Home Sales YoY-4.7-2.2-0.7MissFalling4th Consecutive Decrease—
Existing Home Sales
Beat
Actual
3.99
Previous
3.93
Forecast
3.95
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Pending Home Sales MoM
Miss
Actual
0.3
Previous
-2.6
Forecast
2
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
NAHB Housing Market Index
Miss
Actual
32
Previous
35
Forecast
34
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
House Price Index YoY
Beat
Actual
2.6
Previous
2.3
Forecast
2.2
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Beat
Actual
0.3
Previous
0
Forecast
0.1
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Actual
139.3
Previous
145.1
Forecast
—
Falling5th Consecutive Decrease
Actual
7.5
Previous
7.49
Forecast
—
Rising5th Consecutive Increase
Actual
-2.7
Previous
-4.2
Forecast
—
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
Actual
199.2
Previous
204.7
Forecast
—
Falling5th Consecutive Decrease
Actual
513.5
Previous
515.8
Forecast
—
Falling5th Consecutive Decrease
Beat
Actual
1.5
Previous
-3.2
Forecast
-0.3
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Beat
Actual
0.9
Previous
-0.1
Forecast
0
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Beat
Actual
2.5
Previous
2.2
Forecast
2.2
Rising5th Consecutive Increase
Miss
Actual
0
Previous
0.4
Forecast
0.2
Falling5th Consecutive Decrease
Beat
Actual
443.5
Previous
442.3
Forecast
442.9
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Miss
Actual
-4.7
Previous
-2.2
Forecast
-0.7
Falling4th Consecutive Decrease
Previous
1.1
Forecast
0.2
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Michigan Consumer Sentiment
Miss
Actual
46.3
Previous
48.1
Forecast
47.6
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
15
Miss
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
—
Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM00.80.1MissFalling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
Redbook YoY10.48.6—Rising4th Consecutive Increase—
Michigan Current Conditions44.750.950.5MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Michigan Inflation Expectations4.74.64.7In LineRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
Michigan Consumer Expectations47.346.345.9BeatRising3rd Consecutive Increase—
Real Consumer Spending QoQ3.80.73.4BeatRising4th Consecutive Increase—
CB Consumer Confidence81.988.689.2MissFalling4th Consecutive Decrease—
Total Household Debt18.818.8——
Real Consumer Spending1.61.9—Falling4th Consecutive Decrease—
BoE Consumer Credit8.0525.212.4MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Redbook MoM-17.2-17.4—Rising5th Consecutive Increase—
Reuters Michigan Consumer Sentiment98.193.698.2MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Personal Spending MoM
Beat
Actual
0.9
Previous
0.1
Forecast
0.8
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Personal Income MoM
Miss
Actual
0.2
Previous
0.3
Forecast
0.4
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Consumer Credit Change
Miss
Actual
8.28
Previous
17.74
Forecast
15
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM
Miss
Actual
0
Previous
0.8
Forecast
0.1
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
Actual
10.4
Previous
8.6
Forecast
—
Rising4th Consecutive Increase
Miss
Actual
44.7
Previous
50.9
Forecast
50.5
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
In Line
Actual
4.7
Previous
4.6
Forecast
4.7
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Beat
Actual
47.3
Previous
46.3
Forecast
45.9
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
Beat
Actual
3.8
Previous
0.7
Forecast
3.4
Rising4th Consecutive Increase
Miss
Actual
81.9
Previous
88.6
Forecast
89.2
Falling4th Consecutive Decrease
Actual
18.8
Previous
18.8
Forecast
—
Real Consumer Spending
Actual
1.6
Previous
1.9
Forecast
—
Falling4th Consecutive Decrease
BoE Consumer Credit
Miss
Actual
8.05
Previous
25.2
Forecast
12.4
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Actual
-17.2
Previous
-17.4
Forecast
—
Rising5th Consecutive Increase
Miss
Actual
98.1
Previous
93.6
Forecast
98.2
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
310.7
Forecast
314.6
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Imports
Beat
Actual
420.8
Previous
403.6
Forecast
416.8
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
9.4
Beat
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
—
Import Prices MoM1.10.50.8BeatRising3rd Consecutive Increase—
