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Back to countries

United States

AmericasUSD
Compare with other countries
Super Core PCE MoM0.3%
JOLTs Job Openings7.27%
Fed Interest Rate Decision3.75%
GDP Growth Rate QoQ1.5

Currency

EURUSD1.1575
-0.15%

Stock Index

S&P 500761.78
-0.69%

Central Bank

Federal Reserve3.75%
Last Decisionhold

Benchmark

Refreshed: 2026-04-25
87A
Coverage: 4/4

EPI = 100 − |inflation| − unemployment − deficit/GDP + GDP growth. Source: IMF WP/13/214 (Khramov & Lee, 2013).

GDP growth+0.5%
Inflation+3.3%
Unemployment+4.4%
Deficit / GDP-6.3%

Deficit/GDP sourced from CBO 2024

Economic Indicators

Central Bank

(8)
Economic IndicatorsHistoryActualPreviousForecastSurpriseTrendFrequency
3.753.753.75In Line—
7.177.18—Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease—

Upcoming Releases

Sep 2
12:15
ADP Employment Change
Sep 2
14:00
Factory Orders ex Transportation
Sep 2
14:00
Factory Orders MoM
Sep 2
14:30
Crude Oil Imports
Sep 2
14:30
EIA Weekly Refinery Utilization Rates WoW
Sep 2
14:30

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7/10
52-Week Bill Auction3.983.88—Rising5th Consecutive Increase—
3-Month Bill Auction3.773.7153.709BeatRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
6-Month Bill Auction3.8853.79—Rising2nd Consecutive Increase—
Fed Interest Rate Decision
In Line
Actual
3.75
Previous
3.75
Forecast
3.75
Central Bank Balance Sheet
Actual
7.17
Previous
7.18
Forecast
—
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
52-Week Bill Auction
Actual
3.98
Previous
3.88
Forecast
—
Rising5th Consecutive Increase
3-Month Bill Auction
Beat
Actual
3.77
Previous
3.715
Forecast
3.709
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Actual
3.885
Previous
3.79
Forecast
—
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Show all indicators (8)Hide extra indicators
8-Week Bill Auction3.673.655—Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
4-Week Bill Auction3.653.64—Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
17-Week Bill Auction3.753.75—Rising3rd Consecutive Increase—
Actual
3.67
Previous
3.655
Forecast
—
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Actual
3.65
Previous
3.64
Forecast
—
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Actual
3.75
Previous
3.75
Forecast
—
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase

Inflation

(39)
Economic IndicatorsHistoryActualPreviousForecastSurpriseTrendFrequency
Inflation Rate YoY3.43.53.4In LineFalling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
Core Inflation Rate YoY2.52.62.5In LineFalling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
0.1-0.40.1In LineRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
0.200.2In LineRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
3.73.73.6Beat—
In Line
Actual
3.4
Previous
3.5
Forecast
3.4
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
In Line
Actual
2.5
Previous
2.6
Forecast
2.5
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
In Line
Actual
0.1
Previous
-0.4
Forecast
0.1
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
In Line
Actual
0.2
Show all indicators (39)Hide extra indicators
3.33.33.3In Line—
0.2-0.10.1BeatRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
0.20.10.2In LineRising2nd Consecutive Increase—

Employment

(31)
Economic IndicatorsHistoryActualPreviousForecastSurpriseTrendFrequency
Unemployment Rate4.14.24.2MissFalling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
Non Farm Payrolls-232080MissFalling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
303078Miss—
3.23.43.5MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
0.10.30.3MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Miss
Actual
4.1
Previous
4.2
Forecast
4.2
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
Miss
Actual
-23
Previous
20
Forecast
80
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
Miss
Actual
30
Previous
30
Forecast
78
Miss
Actual
3.2
Show all indicators (31)Hide extra indicators
449570MissFalling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
7.2717.1827.3MissFalling4th Consecutive Decrease—
61.461.561.6MissFalling3rd Consecutive Decrease—

Growth

(12)
Economic IndicatorsHistoryActualPreviousForecastSurpriseTrendFrequency
GDP Growth Rate YoY1.81.71.8In Line—
GDP Growth Rate QoQ1.52.11.5In Line—
1.52.11.5In Line—
4.84.64.6BeatRising3rd Consecutive Increase—
1.62——
In Line
Actual
1.8
Previous
1.7
Forecast
1.8
In Line
Actual
1.5
Previous
2.1
Forecast
1.5
In Line
Actual
1.5
Previous
2.1
Forecast
1.5
Beat
Actual
4.8
Previous
4.6
Show all indicators (12)Hide extra indicators
6.43.66.3BeatRising4th Consecutive Increase—
2.21.92.2In Line—
2.23—Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease—

Housing

(21)
Economic IndicatorsHistoryActualPreviousForecastSurpriseTrendFrequency
Housing Starts1.2391.4151.35MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Building Permits1.4331.3741.443MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
-12.419.7-4.7MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
4.3-2.65MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
-10.50.6780.62MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Miss
Actual
1.239
Previous
1.415
Forecast
1.35
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Miss
Actual
1.433
Previous
1.374
Forecast
1.443
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Miss
Actual
-12.4
Previous
19.7
Forecast
-4.7
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Miss
Actual
4.3
Show all indicators (21)Hide extra indicators
4.064.134.05BeatFalling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
Pending Home Sales MoM-2.3-4.80.3MissRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
353433BeatRising2nd Consecutive Increase—

Consumer

(20)
Economic IndicatorsHistoryActualPreviousForecastSurpriseTrendFrequency
Retail Sales MoM-0.60.20.1MissFalling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
Retail Sales YoY56.86MissFalling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
-0.3-0.20.2MissFalling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
-0.20.40.3MissFalling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
51.755.251BeatRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
Miss
Actual
-0.6
Previous
0.2
Forecast
0.1
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
Miss
Actual
5
Previous
6.8
Forecast
6
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
Miss
Actual
-0.3
Previous
-0.2
Forecast
0.2
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
Miss
Actual
-0.2
Show all indicators (20)Hide extra indicators
0.20.40.2In LineFalling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
0.40.20.2BeatRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
14.17-1.0810.5BeatRising2nd Consecutive Increase—

Trade

(11)
Economic IndicatorsHistoryActualPreviousForecastSurpriseTrendFrequency
Balance of Trade-73.3-77.6-73MissRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
Trade Balance-78.3-59.1-77.7MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
-226.8-221.1-217.5MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
314.7317.6312BeatFalling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
388395.3385BeatFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Miss
Actual
-73.3
Previous
-77.6
Forecast
-73
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Miss
Actual
-78.3
Previous
-59.1
Forecast
-77.7
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Miss
Actual
-226.8
Previous
-221.1
Forecast
-217.5
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Beat
Actual
314.7
Previous
Show all indicators (11)Hide extra indicators
-118.8-101.41-99MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
5.97.17.2MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
8.210.29.6MissFalling3rd Consecutive Decrease—

