The ISM Services New Orders Index measures the volume of new orders received by service-providing organizations during the reporting month. It is considered a leading indicator of future business activity, as an increase in orders typically precedes higher production and employment. This sub-index provides critical insight into the demand side of the non-manufacturing economy. Analysts use this data to forecast future trends in the service sector and broader economic growth.
Calculated based on survey responses from purchasing managers regarding whether new orders are higher, lower, or the same as the previous month. The resulting diffusion index is seasonally adjusted to account for predictable monthly variations.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2026 | — | 57.00 | — |
| Aug 5, 2026 | 57.20 | 55.30 | +1.90 |
| Jul 6, 2026 | 55.10 | 57.00 | -1.90 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | 57.30 | 52.80 | +4.50 |
| May 5, 2026 | 53.50 | 60.00 | -6.50 |
| Apr 6, 2026 | 60.60 | 57.60 | +3.00 |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 58.60 | 52.50 | +6.10 |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 53.10 | 57.70 | -4.60 |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 57.90 | 52.20 | +5.70 |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 52.90 | 56.40 | -3.50 |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 56.20 | 51.00 | +5.20 |
| Oct 3, 2025 | 50.40 | 55.00 | -4.60 |
| Sep 4, 2025 | 56.00 | 50.10 | +5.90 |
| Aug 5, 2025 | 50.30 | 51.40 | -1.10 |
| Jul 3, 2025 | 51.30 | 46.30 | +5.00 |
| Jun 4, 2025 | 46.40 | 52.30 | -5.90 |
| May 5, 2025 | 52.30 | 49.20 | +3.10 |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 50.40 | 52.00 | -1.60 |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 52.20 | 51.20 | +1.00 |
| Feb 5, 2025 | 51.30 | 54.10 | -2.80 |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 54.20 | 54.20 | 0.00 |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 53.70 | 57.60 | -3.90 |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 57.40 | 58.00 | -0.60 |
| Oct 3, 2024 | 59.40 | 52.00 | +7.40 |
| Sep 5, 2024 | 53.00 | 51.90 | +1.10 |
| Aug 5, 2024 | 52.40 | 49.80 | +2.60 |
| Jul 3, 2024 | 47.30 | 53.60 | -6.30 |
| Jun 5, 2024 | 54.10 | 53.20 | +0.90 |
| May 3, 2024 | 52.20 | 54.50 | -2.30 |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 54.40 | 56.00 | -1.60 |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 56.10 | 54.00 | +2.10 |
| Feb 5, 2024 | 55.00 | 53.10 | +1.90 |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 52.80 | 55.70 | -2.90 |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 55.50 | 55.30 | +0.20 |
| Nov 3, 2023 | 55.50 | 52.00 | +3.50 |
| Oct 4, 2023 | 51.80 | 57.00 | -5.20 |
| Sep 6, 2023 | 57.50 | 54.00 | +3.50 |
| Aug 3, 2023 | 55.00 | 55.60 | -0.60 |
| Jul 6, 2023 | 55.50 | 55.90 | -0.40 |
| Jun 5, 2023 | 52.90 | 56.20 | -3.30 |
| May 3, 2023 | 56.10 | 52.00 | +4.10 |