Export Prices MoM2.21.21BeatRising3rd Consecutive Increase—
Crude Oil Imports-0.596-0.053—Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Goods Trade Balance
Miss
Actual
-132.6
Previous
-118.9
Forecast
-115
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
Import Prices YoY
Beat
Actual
8.1
Previous
6.7
Forecast
7.9
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
Export Prices YoY
Beat
Actual
11.6
Previous
9.3
Forecast
9.4
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
Import Prices MoM
Beat
Actual
1.1
Previous
0.5
Forecast
0.8
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
Beat
Actual
2.2
Previous
1.2
Forecast
1
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
Crude Oil Imports
Actual
-0.596
Previous
-0.053
Forecast
—
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Previous
55.4
Forecast
55
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Services PMI
Beat
Actual
58.8
Previous
56.5
Forecast
58.7
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
0.4
Beat
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
—
Manufacturing Production YoY1.10.90.8BeatRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
Manufacturing Production MoM0.3-0.20.3In LineRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
Durable Goods Orders Ex Transp MoM0.30.70.6MissFalling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
Capacity Utilization76.976.476.5BeatRising5th Consecutive Increase—
Business Inventories MoM0.40.90.4In LineFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
NY Empire State Manufacturing Index25.57.610.3BeatRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index20.937.828.4MissFalling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
NFIB Business Optimism Index97.998.798MissFalling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
Wholesale Inventories MoM0.51.40.7MissFalling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index46.845.644.5BeatRising3rd Consecutive Increase—
ISM Services New Orders59.860.960.3MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
ISM Services Business Activity56.561.761.5MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
ISM Services Employment50.147.848BeatRising3rd Consecutive Increase—
ISM Services Prices7472.672.9BeatRising4th Consecutive Increase—
Factory Orders ex Transportation0.30.70.2BeatFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Factory Orders MoM0.10.80.1In LineFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
ISM Manufacturing Employment52.751.251.5BeatRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
ISM Manufacturing Prices77.971.172.3BeatRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
ISM Manufacturing New Orders55.353.753.9BeatRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
Chicago PMI58.847.151.2BeatRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index9.811.61BeatFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Durable Goods Orders MoM-0.071450.9-0.4BeatFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense MoM0.11.4-0.6BeatFalling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index20179BeatRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Shipments Index-5119MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index-245MissFalling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
ISM Non-Manufacturing Employment47.847.448.3MissRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
ISM Non-Manufacturing New Orders60.957.256BeatRising3rd Consecutive Increase—
ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices72.670.370BeatRising3rd Consecutive Increase—
ISM Non-Manufacturing Business Activity61.759.1—Rising3rd Consecutive Increase—
Economic Optimism Index45.645.146.2MissRising3rd Consecutive Increase—
IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism42.847.548.1MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Durable Goods Orders ex Defense MoM0.5-1.9-0.4BeatFalling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
ISM New York Index37.235.547MissRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
ISM Prices Paid35.53940MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
HSBC Services PMI55.756——
Core Durable Goods Orders1.3—0.5Beat—
Composite PMI
In Line
Actual
58.4
Previous
56
Forecast
58.4
Industrial Production YoY
Beat
Actual
2.2
Previous
1.6
Forecast
1