Manufacturing

(45)
Economic IndicatorsHistoryActualPreviousForecastSurpriseTrendFrequency
ISM Manufacturing PMI54.655.655.2MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Manufacturing PMI53.953.953.2BeatRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
54.15454.5MissRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
54.15454.5MissRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
56.854.654BeatRising4th Consecutive Increase—
Miss
Actual
54.6
Previous
55.6
Forecast
55.2
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Beat
Actual
53.9
Previous
53.9
Forecast
53.2
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Miss
Actual
54.1
Previous
54
Forecast
54.5
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Miss
Actual
54.1
Show all indicators (45)Hide extra indicators
5654.553.2BeatRising4th Consecutive Increase—
1.11.291BeatFalling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
0.20.30.3MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—

Energy

(16)
Economic IndicatorsHistoryActualPreviousForecastSurpriseTrendFrequency
EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change3.8243.4751.1BeatRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
API Crude Oil Stock Change-2.64.2-0.8MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
151620MissFalling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
-3.654-1.704-2.6MissFalling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
-1.3490.429-0.7MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Beat
Actual
3.824
Previous
3.475
Forecast
1.1
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
API Crude Oil Stock Change
Miss
Actual
-2.6
Previous
4.2
Forecast
-0.8
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Miss
Actual
15
Previous
16
Forecast
20
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
Miss
Actual
Show all indicators (16)Hide extra indicators
Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count447452454MissFalling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
EIA Weekly Petroleum Report0.0954.4050.6MissFalling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
0.661-0.019—

Government

(12)
Economic IndicatorsHistoryActualPreviousForecastSurpriseTrendFrequency
Budget Balance-432-120-348.3MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Monthly Budget Statement-432-120-346MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
4.5124.473—Rising2nd Consecutive Increase—
4.3934.408—Rising4th Consecutive Increase—
5.2045.163—Rising2nd Consecutive Increase—
Miss
Actual
-432
Previous
-120
Forecast
-348.3
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Miss
Actual
-432
Previous
-120
Forecast
-346
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Actual
4.512
Previous
4.473
Forecast
—
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Actual
4.393
Show all indicators (12)Hide extra indicators
5.2165.058—Rising2nd Consecutive Increase—
4.6834.58—Rising5th Consecutive Increase—
4.2914.179—Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease—

Other

(94)
Economic IndicatorsHistoryActualPreviousForecastSurpriseTrendFrequency
Nonfarm Productivity QoQ1.40.81.4In Line—
Total Vehicle Sales16.816.316.3BeatRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
6.69.57MissFalling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
4.26.65MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
LMI Logistics Managers Index66.668.9—Rising2nd Consecutive Increase—
In Line
Actual
1.4
Previous
0.8
Forecast
1.4
Beat
Actual
16.8
Previous
16.3
Forecast
16.3
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Miss
Actual
6.6
Previous
9.5
Forecast
7
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
Miss
Actual
4.2
Show all indicators (94)Hide extra indicators
6.7316.746—Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
5.985.95—Rising5th Consecutive Increase—
6.666.65—Rising5th Consecutive Increase—
EIA Weekly Petroleum Report
Sep 2
15:30
17-Week Bill Auction

