The information provided on EL7.AI is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
The information provided on EL7.AI is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
The PCE-based version of super core. Because the FOMC explicitly targets PCE inflation (not CPI), this series is the most policy-relevant inflation gauge in existence. Powell highlighted it in 2022 as the cleanest measure of underlying services-driven inflation. Unlike the CPI version, super core PCE is computed from BEA's chain-weighted methodology and aligns directly with the Fed's 2% target framework.
Computed by the BEA as the chain-weighted price index for Personal Consumption Expenditures: Services Excluding Energy and Housing. Published monthly with the personal income and outlays release. The YoY transformation we report uses the index level vs the same month a year prior.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 25, 2026 | 0.52 | — | — |
| May 28, 2026 | 0.15 | — | — |
| Apr 30, 2026 | 0.38 | — | — |
| Apr 9, 2026 | 0.38 | — | — |
| Mar 13, 2026 | 0.23 | — | — |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 0.61 | — | — |
| Feb 20, 2026 | 0.61 | — | — |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 0.30 | — | — |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 0.30 | — | — |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 0.23 | — | — |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 0.23 | — | — |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 0.23 | — | — |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 0.38 | — | — |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 0.15 | — | — |
| Sep 26, 2025 | 0.38 | — | — |
| Aug 29, 2025 | 0.31 | — | — |
| Jul 31, 2025 | 0.23 | — | — |
| Jun 27, 2025 | 0.15 | — | — |
| May 30, 2025 | 0.15 | — | — |
| Apr 30, 2025 | 0.16 | — | — |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 0.47 | — | — |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 0.31 | — | — |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 0.31 | — | — |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 0.16 | — | — |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 0.39 | — | — |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 0.32 | — | — |
| Sep 27, 2024 | 0.24 | — | — |
| Aug 30, 2024 | 0.24 | — | — |
| Jul 26, 2024 | 0.32 | — | — |
| Jun 28, 2024 | 0.08 | — | — |
| May 31, 2024 | 0.24 | — | — |
| Apr 26, 2024 | 0.56 | — | — |
| Mar 29, 2024 | 0.16 | — | — |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 0.73 | — | — |
| Jan 26, 2024 | 0.33 | — | — |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 0.16 | — | — |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 0.08 | — | — |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 0.41 | — | — |
| Sep 29, 2023 | 0.16 | — | — |
| Aug 31, 2023 | 0.25 | — | — |
| Jul 28, 2023 | 0.41 | — | — |
| Jun 30, 2023 | 0.17 | — | — |
| May 26, 2023 | 0.42 | — | — |
| Apr 28, 2023 | 0.33 | — | — |
| Mar 31, 2023 | 0.34 | — | — |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 0.51 | — | — |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 0.34 | — | — |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 0.42 | — | — |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 0.42 | — | — |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 0.43 | — | — |