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
Industrial Production MoM
Beat
Actual
0.7
Previous
0.1
Forecast
0.4
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Manufacturing Production YoY
Beat
Actual
1.1
Previous
0.9
Forecast
0.8
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
In Line
Actual
0.3
Previous
-0.2
Forecast
0.3
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Miss
Actual
0.3
Previous
0.7
Forecast
0.6
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
Beat
Actual
76.9
Previous
76.4
Forecast
76.5
Rising5th Consecutive Increase
In Line
Actual
0.4
Previous
0.9
Forecast
0.4
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Beat
Actual
25.5
Previous
7.6
Forecast
10.3
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Miss
Actual
20.9
Previous
37.8
Forecast
28.4
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
Miss
Actual
97.9
Previous
98.7
Forecast
98
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
Miss
Actual
0.5
Previous
1.4
Forecast
0.7
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
Beat
Actual
46.8
Previous
45.6
Forecast
44.5
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
Miss
Actual
59.8
Previous
60.9
Forecast
60.3
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Miss
Actual
56.5
Previous
61.7
Forecast
61.5
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Beat
Actual
50.1
Previous
47.8
Forecast
48
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
Beat
Actual
74
Previous
72.6
Forecast
72.9
Rising4th Consecutive Increase
Beat
Actual
0.3
Previous
0.7
Forecast
0.2
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
In Line
Actual
0.1
Previous
0.8
Forecast
0.1
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Beat
Actual
52.7
Previous
51.2
Forecast
51.5
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Beat
Actual
77.9
Previous
71.1
Forecast
72.3
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Beat
Actual
55.3
Previous
53.7
Forecast
53.9
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Beat
Actual
58.8
Previous
47.1
Forecast
51.2
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Beat
Actual
9.8
Previous
11.6
Forecast
1
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Beat
Actual
-0.07145
Previous
0.9
Forecast
-0.4
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Beat
Actual
0.1
Previous
1.4
Forecast
-0.6
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
Beat
Actual
20
Previous
17
Forecast
9
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Miss
Actual
-5
Previous
11
Forecast
9
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Miss
Actual
-2
Previous
4
Forecast
5
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
Miss
Actual
47.8
Previous
47.4
Forecast
48.3
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Beat
Actual
60.9
Previous
57.2
Forecast
56
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
Beat
Actual
72.6
Previous
70.3
Forecast
70
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
Actual
61.7
Previous
59.1
Forecast
—
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
Economic Optimism Index
Miss
Actual
45.6
Previous
45.1
Forecast
46.2
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism
Miss
Actual
42.8
Previous
47.5
Forecast
48.1
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Beat
Actual
0.5
Previous
-1.9
Forecast
-0.4
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
Miss
Actual
37.2
Previous
35.5
Forecast
47
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Miss
Actual
35.5
Previous
39
Forecast
40
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Actual
55.7
Previous
56
Forecast
—
Core Durable Goods Orders
Beat
Actual
1.3
Previous
—
Forecast
0.5
Previous
0.382
Forecast
—
Rising4th Consecutive Increase
EIA Distillate Stocks Change
Actual
-2.527
Previous
-0.042
Forecast
—
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
—
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
—
EIA Cushing Crude Oil Stocks Change1.8620.444—Rising2nd Consecutive Increase—
EIA Refinery Crude Runs Change0.1350.223—Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
EIA Distillate Fuel Production Change-0.1010.287—Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
EIA Gasoline Production Change-0.117-0.117——
EIA Crude Oil Imports Change0.661-0.019—Rising2nd Consecutive Increase—
API Weekly Crude Oil Stock-6.3566.513—Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