Pakistan Rejects $27 BP LNG Cargo Amid Escalating Energy Crisis

commoditiesSep 2

GitLab Stock Surges 21% Post-Earnings Despite Analyst Valuation Caution

stocksSep 2

US Treasury Yields Surge Amid G-20 Discord and Volkswagen Governance Crisis

bondsSep 2

DOJ Expands Beef Price Probe to Walmart, Amazon, and Costco

stocksSep 2
Fed Interest Rate Decision
Central Bank Balance Sheet
Previous
0
Forecast
0.2
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
PCE Price Index YoY
Beat
Actual
3.7
Previous
3.7
Forecast
3.6
CPI332.81332.57332.6BeatRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
CPI YoY3.43.53.4In LineFalling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
CPI MoM0.1-0.40.1In LineRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
Producer Price Index YoY4.75.54.9MissFalling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
Producer Price Index MoM0-0.10.2MissRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
Inflation Expectations3.23.33.2In Line—
Consumer Inflation Expectation3.63.73.8MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Michigan 1 Year Inflation Expectations44.24.3MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations3.33.33.3In Line—
Core PCE Prices QoQ3.64.43.4BeatRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
Super Core PCE YoY3.92013.9322—Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
PCE Prices QoQ5.34.65.1BeatRising4th Consecutive Increase—
Super Core PCE MoM0.29670.1486—Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Core PPI YoY4.24.74.2In LineFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade YoY4.755.1MissFalling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
Producer Price Index156.563156.607156.41BeatFalling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
Core PPI MoM0.20.40.3MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade MoM0.40.10.1BeatRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
Cleveland CPI MoM0.30.2——
Core CPI MoM0.200.2In LineRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
Core CPI YoY2.52.62.5In LineFalling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
Super Core CPI YoY3.12843.2323.2MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Super Core CPI MoM0.1441-0.00460.1BeatFalling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
CPI n.s.a MoM-0.01-0.35——
Core CPI336.79336.07—Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Core PCE YoY1.51.4——
Core PCE MoM0.20.20.2In LineRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
Core PCE Price Index QoQ1.31.31.3In Line—
Core PCE Prices YoY1.31.5——
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy YoY1.71.71.7In Line—
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy MoM0.20.20.2In Line—
Core PCE Price Index YoY
In Line
Actual
3.3
Previous
3.3
Forecast
3.3
PCE Price Index MoM
Beat
Actual
0.2
Previous
-0.1
Forecast
0.1
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Core PCE Price Index MoM
In Line
Actual
0.2
Previous
0.1
Forecast
0.2
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
CPI
Beat
Actual
332.81
Previous
332.57
Forecast
332.6
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
CPI YoY
In Line
Actual
3.4
Previous
3.5
Forecast
3.4
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
CPI MoM
In Line
Actual
0.1
Previous
-0.4
Forecast
0.1
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Miss
Actual
4.7
Previous
5.5
Forecast
4.9
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
Miss
Actual
0
Previous
-0.1
Forecast
0.2
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
In Line
Actual
3.2
Previous
3.3
Forecast
3.2
Miss
Actual
3.6
Previous
3.7
Forecast
3.8
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Michigan 1 Year Inflation Expectations
Miss
Actual
4
Previous
4.2
Forecast
4.3
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
In Line
Actual
3.3
Previous
3.3
Forecast
3.3
Beat
Actual
3.6
Previous
4.4
Forecast
3.4
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Super Core PCE YoY
Actual
3.9201
Previous
3.9322
Forecast
—
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Beat
Actual
5.3
Previous
4.6
Forecast
5.1
Rising4th Consecutive Increase
Super Core PCE MoM
Actual
0.2967
Previous
0.1486
Forecast
—
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
In Line
Actual
4.2
Previous
4.7
Forecast
4.2
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Miss
Actual
4.7
Previous
5
Forecast
5.1
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
Beat
Actual
156.563
Previous
156.607
Forecast
156.41
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
Miss
Actual
0.2
Previous
0.4
Forecast
0.3
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Beat
Actual
0.4
Previous
0.1
Forecast
0.1
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Cleveland CPI MoM
Actual
0.3
Previous
0.2
Forecast
—
Core CPI MoM
In Line
Actual
0.2
Previous
0
Forecast
0.2
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Core CPI YoY
In Line
Actual
2.5
Previous
2.6
Forecast
2.5
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
Super Core CPI YoY
Miss
Actual
3.1284
Previous
3.232
Forecast
3.2
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Super Core CPI MoM
Beat
Actual
0.1441
Previous
-0.0046
Forecast
0.1
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
CPI n.s.a MoM
Actual
-0.01
Previous
-0.35
Forecast
—
Core CPI
Actual
336.79
Previous
336.07
Forecast
—
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Actual
1.5
Previous
1.4
Forecast
—
In Line
Actual
0.2
Previous
0.2
Forecast
0.2
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
In Line
Actual
1.3
Previous
1.3
Forecast
1.3
Actual
1.3
Previous
1.5
Forecast
—
In Line
Actual
1.7
Previous
1.7
Forecast
1.7
In Line
Actual
0.2
Previous
0.2
Forecast
0.2
Previous
3.4
Forecast
3.5
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Average Hourly Earnings MoM
Miss
Actual
0.1
Previous
0.3
Forecast
0.3
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Initial Jobless Claims203207208MissFalling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
Continuing Jobless Claims177817961790MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Jobless Claims 4-Week Average205.5204.25203BeatRising4th Consecutive Increase—
Challenger Job Cuts33.42945.84959MissFalling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
Unit Labour Costs QoQ1.31.31.3In Line—
JOLTs Job Quits3.0563.2133.21MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Philly Fed Employment27.910—Rising4th Consecutive Increase—
Real Earnings MoM00.7—Rising2nd Consecutive Increase—
CB Employment Trends Index107.71106.74—Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
U-6 Unemployment Rate7.97.97.9In Line—
Government Payrolls-53-1010MissFalling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
Manufacturing Payrolls5114BeatFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Average Weekly Hours34.334.334.3In Line—
Employment Wages QoQ0.90.8—Rising3rd Consecutive Increase—
Employment Cost Index QoQ0.90.90.8Beat—
Employment Benefits QoQ11.2—Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Employment Cost - Wages QoQ0.90.80.7BeatRising3rd Consecutive Increase—
Employment Cost - Benefits QoQ11.21.1MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Average Hourly Earnings3.944MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Fed Labor Market Conditions Index MoM1.53.32.5MissFalling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
Labour Costs QoQ-1.6—-0.5Miss—
Employment cost Index0.50.40.4Beat—
Unit Labour Costs YoY2.10.1——
ADP Employment Change
Miss
Actual
44
Previous
95
Forecast
70
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
JOLTs Job Openings
Miss
Actual
7.271
Previous
7.182
Forecast
7.3
Falling4th Consecutive Decrease
