The Richmond Fed Manufacturing Shipments Index is a sub-component of the broader Fifth District Survey of Manufacturing Activity. It specifically tracks the volume of goods being moved out of factories within the Richmond Federal Reserve district. High shipment levels typically suggest strong demand and active production cycles within the regional economy. This data is often used by economists to refine their forecasts for national industrial production and GDP growth.
The index is derived from a monthly survey of manufacturers who report whether shipments have increased, decreased, or remained unchanged. The final value is a diffusion index calculated as the percentage of 'increase' responses minus the percentage of 'decrease' responses.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | 11.00 | 7.00 | +4.00 |
| Jul 28, 2026 | 8.00 | 2.00 | +6.00 |
| Jun 23, 2026 | 4.00 | 9.00 | -5.00 |
| May 27, 2026 | 16.00 | -1.00 | +17.00 |
| Apr 28, 2026 | -2.00 | 4.00 | -6.00 |
| Jan 27, 2026 | -5.00 | -6.00 | +1.00 |
| Dec 23, 2025 | -11.00 | -3.00 | -8.00 |
| Nov 25, 2025 | -14.00 | 6.00 | -20.00 |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 4.00 | -12.00 | +16.00 |
| Sep 23, 2025 | -20.00 | -9.00 | -11.00 |
| Aug 26, 2025 | -5.00 | -20.00 | +15.00 |
| Jul 22, 2025 | -18.00 | -1.00 | -17.00 |
| Jun 24, 2025 | -3.00 | -8.00 | +5.00 |
| May 28, 2025 | -10.00 | -11.00 | +1.00 |
| Apr 22, 2025 | -17.00 | -2.00 | -15.00 |
| Mar 25, 2025 | -7.00 | 2.00 | -9.00 |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 12.00 | -4.00 | +16.00 |
| Jan 28, 2025 | -9.00 | -9.00 | 0.00 |
| Dec 24, 2024 | -11.00 | 2.00 | -13.00 |
| Nov 26, 2024 | -12.00 | -5.00 | -7.00 |
| Oct 22, 2024 | -8.00 | -17.00 | +9.00 |
| Sep 24, 2024 | -18.00 | -6.00 | -12.00 |
| Aug 27, 2024 | -15.00 | -18.00 | +3.00 |
| Jul 23, 2024 | -21.00 | -7.00 | -14.00 |
| Jun 25, 2024 | -9.00 | 13.00 | -22.00 |
| May 29, 2024 | 13.00 | -9.00 | +22.00 |
| Apr 23, 2024 | -10.00 | -11.00 | +1.00 |
| Mar 26, 2024 | -14.00 | -13.00 | -1.00 |
| Feb 27, 2024 | -15.00 | -9.00 | -6.00 |
| Jan 23, 2024 | -15.00 | -20.00 | +5.00 |
| Dec 27, 2023 | -17.00 | -9.00 | -8.00 |
| Nov 28, 2023 | -8.00 | 7.00 | -15.00 |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 9.00 | 2.00 | +7.00 |
| Sep 26, 2023 | 7.00 | — | — |
| Aug 22, 2023 | -5.00 | -3.00 | -2.00 |
| Jul 25, 2023 | -6.00 | -1.00 | -5.00 |
| Jun 27, 2023 | -5.00 | 4.00 | -9.00 |
| May 23, 2023 | -13.00 | -10.00 | -3.00 |
| Apr 25, 2023 | -7.00 | — | — |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2.00 | -11.00 | +13.00 |
| Feb 28, 2023 | -15.00 | -2.00 | -13.00 |
| Jan 24, 2023 | -3.00 | 7.00 | -10.00 |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 5.00 | -5.00 | +10.00 |
| Nov 22, 2022 | -8.00 | 2.00 | -10.00 |
| Oct 25, 2022 | -3.00 | 7.00 | -10.00 |
| Sep 27, 2022 | 14.00 | -2.00 | +16.00 |
| Aug 23, 2022 | -8.00 | 1.00 | -9.00 |
| Jul 26, 2022 | 7.00 | -11.00 | +18.00 |
| Jun 28, 2022 | -15.00 | -18.00 | +3.00 |
| May 24, 2022 | -14.00 | 15.00 | -29.00 |
| Date | First print | Current | Revision |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 23, 2026 | 3 | 4 | +1 ↑ |