API Gasoline Stock Change-3.48-0.18—Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
Gasoline Inventories-1.7193.6530.61Miss—
Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count
Actual
459
Previous
462
Forecast
—
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
EIA Weekly Petroleum Report
Miss
Actual
-8.557
Previous
-3.186
Forecast
-0.3
Falling4th Consecutive Decrease
EIA Heating Oil Stocks Change
Actual
-0.448
Previous
0.668
Forecast
—
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
EIA Cushing Crude Oil Stocks Change
Actual
1.862
Previous
0.444
Forecast
—
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Actual
0.135
Previous
0.223
Forecast
—
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Actual
-0.101
Previous
0.287
Forecast
—
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Actual
-0.117
Previous
-0.117
Forecast
—
EIA Crude Oil Imports Change
Actual
0.661
Previous
-0.019
Forecast
—
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Actual
-6.356
Previous
6.513
Forecast
—
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Actual
-3.48
Previous
-0.18
Forecast
—
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
Miss
Actual
-1.719
Previous
3.653
Forecast
0.61
Previous
4.834
Forecast
—
Rising5th Consecutive Increase
3-Year Note Auction
Actual
4.932
Previous
4.474
Forecast
—
Rising4th Consecutive Increase
—
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
—
20-Year Bond Auction5.425.204—Rising4th Consecutive Increase—
Budget-1837-966—Rising4th Consecutive Increase—
30-Year Note Auction3.243.224——
Fed Pace of Treasury Purchase Program454545In Line—
7-Year Note Auction
Actual
5.085
Previous
4.512
Forecast
—
Rising4th Consecutive Increase
5-Year Note Auction
Actual
5.033
Previous
4.393
Forecast
—
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
2-Year Note Auction
Actual
4.787
Previous
4.204
Forecast
—
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
20-Year Bond Auction
Actual
5.42
Previous
5.204
Forecast
—
Rising4th Consecutive Increase
Budget
Actual
-1837
Previous
-966
Forecast
—
Rising4th Consecutive Increase
Actual
3.24
Previous
3.224
Forecast
—
In Line
Actual
45
Previous
45
Forecast
45
Previous
0.2
Forecast
—
Rising4th Consecutive Increase
30-Year Mortgage Rate
Actual
7.4
Previous
7.4
Forecast
—
—
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
—
Philly Fed Business Conditions3352.9—Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
Philly Fed CAPEX Index34.937.1—Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI45.1850.45—Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Wholesale Sales MoM1.81—Rising3rd Consecutive Increase—
Used Car Prices YoY-0.60.4—Falling5th Consecutive Decrease—
Used Car Prices MoM-1.1-0.9—Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
LMI Logistics Managers Index70.266.6—Rising2nd Consecutive Increase—
All Truck Sales13.4613.85—Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
All Car Sales2.522.74—Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Total Vehicle Sales1616.816.6MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Quarterly Grain Stocks - Corn2.0955.291.91BeatFalling4th Consecutive Decrease—
Quarterly Grain Stocks - Wheat1.8450.921.83BeatRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
Quarterly Grain Stocks - Soy0.3151.060.33MissFalling4th Consecutive Decrease—
Corporate Profits QoQ7.70.58.2MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Dallas Fed Services Revenues Index-0.96.62MissFalling4th Consecutive Decrease—
Dallas Fed Services Index-1.84.21MissFalling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
Non Defense Goods Orders Ex Air1.60.60.5BeatRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
Kansas Fed Composite Index14105BeatRising3rd Consecutive Increase—
2-Year FRN Auction0.040.055—Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
M2 Money Supply MoM23.3423.22—Rising5th Consecutive Increase—
Money Supply23.3423.22—Rising5th Consecutive Increase—
Richmond Fed Services Index0-8-6BeatRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
Chicago Fed National Activity Index-0.040.080.2MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Leading Index MoM-0.10.20.1MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
10-Year TIPS Auction2.6532.438—Rising4th Consecutive Increase—
Fed Balance Sheet6.7376.731—Rising2nd Consecutive Increase—