Participation Rate
Miss
Actual
61.4
Previous
61.5
Forecast
61.6
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
Initial Jobless Claims
Miss
Actual
203
Previous
207
Forecast
208
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
Miss
Actual
1778
Previous
1796
Forecast
1790
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Jobless Claims 4-Week Average
Beat
Actual
205.5
Previous
204.25
Forecast
203
Rising4th Consecutive Increase
Challenger Job Cuts
Miss
Actual
33.429
Previous
45.849
Forecast
59
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
In Line
Actual
1.3
Previous
1.3
Forecast
1.3
Miss
Actual
3.056
Previous
3.213
Forecast
3.21
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Actual
27.9
Previous
10
Forecast
—
Rising4th Consecutive Increase
Actual
0
Previous
0.7
Forecast
—
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Actual
107.71
Previous
106.74
Forecast
—
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
In Line
Actual
7.9
Previous
7.9
Forecast
7.9
Miss
Actual
-53
Previous
-10
Forecast
10
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
Beat
Actual
5
Previous
11
Forecast
4
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
In Line
Actual
34.3
Previous
34.3
Forecast
34.3
Actual
0.9
Previous
0.8
Forecast
—
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
Beat
Actual
0.9
Previous
0.9
Forecast
0.8
Actual
1
Previous
1.2
Forecast
—
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Beat
Actual
0.9
Previous
0.8
Forecast
0.7
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
Miss
Actual
1
Previous
1.2
Forecast
1.1
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Average Hourly Earnings
Miss
Actual
3.9
Previous
4
Forecast
4
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Miss
Actual
1.5
Previous
3.3
Forecast
2.5
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
Miss
Actual
-1.6
Previous
—
Forecast
-0.5
Beat
Actual
0.5
Previous
0.4
Forecast
0.4
Actual
2.1
Previous
0.1
Forecast
—
Forecast
4.6
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
GDP Deflator QoQ
Actual
1.6
Previous
2
Forecast
—
GDP Price Index1.31.61.6Miss—
GDP Deflator1.621.3Beat—
GDP Consumer Spending YoY1.51.81.6Miss—
GDP Growth Rate2.51.12.2Beat—
GDP Price Index QoQ
Beat
Actual
6.4
Previous
3.6
Forecast
6.3
Rising4th Consecutive Increase
GDP Sales QoQ
In Line
Actual
2.2
Previous
1.9
Forecast
2.2
GDP Consumer Spending QoQ
Actual
2.2
Previous
3
Forecast
—
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
GDP Price Index
Miss
Actual
1.3
Previous
1.6
Forecast
1.6
Beat
Actual
1.6
Previous
2
Forecast
1.3
Miss
Actual
1.5
Previous
1.8
Forecast
1.6
GDP Growth Rate
Beat
Actual
2.5
Previous
1.1
Forecast
2.2
Previous
-2.6
Forecast
5
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
New Home Sales
Miss
Actual
-10.5
Previous
0.678
Forecast
0.62
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
House Price Index YoY2.32.42.2BeatFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
House Price Index MoM00.30.2MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Construction Spending MoM-0.500MissFalling5th Consecutive Decrease—
MBA Mortgage Refinance Index740.8755.9—Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate6.786.77—Rising5th Consecutive Increase—
MBA Mortgage Market Index245.3247.7—Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
MBA Purchase Index154.4154.8—Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
MBA Mortgage Applications-1-0.4—Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price YoY2.11.61.7BeatRising4th Consecutive Increase—
House Price Index442.5442.4442.8MissRising3rd Consecutive Increase—
S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price MoM0.40.90.4In LineFalling4th Consecutive Decrease—
Pending Home Sales YoY-2.2-0.31.4MissFalling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
Existing Home Sales MoM-1.7-1.4-0.7MissFalling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
Existing Home Sales
Beat
Actual
4.06
Previous
4.13
Forecast
4.05
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
Pending Home Sales MoM
Miss
Actual
-2.3
Previous
-4.8
Forecast
0.3
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
NAHB Housing Market Index
Beat
Actual
35
Previous
34
Forecast
33
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
House Price Index YoY
Beat
Actual
2.3
Previous
2.4
Forecast
2.2
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Miss
Actual
0
Previous
0.3
Forecast
0.2
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Miss
Actual
-0.5
Previous
0
Forecast
0
Falling5th Consecutive Decrease
Actual
740.8
Previous
755.9
Forecast
—
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
Actual
6.78
Previous
6.77
Forecast
—
Rising5th Consecutive Increase
Actual
245.3
Previous
247.7
Forecast
—
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Actual
154.4
Previous
154.8
Forecast
—
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
MBA Mortgage Applications
Actual
-1
Previous
-0.4
Forecast
—
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Beat
Actual
2.1
Previous
1.6
Forecast
1.7
Rising4th Consecutive Increase
Miss
Actual
442.5
Previous
442.4
Forecast
442.8
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
In Line
Actual
0.4
Previous
0.9
Forecast
0.4
Falling4th Consecutive Decrease
Miss
Actual
-2.2
Previous
-0.3
Forecast
1.4
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
Existing Home Sales MoM
Miss
Actual
-1.7
Previous
-1.4
Forecast
-0.7
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
Previous
0.4
Forecast
0.3
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
Michigan Consumer Sentiment
Beat
Actual
51.7
Previous
55.2
Forecast
51
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Redbook YoY9.69.1—Rising2nd Consecutive Increase—
Michigan Inflation Expectations44.24.3MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Michigan Consumer Expectations51.555.450.6BeatRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
Michigan Current Conditions51.954.851.8BeatRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM0.7-0.50BeatRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
Real Consumer Spending QoQ3.40.53.2BeatRising3rd Consecutive Increase—
CB Consumer Confidence89.490.290.2MissFalling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
Total Household Debt18.818.8——
Real Consumer Spending1.61.9—Falling4th Consecutive Decrease—
BoE Consumer Credit8.0525.212.4MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Redbook MoM-17.2-17.4—Rising5th Consecutive Increase—
Reuters Michigan Consumer Sentiment98.193.698.2MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Personal Spending MoM
In Line
Actual
0.2
Previous
0.4
Forecast
0.2
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
Personal Income MoM
Beat
Actual
0.4
Previous
0.2
Forecast
0.2
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Consumer Credit Change
Beat
Actual
14.17
Previous
-1.08
Forecast
10.5
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Redbook YoY
Actual
9.6
Previous
9.1
Forecast
—
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Miss
Actual
4
Previous
4.2
Forecast
4.3
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Michigan Consumer Expectations
Beat
Actual
51.5
Previous
55.4
Forecast
50.6
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Beat
Actual
51.9
Previous
54.8
Forecast
51.8
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Beat
Actual
0.7
Previous
-0.5
Forecast
0
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Beat
Actual
3.4
Previous
0.5
Forecast
3.2
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
Miss
Actual
89.4
Previous
90.2
Forecast
90.2
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
Actual
18.8
Previous
18.8
Forecast
—
Actual
1.6
Previous
