This indicator measures the change in the total value of new purchase orders placed with manufacturers for durable goods, excluding defense equipment. By removing military orders, which can be highly volatile and subject to government budget cycles, it provides a clearer picture of underlying private sector investment trends. It is a key leading indicator of industrial production and overall economic health in the United States.
The data is collected via a monthly survey of approximately 5,000 manufacturers across 92 industry categories by the U.S. Census Bureau. The 'ex-defense' figure is calculated by subtracting orders for military aircraft, ships, and other defense-related capital goods from the total durable goods figure.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | 1.30 | 0.10 | +1.20 |
| Jul 27, 2026 | 0.30 | 2.00 | -1.70 |
| Jun 25, 2026 | -4.30 | -3.90 | -0.40 |
| May 28, 2026 | 8.10 | 2.20 | +5.90 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | -0.30 | 0.70 | -1.00 |
| Apr 7, 2026 | -1.20 | 0.30 | -1.50 |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 0.50 | — | — |
| Mar 13, 2026 | 0.50 | -0.40 | +0.90 |
| Mar 13, 2026 | 0.50 | -0.40 | +0.90 |
| Feb 23, 2026 | -2.40 | -2.50 | +0.10 |
| Feb 18, 2026 | -2.50 | -4.30 | +1.80 |
| Feb 18, 2026 | -2.50 | -4.30 | +1.80 |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 6.50 | — | — |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 6.60 | 0.70 | +5.90 |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 6.60 | 0.70 | +5.90 |
| Jan 7, 2026 | -1.50 | -1.50 | 0.00 |
| Dec 23, 2025 | -1.50 | -0.80 | -0.70 |
| Dec 23, 2025 | -1.50 | — | — |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 0.10 | — | — |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 0.10 | 1.90 | -1.80 |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 0.10 | 1.90 | -1.80 |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1.90 | — | — |
| Sep 25, 2025 | 1.90 | -0.40 | +2.30 |
| Sep 3, 2025 | -2.50 | -2.50 | 0.00 |
| Aug 26, 2025 | -2.50 | -3.60 | +1.10 |
| Aug 26, 2025 | -2.50 | -3.60 | +1.10 |
| Aug 4, 2025 | -9.40 | -9.40 | 0.00 |
| Jul 25, 2025 | -9.40 | -6.00 | -3.40 |
| Jul 25, 2025 | -9.40 | — | — |
| Jul 3, 2025 | 15.50 | — | — |
| Jun 26, 2025 | 15.50 | 4.30 | +11.20 |
| Jun 26, 2025 | 15.50 | — | — |
| Jun 3, 2025 | -7.50 | -7.50 | 0.00 |
| May 27, 2025 | -7.50 | -8.10 | +0.60 |
| May 2, 2025 | 10.50 | — | — |
| Apr 24, 2025 | 10.40 | 0.20 | +10.20 |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 0.80 | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| Mar 26, 2025 | 0.80 | -1.60 | +2.40 |
| Mar 26, 2025 | 0.80 | — | — |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 3.50 | — | — |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3.50 | 1.40 | +2.10 |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3.50 | — | — |
| Feb 4, 2025 | -2.40 | -2.40 | 0.00 |
| Jan 28, 2025 | -2.40 | 0.40 | -2.80 |
| Jan 28, 2025 | -2.40 | — | — |
| Jan 6, 2025 | -0.40 | -0.30 | -0.10 |
| Dec 23, 2024 | -0.30 | -0.20 | -0.10 |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 0.50 | 0.40 | +0.10 |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 0.40 | -0.60 | +1.00 |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 0.40 | — | — |
| Date | First print | Current | Revision |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 25, 2026 | -4.60 | -4.30 | +0.30 ↑ |
| May 28, 2026 | 8.10 | 8.10 | 0 ↓ |