Nonfarm Productivity QoQ1.40.81.4In Line—
30-Year TIPS Auction2.9732.473—Rising2nd Consecutive Increase—
5-Year TIPS Auction1.9551.367—Rising2nd Consecutive Increase—
CFTC Soybeans speculative net positions208.5227.8—Rising3rd Consecutive Increase—
CFTC Corn speculative net positions290.8334.8—Rising2nd Consecutive Increase—
CFTC Nasdaq 100 speculative net positions12.520.6—Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
CFTC Aluminium Speculative net positions0.3-0.9—Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
CFTC Natural Gas speculative net positions-184-167.5—Rising2nd Consecutive Increase—
CFTC Silver Speculative net positions23.423.9—Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions-45.7-42.5—Rising2nd Consecutive Increase—
CFTC Copper Speculative net positions40.240.1—Falling5th Consecutive Decrease—
CFTC Wheat speculative net positions-18.7-9.4—Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
CFTC Crude Oil speculative net positions202.2213.5—Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
CFTC Gold Speculative net positions156.3163.2—Falling5th Consecutive Decrease—
Richmond Fed Services Revenues Index9-8-13BeatRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
Commitment of Traders (CFTC)-0.7-1.6——
42-Day Bill Auction4.274.26—Rising3rd Consecutive Increase—
30-Day Bill Auction4.55———
43-Day Bill Auction5.27——Rising3rd Consecutive Increase—
Prospective Plantings - Corn90.03691.99691.776MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Prospective Plantings - Wheat47.49849.85547.33BeatFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Prospective Plantings - Soy86.5187.50586.53MissFalling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
Prospective Plantings - Cotton10.67311.25610.906MissFalling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
41-Day Bill Auction5.285———
LMI Logistics Managers Index Current51.245.4—Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
12-Day Bill Auction4.54———
78-Day Bill Auction0.07———
21-Day Bill Auction0.05——Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
14-Day Bill Auction0.060.055——
119-Day Bill Yield0.070.055——
35-Day Bill Auction0.15———
48-Day Bill Auction0.1———
119-Day Bill Auction0.0550.05—Rising3rd Consecutive Increase—
40-Day Bill Auction0.055———
67-Day Bill Auction0.06———
57-Day Bill Auction0.065———
105-Day Bill Auction0.0450.055—Falling5th Consecutive Decrease—
154-Day Bill Auction0.0550.055——
118-Day Bill Auction0.09———
120-Day Bill Auction0.11———
273-Day Bill Auction0.140.18—Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
103-Day Bill Auction0.1150.105——
69-Day Bill Auction0.270.135——
Domestic Car Sales3.773.93—Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
Domestic Truck Sales9.379.14—Rising2nd Consecutive Increase—
Chain Stores Sales YoY2.23.1—Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Chain Stores Sales WoW3.43—Rising4th Consecutive Increase—
QE Treasuries101510In LineFalling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
QE MBS5105In LineFalling5th Consecutive Decrease—
QE Total2535—Falling5th Consecutive Decrease—
National activity index0.16———
Fed Pace of MBS Purchase Program404040In Line—
Total Net TIC Flows-2.956.7—Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Personal Consumption Expenditure YoY2.11.8——
Mass Layoffs1.341.42——
Nonfarm Productivity YoY0.5———
15-Year Mortgage Rate
Actual
6.71
Previous
6.73
Forecast
—
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Philly Fed New Orders
Actual
4.3
Previous
29.2
Forecast
—
Falling4th Consecutive Decrease
Philly Fed Prices Paid
Actual
43.2
Previous
48.6
Forecast
—
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Philly Fed Business Conditions
Actual
33
Previous
52.9
Forecast
—
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
Actual
34.9
Previous
37.1
Forecast
—
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
Actual
45.18
Previous
50.45
Forecast
—
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Actual
1.8
Previous
1
Forecast
—
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
Actual
-0.6
Previous
0.4
Forecast
—
Falling5th Consecutive Decrease
Actual
-1.1
Previous
-0.9
Forecast
—
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Actual
70.2
Previous
66.6
Forecast
—
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Actual
13.46
Previous
13.85