1.9
Forecast
—
Falling4th Consecutive Decrease
Miss
Actual
8.05
Previous
25.2
Forecast
12.4
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Actual
-17.2
Previous
-17.4
Forecast
—
Rising5th Consecutive Increase
Miss
Actual
98.1
Previous
93.6
Forecast
98.2
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
317.6
Forecast
312
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
Imports
Beat
Actual
388
Previous
395.3
Forecast
385
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Import Prices MoM-0.4-0.30.1MissFalling4th Consecutive Decrease—
Export Prices MoM-1.3-0.70.2MissFalling4th Consecutive Decrease—
Crude Oil Imports-0.161-1.754—Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Goods Trade Balance
Miss
Actual
-118.8
Previous
-101.41
Forecast
-99
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Import Prices YoY
Miss
Actual
5.9
Previous
7.1
Forecast
7.2
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Export Prices YoY
Miss
Actual
8.2
Previous
10.2
Forecast
9.6
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
Import Prices MoM
Miss
Actual
-0.4
Previous
-0.3
Forecast
0.1
Falling4th Consecutive Decrease
Miss
Actual
-1.3
Previous
-0.7
Forecast
0.2
Falling4th Consecutive Decrease
Crude Oil Imports
Actual
-0.161
Previous
-1.754
Forecast
—
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Previous
54
Forecast
54.5
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Services PMI
Beat
Actual
56.8
Previous
54.6
Forecast
54
Rising4th Consecutive Increase
Manufacturing Production YoY1.21.11.5MissRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
Manufacturing Production MoM0.20.30.2In LineFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Durable Goods Orders Ex Transp MoM0.41.10.6MissFalling4th Consecutive Decrease—
Capacity Utilization76.376.276.3In LineRising3rd Consecutive Increase—
Economic Optimism Index45.645.146.2MissRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
ISM Manufacturing Prices71.171.172Miss—
ISM Manufacturing New Orders53.756.756MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
ISM Manufacturing Employment51.252.852.5MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index11.61.30.7BeatRising3rd Consecutive Increase—
Chicago PMI47.157.658.3MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index171714Beat—
Wholesale Inventories MoM1.30.30.1BeatRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense MoM1.30.30.1BeatRising3rd Consecutive Increase—
Durable Goods Orders MoM1.10.50.5BeatRising3rd Consecutive Increase—
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Shipments Index1187BeatRising3rd Consecutive Increase—
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index457MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index47.441.425BeatRising4th Consecutive Increase—
NY Empire State Manufacturing Index20.615.611BeatRising3rd Consecutive Increase—
Business Inventories MoM00.40.1MissFalling4th Consecutive Decrease—
NFIB Business Optimism Index99.897.497.5BeatRising3rd Consecutive Increase—
ISM Services New Orders57.255.155.3BeatRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
ISM Non-Manufacturing New Orders57.255.155.9BeatRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
ISM Services Prices70.367.766.2BeatRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
ISM Services Business Activity59.155.456BeatRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices70.367.765BeatRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
ISM Non-Manufacturing Employment47.451.251.2MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
ISM Services Employment47.451.252MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
ISM Non-Manufacturing Business Activity59.155.4—Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Factory Orders MoM-0.3-1.10.2MissRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
Factory Orders ex Transportation-0.420.5MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism42.847.548.1MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index42.847.548.1MissFalling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
Durable Goods Orders ex Defense MoM0.5-1.9-0.4BeatRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
ISM New York Index37.235.547MissRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
ISM Prices Paid35.53940MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
HSBC Services PMI55.756——
Core Durable Goods Orders1.3—0.5Beat—
Composite PMI
Beat
Actual
56
Previous
54.5
Forecast
53.2
Rising4th Consecutive Increase
Industrial Production YoY
Beat
Actual
1.1
Previous
1.29
Forecast
1
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
Industrial Production MoM
Miss
Actual
0.2
Previous
0.3
Forecast
0.3
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Manufacturing Production YoY
Miss
Actual
1.2
Previous
1.1
Forecast
1.5
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
In Line
Actual
0.2
Previous
0.3
Forecast
0.2
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Miss
Actual
0.4
Previous
1.1
Forecast
0.6
Falling4th Consecutive Decrease
In Line
Actual
76.3
Previous
76.2
Forecast
76.3
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
Economic Optimism Index
Miss
Actual
45.6
Previous
45.1
Forecast
46.2
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Miss
Actual
71.1
Previous
71.1
Forecast
72
Miss
Actual
53.7
Previous
56.7
Forecast
56
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Miss
Actual
51.2
Previous
52.8
Forecast
52.5
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Beat
Actual
11.6
Previous
1.3
Forecast
0.7
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
Chicago PMI
Miss
Actual
47.1
Previous
57.6
Forecast
58.3
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Beat
Actual
17
Previous
17
Forecast
14
Beat
Actual
1.3
Previous
0.3
Forecast
0.1
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Beat
Actual
1.3
Previous
0.3
Forecast
0.1
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
Beat
Actual
1.1
Previous
0.5
Forecast
0.5
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
Beat
Actual
11
Previous
8
Forecast
7
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
Miss
Actual
4
Previous
5
Forecast
7
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Beat
Actual
47.4
Previous
41.4
Forecast
25
Rising4th Consecutive Increase
Beat
Actual
20.6
Previous
15.6
Forecast
11
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
Miss
Actual
0
Previous
0.4
Forecast
0.1
Falling4th Consecutive Decrease
NFIB Business Optimism Index
Beat
Actual
99.8
Previous
97.4
Forecast
97.5
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
Beat
Actual
57.2
Previous
55.1
Forecast
55.3
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Beat
Actual
57.2
Previous
55.1
Forecast
55.9
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Beat
Actual
70.3
Previous
67.7
Forecast
66.2
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Beat
Actual
59.1
Previous
55.4
Forecast
56
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Beat
Actual
70.3
Previous
67.7
Forecast
65
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Miss
Actual
47.4
Previous
51.2
Forecast
51.2
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Miss
Actual
47.4
Previous
51.2
Forecast
52
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Actual
59.1
Previous
55.4
Forecast
—
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Miss
Actual
-0.3
Previous
-1.1
Forecast
0.2
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Miss
Actual
-0.4
Previous
2
Forecast
0.5
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism
Miss
Actual
42.8
Previous
47.5
Forecast
48.1
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index
Miss
Actual
42.8
Previous
47.5
Forecast
48.1