Forecast
—
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Actual
2.52
Previous
2.74
Forecast
—
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Miss
Actual
16
Previous
16.8
Forecast
16.6
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Beat
Actual
2.095
Previous
5.29
Forecast
1.91
Falling4th Consecutive Decrease
Beat
Actual
1.845
Previous
0.92
Forecast
1.83
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Miss
Actual
0.315
Previous
1.06
Forecast
0.33
Falling4th Consecutive Decrease
Miss
Actual
7.7
Previous
0.5
Forecast
8.2
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Miss
Actual
-0.9
Previous
6.6
Forecast
2
Falling4th Consecutive Decrease
Miss
Actual
-1.8
Previous
4.2
Forecast
1
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
Beat
Actual
1.6
Previous
0.6
Forecast
0.5
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Beat
Actual
14
Previous
10
Forecast
5
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
Actual
0.04
Previous
0.055
Forecast
—
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Actual
23.34
Previous
23.22
Forecast
—
Rising5th Consecutive Increase
Actual
23.34
Previous
23.22
Forecast
—
Rising5th Consecutive Increase
Beat
Actual
0
Previous
-8
Forecast
-6
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Miss
Actual
-0.04
Previous
0.08
Forecast
0.2
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Miss
Actual
-0.1
Previous
0.2
Forecast
0.1
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Actual
2.653
Previous
2.438
Forecast
—
Rising4th Consecutive Increase
Actual
6.737
Previous
6.731
Forecast
—
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
In Line
Actual
1.4
Previous
0.8
Forecast
1.4
Actual
2.973
Previous
2.473
Forecast
—
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Actual
1.955
Previous
1.367
Forecast
—
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
CFTC Soybeans speculative net positions
Actual
208.5
Previous
227.8
Forecast
—
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
CFTC Corn speculative net positions
Actual
290.8
Previous
334.8
Forecast
—
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
CFTC Nasdaq 100 speculative net positions
Actual
12.5
Previous
20.6
Forecast
—
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
CFTC Aluminium Speculative net positions
Actual
0.3
Previous
-0.9
Forecast
—
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
CFTC Natural Gas speculative net positions
Actual
-184
Previous
-167.5
Forecast
—
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
CFTC Silver Speculative net positions
Actual
23.4
Previous
23.9
Forecast
—
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions
Actual
-45.7
Previous
-42.5
Forecast
—
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
CFTC Copper Speculative net positions
Actual
40.2
Previous
40.1
Forecast
—
Falling5th Consecutive Decrease
CFTC Wheat speculative net positions
Actual
-18.7
Previous
-9.4
Forecast
—
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
CFTC Crude Oil speculative net positions
Actual
202.2
Previous
213.5
Forecast
—
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
CFTC Gold Speculative net positions
Actual
156.3
Previous
163.2
Forecast
—
Falling5th Consecutive Decrease
Beat
Actual
9
Previous
-8
Forecast
-13
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Commitment of Traders (CFTC)
Actual
-0.7
Previous
-1.6
Forecast
—
Actual
4.27
Previous
4.26
Forecast
—
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
Actual
4.55
Previous
—
Forecast
—
Actual
5.27
Previous
—
Forecast
—
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
Miss
Actual
90.036
Previous
91.996
Forecast
91.776
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Beat
Actual
47.498
Previous
49.855
Forecast
47.33
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Miss
Actual
86.51
Previous
87.505
Forecast
86.53
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
Miss
Actual
10.673
Previous
11.256
Forecast
10.906
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
Actual
5.285
Previous
—
Forecast
—
Actual
51.2
Previous
45.4
Forecast
—
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Actual
4.54
Previous
—
Forecast
—
Actual
0.07
Previous
—
Forecast
—
Actual
0.05
Previous
—
Forecast
—
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Actual
0.06
Previous
0.055
Forecast
—
Actual
0.07
Previous
0.055
Forecast
—
Actual