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
Beat
Actual
0.5
Previous
-1.9
Forecast
-0.4
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
ISM New York Index
Miss
Actual
37.2
Previous
35.5
Forecast
47
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Miss
Actual
35.5
Previous
39
Forecast
40
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Actual
55.7
Previous
56
Forecast
—
Core Durable Goods Orders
Beat
Actual
1.3
Previous
—
Forecast
0.5
-3.654
Previous
-1.704
Forecast
-2.6
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
EIA Distillate Stocks Change
Miss
Actual
-1.349
Previous
0.429
Forecast
-0.7
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
—
EIA Cushing Crude Oil Stocks Change0.1171.564—Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
EIA Gasoline Production Change0.5540.119—Rising3rd Consecutive Increase—
EIA Refinery Crude Runs Change0.3280.18—Rising3rd Consecutive Increase—
EIA Distillate Fuel Production Change0.1320.061—Rising3rd Consecutive Increase—
EIA Heating Oil Stocks Change0.2280.355—Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
API Weekly Crude Oil Stock-6.3566.513—Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
API Gasoline Stock Change-3.48-0.18—Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
Gasoline Inventories-1.7193.6530.61Miss—
Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count
Miss
Actual
447
Previous
452
Forecast
454
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
EIA Weekly Petroleum Report
Miss
Actual
0.095
Previous
4.405
Forecast
0.6
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
EIA Crude Oil Imports Change
Actual
0.661
Previous
-0.019
Forecast
—
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
EIA Cushing Crude Oil Stocks Change
Actual
0.117
Previous
1.564
Forecast
—
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Actual
0.554
Previous
0.119
Forecast
—
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
Actual
0.328
Previous
0.18
Forecast
—
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
Actual
0.132
Previous
0.061
Forecast
—
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
Actual
0.228
Previous
0.355
Forecast
—
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Actual
-6.356
Previous
6.513
Forecast
—
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Actual
-3.48
Previous
-0.18
Forecast
—
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
Miss
Actual
-1.719
Previous
3.653
Forecast
0.61
Previous
4.408
Forecast
—
Rising4th Consecutive Increase
20-Year Bond Auction
Actual
5.204
Previous
5.163
Forecast
—
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
2-Year Note Auction4.3154.189—Rising4th Consecutive Increase—
Budget-1837-966—Rising4th Consecutive Increase—
30-Year Note Auction3.243.224——
Fed Pace of Treasury Purchase Program454545In Line—
30-Year Bond Auction
Actual
5.216
Previous
5.058
Forecast
—
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
10-Year Note Auction
Actual
4.683
Previous
4.58
Forecast
—
Rising5th Consecutive Increase
3-Year Note Auction
Actual
4.291
Previous
4.179
Forecast
—
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
2-Year Note Auction
Actual
4.315
Previous
4.189
Forecast
—
Rising4th Consecutive Increase
Budget
Actual
-1837
Previous
-966
Forecast
—
Rising4th Consecutive Increase
Actual
3.24
Previous
3.224
Forecast
—
In Line
Actual
45
Previous
45
Forecast
45
Previous
6.6
Forecast
5
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
LMI Logistics Managers Index
Actual
66.6
Previous
68.9
Forecast
—
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Kansas Fed Composite Index1098BeatRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
2-Year FRN Auction0.0550.05—Falling5th Consecutive Decrease—
EIA Weekly Refinery Utilization Rates WoW0.21—Rising2nd Consecutive Increase—
Non Defense Goods Orders Ex Air0.21.70.9MissFalling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
Corporate Profits QoQ8.20.50.7BeatRising3rd Consecutive Increase—
M2 Money Supply MoM23.2223.15—Rising5th Consecutive Increase—
Money Supply23.2223.15—Rising5th Consecutive Increase—
Richmond Fed Services Index-8-3-1MissFalling4th Consecutive Decrease—
Chicago Fed National Activity Index-0.080.060.1MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
30-Year TIPS Auction2.9732.473—Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Leading Index MoM0.2-0.10.1BeatRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
Philly Fed Business Conditions73.634.4—Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
Philly Fed New Orders30.137—Rising3rd Consecutive Increase—
Philly Fed CAPEX Index48.230.1—Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Philly Fed Prices Paid40.953.9—Rising3rd Consecutive Increase—
Net Long-Term TIC Flows172.7231.2151.4BeatFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Foreign Bond Investment6.856.6—Rising4th Consecutive Increase—
Overall Net Capital Flows133.5131.5—Rising2nd Consecutive Increase—
Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI49.3850.99—Rising2nd Consecutive Increase—
Used Car Prices MoM-1.40.1—Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Used Car Prices YoY1.32.1—Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Wholesale Sales MoM-33.5—Rising2nd Consecutive Increase—
All Car Sales2.72.69—Rising3rd Consecutive Increase—
All Truck Sales13.6213.87—Rising3rd Consecutive Increase—
10-Year TIPS Auction2.4382.169—Rising3rd Consecutive Increase—
Quarterly Grain Stocks - Corn5.299.025.41MissFalling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
Quarterly Grain Stocks - Wheat0.921.30.94MissFalling4th Consecutive Decrease—
Quarterly Grain Stocks - Soy1.062.11.05BeatFalling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
5-Year TIPS Auction1.9551.367—Rising2nd Consecutive Increase—
CFTC Corn speculative net positions290.8334.8—Rising2nd Consecutive Increase—
CFTC Nasdaq 100 speculative net positions12.520.6—Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
CFTC Natural Gas speculative net positions-184-167.5—Rising2nd Consecutive Increase—
CFTC Silver Speculative net positions23.423.9—Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions-45.7-42.5—Rising2nd Consecutive Increase—
CFTC Gold Speculative net positions156.3163.2—Falling5th Consecutive Decrease—
CFTC Crude Oil speculative net positions202.2213.5—Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
CFTC Copper Speculative net positions40.240.1—Falling5th Consecutive Decrease—
CFTC Aluminium Speculative net positions0.3-0.9—Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
CFTC Soybeans speculative net positions208.5227.8—Rising3rd Consecutive Increase—
CFTC Wheat speculative net positions-18.7-9.4—Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Richmond Fed Services Revenues Index9-8-13BeatRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
Commitment of Traders (CFTC)-0.7-1.6——
Interest Rate Projection - Current3.43.6——
Interest Rate Projection - 2nd Yr3.13.1——
Interest Rate Projection - Longer3.13——
Interest Rate Projection - 1st Yr3.13.4——
42-Day Bill Auction4.274.26—Rising3rd Consecutive Increase—
30-Day Bill Auction4.55———
43-Day Bill Auction5.27——Rising3rd Consecutive Increase—
Prospective Plantings - Cotton10.67311.25610.906MissFalling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
Prospective Plantings - Soy86.5187.50586.53MissFalling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
Prospective Plantings - Wheat47.49849.85547.33BeatFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Prospective Plantings - Corn90.03691.99691.776MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
41-Day Bill Auction5.285———
LMI Logistics Managers Index Current51.245.4—Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
12-Day Bill Auction4.54———
78-Day Bill Auction0.07———
21-Day Bill Auction0.05——Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
14-Day Bill Auction0.060.055——
119-Day Bill Yield0.070.055——
35-Day Bill Auction0.15———
48-Day Bill Auction0.1———
119-Day Bill Auction0.0550.05—Rising3rd Consecutive Increase—
40-Day Bill Auction0.055———
67-Day Bill Auction0.06———
57-Day Bill Auction0.065———
154-Day Bill Auction0.0550.055——
105-Day Bill Auction0.0450.055—Falling5th Consecutive Decrease—
118-Day Bill Auction0.09———
120-Day Bill Auction0.11———
273-Day Bill Auction0.140.18—Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
103-Day Bill Auction0.1150.105——
69-Day Bill Auction0.270.135——
Domestic Truck Sales9.379.14—Rising2nd Consecutive Increase—
Domestic Car Sales3.773.93—Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
Chain Stores Sales YoY2.23.1—Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Chain Stores Sales WoW3.43—Rising4th Consecutive Increase—
QE MBS5105In LineFalling5th Consecutive Decrease—
QE Treasuries101510In LineFalling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
QE Total2535—Falling5th Consecutive Decrease—
National activity index0.16———
Fed Pace of MBS Purchase Program404040In Line—
Total Net TIC Flows-2.956.7—Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Personal Consumption Expenditure YoY2.11.8——
Mass Layoffs1.341.42——
Nonfarm Productivity YoY0.5———
Fed Balance Sheet
Actual
6.731
Previous
6.746
Forecast
—
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
15-Year Mortgage Rate
Actual
5.98
Previous
5.95
Forecast
—
Rising5th Consecutive Increase
30-Year Mortgage Rate
Actual
6.66
Previous
6.65
Forecast
—
Rising5th Consecutive Increase
Kansas Fed Composite Index
Beat
Actual
10
Previous
9
Forecast
8
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Actual
0.055
Previous
0.05
Forecast
—
Falling5th Consecutive Decrease
Actual
0.2
Previous
1
Forecast
—
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Miss
Actual
0.2
Previous
1.7
Forecast
0.9
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
Beat
Actual
8.2
Previous
0.5
Forecast
0.7
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
Actual
23.22
Previous
23.15
Forecast
—
Rising5th Consecutive Increase
Actual
23.22
Previous
23.15
Forecast
—
Rising5th Consecutive Increase
Miss
Actual
-8
Previous
-3
Forecast
-1
Falling4th Consecutive Decrease
Miss
Actual
-0.08
Previous
0.06
Forecast
0.1
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Actual
2.973
Previous
2.473
Forecast
—
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Beat
Actual
0.2
Previous
-0.1
Forecast
0.1
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Actual
73.6
Previous
34.4
Forecast
—
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
Actual
30.1
Previous
37
Forecast
—
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
Actual
48.2
Previous
30.1
Forecast
—
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Actual
40.9
Previous
53.9
Forecast
—
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
Beat
Actual
172.7
Previous
231.2
Forecast
151.4
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Foreign Bond Investment
Actual
6.8
Previous
56.6
Forecast
—
Rising4th Consecutive Increase
Actual
133.5
Previous
131.5
Forecast
—
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Actual
49.38
Previous
50.99
Forecast
—
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Actual
-1.4
Previous
0.1
Forecast
—
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Actual
1.3
Previous
2.1
Forecast
—
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Actual
-3
Previous
3.5
Forecast
—
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Actual
2.7
Previous
2.69
Forecast
—
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
Actual
13.62
Previous
13.87
Forecast
—
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
Actual
2.438
Previous
2.169
Forecast
—
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
Quarterly Grain Stocks - Corn
Miss
Actual
5.29
Previous
9.02
Forecast
5.41
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
Miss
Actual
0.92
Previous
1.3
Forecast
0.94
Falling4th Consecutive Decrease
Beat
Actual
1.06
Previous
2.1
Forecast
1.05
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
Actual
1.955
Previous
1.367
Forecast
—
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Actual
290.8
Previous
334.8
Forecast
—
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Actual
12.5
Previous
20.6
Forecast
—
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
Actual
-184
Previous
-167.5
Forecast
—
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Actual
23.4
Previous
23.9
Forecast
—
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Actual
-45.7
Previous
-42.5
Forecast
—
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Actual
156.3
Previous
163.2
Forecast
—
Falling5th Consecutive Decrease
Actual
202.2
Previous
213.5
Forecast
—
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Actual
40.2
Previous
40.1
Forecast
—
Falling5th Consecutive Decrease
Actual
0.3
Previous
-0.9
Forecast
—
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Actual
208.5
Previous
227.8
Forecast
—
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
Actual
-18.7
Previous
-9.4
Forecast
—
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Beat
Actual
9
Previous
-8
Forecast
-13
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Commitment of Traders (CFTC)
Actual
-0.7
Previous
-1.6
Forecast
—
Actual
3.4
Previous
3.6
Forecast
—
Actual
3.1
Previous
3.1
Forecast
—
Actual
3.1
Previous
3
Forecast
—
Actual
3.1
Previous
3.4
Forecast
—
Actual
4.27
Previous
4.26
Forecast
—
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
Actual
4.55
Previous
—
Forecast
—
Actual
5.27
Previous
—
Forecast
—
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
Miss
Actual
10.673
Previous
11.256
Forecast
10.906
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
Miss
Actual
86.51
Previous
87.505
Forecast
86.53
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
Beat
Actual
47.498
Previous
49.855
Forecast
47.33
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Miss
Actual
90.036
Previous
91.996
Forecast
91.776
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Actual
5.285
Previous
—
Forecast
—
Actual
51.2
Previous
45.4
Forecast
—
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Actual
4.54
Previous
—
Forecast
—
Actual
0.07
Previous
—
Forecast
—
Actual
0.05
Previous
—
Forecast
—
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Actual
0.06
Previous
0.055
Forecast
—
Actual
0.07
Previous
0.055
Forecast
—
Actual
0.15
Previous
—
Forecast
—
Actual
0.1
Previous
—
Forecast
—
Actual
0.055
Previous
0.05
Forecast
—
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
Actual
0.055
Previous
—
Forecast
—
Actual
0.06
Previous
—
Forecast
—
Actual
0.065
Previous
—
Forecast
—
Actual
0.055
Previous
0.055
Forecast
—
Actual
0.045
Previous
0.055
Forecast
—
Falling5th Consecutive Decrease
Actual
0.09
Previous
—
Forecast
—
Actual
0.11
Previous
—
Forecast
—
Actual
0.14
Previous
0.18
Forecast
—
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Actual
0.115
Previous
0.105
Forecast
—
Actual
0.27
Previous
0.135
Forecast
—
Actual
9.37
Previous
9.14
Forecast
—
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Actual
3.77
Previous
3.93
Forecast
—
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
Actual
2.2
Previous
3.1
Forecast
—
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Actual
3.4
Previous
3
Forecast
—
Rising4th Consecutive Increase
In Line
Actual
5
Previous
10
Forecast
5
Falling5th Consecutive Decrease
In Line
Actual
10
Previous
15
Forecast
10
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
Actual
25
Previous
35
Forecast
—