0.15
Previous
—
Forecast
—
Actual
0.1
Previous
—
Forecast
—
Actual
0.055
Previous
0.05
Forecast
—
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
Actual
0.055
Previous
—
Forecast
—
Actual
0.06
Previous
—
Forecast
—
Actual
0.065
Previous
—
Forecast
—
Actual
0.045
Previous
0.055
Forecast
—
Falling5th Consecutive Decrease
Actual
0.055
Previous
0.055
Forecast
—
Actual
0.09
Previous
—
Forecast
—
Actual
0.11
Previous
—
Forecast
—
Actual
0.14
Previous
0.18
Forecast
—
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Actual
0.115
Previous
0.105
Forecast
—
Actual
0.27
Previous
0.135
Forecast
—
Actual
3.77
Previous
3.93
Forecast
—
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
Actual
9.37
Previous
9.14
Forecast
—
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Actual
2.2
Previous
3.1
Forecast
—
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Actual
3.4
Previous
3
Forecast
—
Rising4th Consecutive Increase
In Line
Actual
10
Previous
15
Forecast
10
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
In Line
Actual
5
Previous
10
Forecast
5
Falling5th Consecutive Decrease
Actual
25
Previous
35
Forecast
—
Falling5th Consecutive Decrease
Actual
0.16
Previous
—
Forecast
—
In Line
Actual
40
Previous
40
Forecast
40
Actual
-2.9
Previous
56.7
Forecast
—
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Actual
2.1
Previous
1.8
Forecast
—
Actual
1.34
Previous
1.42
Forecast
—
Actual
0.5
Previous
—
Forecast
—
17-Week Bill Auction
FOMC Vote
Interest Rate Projection - Longer
Interest Rate Projection - Current
Interest Rate Projection - 3rd Yr
Interest Rate Projection - 2nd Yr
Interest Rate Projection - 1st Yr
6-Month Bill Auction
3-Month Bill Auction
52-Week Bill Auction
FOMC Vote
Inflation Rate MoM
Core Inflation Rate MoM
PCE Price Index YoY
Inflation Rate YoY
Core Inflation Rate YoY
Inflation Rate MoM
Core Inflation Rate MoM
Core PCE Price Index YoY
PCE Price Index MoM
Core PCE Price Index MoM
Nonfarm Payrolls Private
Average Hourly Earnings YoY
Average Hourly Earnings MoM
Unemployment Rate
Non Farm Payrolls
Nonfarm Payrolls Private
Average Hourly Earnings YoY
ADP Employment Change
JOLTs Job Openings
Participation Rate
Gross Domestic Product QoQ
Atlanta Fed GDPNow
GDP Deflator QoQ
GDP Growth Rate YoY
GDP Growth Rate QoQ
Gross Domestic Product QoQ
Atlanta Fed GDPNow
GDP Price Index QoQ
GDP Sales QoQ
GDP Consumer Spending QoQ
Housing Starts MoM
Building Permits MoM
New Home Sales
Housing Starts
Building Permits
Housing Starts MoM
Building Permits MoM
Existing Home Sales
Pending Home Sales MoM
NAHB Housing Market Index
Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM
Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM
Michigan Consumer Sentiment
Retail Sales MoM
Retail Sales YoY
Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM
Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM
Personal Spending MoM
Personal Income MoM
Consumer Credit Change
Current Account
Exports
Imports
Balance of Trade
Trade Balance
Current Account
Exports
Goods Trade Balance
Import Prices YoY
Export Prices YoY
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI
ISM Services PMI
Services PMI
ISM Manufacturing PMI
Manufacturing PMI
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI
ISM Services PMI
Composite PMI
Industrial Production YoY
Industrial Production MoM
EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change
EIA Gasoline Stocks Change
EIA Distillate Stocks Change
EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change
API Crude Oil Stock Change
EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change
EIA Gasoline Stocks Change
Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count
EIA Heating Oil Stocks Change
30-Year Bond Auction
10-Year Note Auction
3-Year Note Auction
Budget Balance
Monthly Budget Statement
30-Year Bond Auction
10-Year Note Auction
7-Year Note Auction
5-Year Note Auction
2-Year Note Auction
Net Long-Term TIC Flows
EIA Weekly Refinery Utilization Rates WoW
30-Year Mortgage Rate
Overall Net Capital Flows
Foreign Bond Investment
Net Long-Term TIC Flows
EIA Weekly Refinery Utilization Rates WoW
15-Year Mortgage Rate
Philly Fed New Orders
Philly Fed Prices Paid
Producer Price Index YoY
Producer Price Index MoM
Consumer Inflation Expectation
Producer Price Index
PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade MoM
PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade YoY