Falling5th Consecutive Decrease
Actual
0.16
Previous
—
Forecast
—
In Line
Actual
40
Previous
40
Forecast
40
Actual
-2.9
Previous
56.7
Forecast
—
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Actual
2.1
Previous
1.8
Forecast
—
Actual
1.34
Previous
1.42
Forecast
—
Actual
0.5
Previous
—
Forecast
—
6-Month Bill Auction
8-Week Bill Auction
4-Week Bill Auction
17-Week Bill Auction
Inflation Rate MoM
Core Inflation Rate MoM
PCE Price Index YoY
Inflation Rate YoY
Core Inflation Rate YoY
Inflation Rate MoM
Core Inflation Rate MoM
Core PCE Price Index YoY
PCE Price Index MoM
Core PCE Price Index MoM
Nonfarm Payrolls Private
Average Hourly Earnings YoY
Average Hourly Earnings MoM
Unemployment Rate
Non Farm Payrolls
Nonfarm Payrolls Private
Average Hourly Earnings YoY
ADP Employment Change
JOLTs Job Openings
Participation Rate
Gross Domestic Product QoQ
Atlanta Fed GDPNow
GDP Deflator QoQ
GDP Growth Rate YoY
GDP Growth Rate QoQ
Gross Domestic Product QoQ
Atlanta Fed GDPNow
GDP Price Index QoQ
GDP Sales QoQ
GDP Consumer Spending QoQ
Housing Starts MoM
Building Permits MoM
New Home Sales
Housing Starts
Building Permits
Housing Starts MoM
Building Permits MoM
Existing Home Sales
NAHB Housing Market Index
Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM
Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM
Michigan Consumer Sentiment
Retail Sales MoM
Retail Sales YoY
Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM
Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM
Personal Spending MoM
Personal Income MoM
Consumer Credit Change
Current Account
Exports
Imports
Balance of Trade
Trade Balance
Current Account
Exports
Goods Trade Balance
Import Prices YoY
Export Prices YoY
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI
ISM Services PMI
Services PMI
ISM Manufacturing PMI
Manufacturing PMI
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI
ISM Services PMI
Composite PMI
Industrial Production YoY
Industrial Production MoM
EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change
EIA Gasoline Stocks Change
EIA Distillate Stocks Change
EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change
EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change
EIA Gasoline Stocks Change
EIA Crude Oil Imports Change
7-Year Note Auction
5-Year Note Auction
20-Year Bond Auction
Budget Balance
Monthly Budget Statement
7-Year Note Auction
5-Year Note Auction
30-Year Bond Auction
10-Year Note Auction
3-Year Note Auction
Dallas Fed Services Revenues Index
Dallas Fed Services Index
Nonfarm Productivity QoQ
Total Vehicle Sales
Dallas Fed Services Revenues Index
Dallas Fed Services Index
Fed Balance Sheet
15-Year Mortgage Rate
30-Year Mortgage Rate
Producer Price Index YoY
Producer Price Index MoM
Inflation Expectations
Consumer Inflation Expectation
Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations
Core PCE Prices QoQ
PCE Prices QoQ
Core PPI YoY
PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade YoY
Producer Price Index
Core PPI MoM
PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade MoM
Core PCE YoY
Core PCE MoM
Core PCE Price Index QoQ
Core PCE Prices YoY
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy YoY
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy MoM
Continuing Jobless Claims
Unit Labour Costs QoQ
JOLTs Job Quits
Philly Fed Employment
Real Earnings MoM
CB Employment Trends Index
U-6 Unemployment Rate
Government Payrolls
Manufacturing Payrolls
Average Weekly Hours
Employment Wages QoQ
Employment Cost Index QoQ
Employment Benefits QoQ
Employment Cost - Wages QoQ
Employment Cost - Benefits QoQ
Fed Labor Market Conditions Index MoM
Labour Costs QoQ
Employment cost Index
Unit Labour Costs YoY
GDP Deflator
GDP Consumer Spending YoY
House Price Index MoM
Construction Spending MoM
MBA Mortgage Refinance Index
MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate
MBA Mortgage Market Index
MBA Purchase Index
S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price YoY
House Price Index
S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price MoM
Pending Home Sales YoY
Michigan Inflation Expectations
Michigan Current Conditions
Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM
Real Consumer Spending QoQ
CB Consumer Confidence
Total Household Debt
Real Consumer Spending
BoE Consumer Credit
Redbook MoM
Reuters Michigan Consumer Sentiment
Export Prices MoM
Manufacturing Production MoM
Durable Goods Orders Ex Transp MoM
Capacity Utilization
ISM Manufacturing Prices
ISM Manufacturing New Orders
ISM Manufacturing Employment
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index
Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index
Wholesale Inventories MoM
Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense MoM
Durable Goods Orders MoM
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Shipments Index
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index
NY Empire State Manufacturing Index
Business Inventories MoM
ISM Services New Orders
ISM Non-Manufacturing New Orders
ISM Services Prices
ISM Services Business Activity
ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices
ISM Non-Manufacturing Employment
ISM Services Employment
ISM Non-Manufacturing Business Activity
Factory Orders MoM
Factory Orders ex Transportation
Durable Goods Orders ex Defense MoM
ISM Prices Paid
HSBC Services PMI
EIA Gasoline Production Change
EIA Refinery Crude Runs Change
EIA Distillate Fuel Production Change
EIA Heating Oil Stocks Change
API Weekly Crude Oil Stock
API Gasoline Stock Change
Gasoline Inventories
30-Year Note Auction
Fed Pace of Treasury Purchase Program
2-Year FRN Auction
EIA Weekly Refinery Utilization Rates WoW
Non Defense Goods Orders Ex Air
Corporate Profits QoQ
M2 Money Supply MoM
Money Supply
Richmond Fed Services Index
Chicago Fed National Activity Index
30-Year TIPS Auction
Leading Index MoM
Philly Fed Business Conditions
Philly Fed New Orders
Philly Fed CAPEX Index
Philly Fed Prices Paid
Net Long-Term TIC Flows
Overall Net Capital Flows
Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI
Used Car Prices MoM
Used Car Prices YoY
Wholesale Sales MoM
All Car Sales
All Truck Sales
10-Year TIPS Auction
Quarterly Grain Stocks - Wheat
Quarterly Grain Stocks - Soy
5-Year TIPS Auction
CFTC Corn speculative net positions
CFTC Nasdaq 100 speculative net positions
CFTC Natural Gas speculative net positions
CFTC Silver Speculative net positions
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions
CFTC Gold Speculative net positions
CFTC Crude Oil speculative net positions
CFTC Copper Speculative net positions
CFTC Aluminium Speculative net positions
CFTC Soybeans speculative net positions
CFTC Wheat speculative net positions
Richmond Fed Services Revenues Index
Interest Rate Projection - Current
Interest Rate Projection - 2nd Yr
Interest Rate Projection - Longer
Interest Rate Projection - 1st Yr
42-Day Bill Auction
30-Day Bill Auction
43-Day Bill Auction
Prospective Plantings - Cotton
Prospective Plantings - Soy
Prospective Plantings - Wheat
Prospective Plantings - Corn
41-Day Bill Auction
LMI Logistics Managers Index Current
12-Day Bill Auction
78-Day Bill Auction
21-Day Bill Auction
14-Day Bill Auction
119-Day Bill Yield
35-Day Bill Auction
48-Day Bill Auction
119-Day Bill Auction
40-Day Bill Auction
67-Day Bill Auction
57-Day Bill Auction
154-Day Bill Auction
105-Day Bill Auction
118-Day Bill Auction
120-Day Bill Auction
273-Day Bill Auction
103-Day Bill Auction
69-Day Bill Auction
Domestic Truck Sales
Domestic Car Sales
Chain Stores Sales YoY
Chain Stores Sales WoW
QE MBS
QE Treasuries
QE Total
National activity index
Fed Pace of MBS Purchase Program
Total Net TIC Flows
Personal Consumption Expenditure YoY
Mass Layoffs
Nonfarm Productivity YoY