Core PPI YoY
Super Core CPI MoM
Super Core CPI YoY
Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations
Core PCE Prices QoQ
PCE Prices QoQ
Core PCE YoY
Core PCE MoM
Core PCE Price Index QoQ
Core PCE Prices YoY
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy YoY
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy MoM
Continuing Jobless Claims
Jobless Claims 4-Week Average
Philly Fed Employment
Real Earnings MoM
CB Employment Trends Index
U-6 Unemployment Rate
Average Weekly Hours
Manufacturing Payrolls
Government Payrolls
JOLTs Job Quits
Unit Labour Costs QoQ
Employment Cost - Wages QoQ
Employment Benefits QoQ
Employment Wages QoQ
Employment Cost - Benefits QoQ
Employment Cost Index QoQ
Labour Costs QoQ
Unit Labour Costs YoY
GDP Deflator
GDP Consumer Spending YoY
House Price Index MoM
MBA Purchase Index
MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate
MBA Mortgage Applications
MBA Mortgage Market Index
MBA Mortgage Refinance Index
Existing Home Sales MoM
Construction Spending MoM
S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price YoY
S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price MoM
House Price Index
Pending Home Sales YoY
Redbook YoY
Michigan Current Conditions
Michigan Inflation Expectations
Michigan Consumer Expectations
Real Consumer Spending QoQ
CB Consumer Confidence
Total Household Debt
Redbook MoM
Reuters Michigan Consumer Sentiment
Export Prices MoM
Manufacturing Production MoM
Durable Goods Orders Ex Transp MoM
Capacity Utilization
Business Inventories MoM
NY Empire State Manufacturing Index
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index
NFIB Business Optimism Index
Wholesale Inventories MoM
RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index
ISM Services New Orders
ISM Services Business Activity
ISM Services Employment
ISM Services Prices
Factory Orders ex Transportation
Factory Orders MoM
ISM Manufacturing Employment
ISM Manufacturing Prices
ISM Manufacturing New Orders
Chicago PMI
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index
Durable Goods Orders MoM
Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense MoM
Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Shipments Index
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index
ISM Non-Manufacturing Employment
ISM Non-Manufacturing New Orders
ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices
ISM Non-Manufacturing Business Activity
Durable Goods Orders ex Defense MoM
ISM New York Index
ISM Prices Paid
HSBC Services PMI
EIA Refinery Crude Runs Change
EIA Distillate Fuel Production Change
EIA Gasoline Production Change
API Weekly Crude Oil Stock
API Gasoline Stock Change
Gasoline Inventories
30-Year Note Auction
Fed Pace of Treasury Purchase Program
Philly Fed CAPEX Index
Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI
Wholesale Sales MoM
Used Car Prices YoY
Used Car Prices MoM
LMI Logistics Managers Index
All Truck Sales
All Car Sales
Total Vehicle Sales
Quarterly Grain Stocks - Corn
Quarterly Grain Stocks - Wheat
Quarterly Grain Stocks - Soy
Corporate Profits QoQ
Dallas Fed Services Revenues Index
Dallas Fed Services Index
Non Defense Goods Orders Ex Air
Kansas Fed Composite Index
2-Year FRN Auction
M2 Money Supply MoM
Money Supply
Richmond Fed Services Index
Chicago Fed National Activity Index
Leading Index MoM
10-Year TIPS Auction
Fed Balance Sheet
Nonfarm Productivity QoQ
30-Year TIPS Auction
5-Year TIPS Auction
Richmond Fed Services Revenues Index
42-Day Bill Auction
30-Day Bill Auction
43-Day Bill Auction
Prospective Plantings - Corn
Prospective Plantings - Wheat
Prospective Plantings - Soy
Prospective Plantings - Cotton
41-Day Bill Auction
LMI Logistics Managers Index Current
12-Day Bill Auction
78-Day Bill Auction
21-Day Bill Auction
14-Day Bill Auction
119-Day Bill Yield
35-Day Bill Auction
48-Day Bill Auction
119-Day Bill Auction
40-Day Bill Auction
67-Day Bill Auction
57-Day Bill Auction
105-Day Bill Auction
154-Day Bill Auction
118-Day Bill Auction
120-Day Bill Auction
273-Day Bill Auction
103-Day Bill Auction
69-Day Bill Auction
Domestic Car Sales
Domestic Truck Sales
Chain Stores Sales YoY
Chain Stores Sales WoW
QE Treasuries
QE MBS
QE Total
National activity index
Fed Pace of MBS Purchase Program
Total Net TIC Flows
Personal Consumption Expenditure YoY
Mass Layoffs
Nonfarm Productivity YoY