EL7.AI
Strategy BuilderCOT DataAdvanced NewsResearchNewEarnings CalendarEconomic Calendar
We use cookiesPrivacy Policy
EL7.AIEL7.AI

AI Financial Intelligence
Professional analysis of central bank decisions

© 2026 EL7.AI. All rights reserved.

Markets

  • News
  • Forex
  • Stocks
  • Crypto
  • Gold
  • Commodities
  • Indices
  • ETFs

Analysis

  • Fed
  • ECB
  • COT
  • Economic Calendar

Learn

  • Service Guide
  • Oil

Company

  • About
  • Contact
  • Data Methodology
  • AI Disclosure
  • Pricing
  • Enterprise
  • Terms
  • Privacy
  • Security
  • WhatsApp
Status data is currently unavailable

The information provided on EL7.AI is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.

S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price YoY

United StatesHousingMonthly%Medium
SummaryAbout This Indicator4Historical Data164Revision history3
Latest release · September 29, 2026 · 13:00 UTC
2.50%
Above forecast by 0.3
Last five prints
0.901.201.602.202.50

The reading has risen in each of the last 4 releases.

Forecast
2.20Actual is higher by 0.3
Previous · Revised from 2.10
2.20

About This Indicator

4 questions

The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price YoY tracks prices of existing single-family homes across the nation. It covers matched repeat sales of the same houses to hold size and quality steady. New builds, condominiums, multi-family homes, and quick resales stay outside the sample by design. The publisher is S&P Dow Jones Indices with data and calculation support from CoreLogic.

The national index combines 9 division indices by housing stock value and carries a base value of 100. Companion releases cover metro area indices plus 10 and 20 composites with price-tier and seasonally adjusted versions. There is no target level or speed limit, so positive change means appreciation and negative change means depreciation. The family is known as a leading gauge of home price trends for typical houses.

Each point reflects repeat sales pairs from a rolling window of 3 months to keep samples large and offset recording delays. Releases arrive each month with a publication delay, so transactions occurred well before the announcement. If a holiday disrupts the schedule, publication shifts to the next business day at the same hour. If required source data are missing, the publisher may delay or skip publication for that cycle.

Index points may be revised for prior 24 months as late deeds arrive, while older history stays stable except for seasonal factor updates. Markets read the change over 12 months for trend and the seasonally adjusted monthly move for momentum. Higher positive values signal broad appreciation, while negative values signal broad depreciation across markets.

The national move reflects value-weighted repeat-sales levels across all nine divisions, so larger housing stocks shape the total more. Each division captures price change for existing single-family stock through matched pairs from deed records.

  • Northeast divisions: Middle Atlantic and New England capture repeat-sales levels for older dense stock in the northeast.
  • South divisions: South Atlantic, East South Central, and West South Central capture repeat-sales levels across southern stock.
  • Midwest divisions: East North Central and West North Central capture repeat-sales levels for midwestern single-family stock.
  • West divisions: Mountain and Pacific capture repeat-sales levels in the west, with Pacific holding the largest stock weight.

  • Collect deeds: Gather address, sale date, price, and property type for independent single-family sales from local recording offices.
  • Pair repeat sales: Match each sale to a prior sale of the same house to track steady quality price change.
  • Exclude non-market pairs: Drop family transfers, repossessions, new builds, type changes, errors, and second sales within 6 months.
  • Build rolling window: Use pairs from a rolling window of 3 months to keep samples large and smooth recording gaps.
  • Weight by value and quality: Weight each pair by first sale price, give less weight to long gaps and extreme moves from remodels or errors.
  • Aggregate and adjust: Combine division indices by stock value through a divisor and adjust for seasons with Census software. Then divide by the index 12 months earlier, subtract one, and multiply by 100. New points build only on prior points, so revisions stay contained.

Key point

Do not read it as a single month price or a median new-home price. Each point averages repeat sales with a delay, so check the seasonally adjusted series since headline softness can reflect normal seasonal swings. Remember new builds, condominiums, multi-family homes, and quick flips stay excluded by design.

Historical Data

View data as table
DateActualForecastSurprise
Sep 29, 20262.502.20+0.30
Aug 25, 20262.201.70+0.50
Jul 28, 20261.601.30+0.30
Jun 30, 20261.200.90+0.30
May 26, 20260.901.00-0.10
Apr 28, 20260.901.10-0.20
Mar 31, 20261.201.30-0.10
Feb 24, 20261.401.400.00
Jan 27, 20261.401.20+0.20
Dec 30, 20251.301.10+0.20
Nov 25, 20251.401.400.00
Oct 28, 20251.601.90-0.30
Sep 30, 20251.801.60+0.20
Aug 26, 20252.102.100.00
Jul 29, 20252.803.00-0.20
Jun 24, 20253.404.00-0.60
May 27, 20254.104.50-0.40
Apr 29, 20254.504.70-0.20
Mar 25, 20254.704.80-0.10
Feb 25, 20254.504.40+0.10
Jan 28, 20254.304.300.00
Dec 31, 20244.204.10+0.10
Nov 26, 20244.604.80-0.20
Oct 29, 20245.205.10+0.10
Sep 24, 20245.905.80+0.10
Aug 27, 20246.506.00+0.50
Jul 30, 20246.806.70+0.10
Jun 25, 20247.206.90+0.30
May 28, 20247.407.30+0.10
Apr 30, 20247.306.70+0.60
Mar 26, 20246.606.70-0.10
Feb 27, 20246.106.00+0.10
Jan 30, 20245.405.80-0.40
Dec 26, 20234.904.900.00
Nov 28, 20233.904.00-0.10
Oct 31, 20232.201.60+0.60
Sep 26, 20230.10-0.30+0.40
Aug 29, 2023-1.20-1.30+0.10
Jul 25, 2023-1.70-2.20+0.50
Jun 27, 2023-1.70-2.60+0.90
May 30, 2023-1.10-1.60+0.50
Apr 25, 20230.401.30-0.90
Mar 28, 20232.502.500.00
Feb 28, 20234.605.80-1.20
Jan 31, 20236.806.800.00
Dec 27, 20228.608.20+0.40
Nov 29, 202210.4010.80-0.40
Oct 25, 202213.1014.40-1.30
Sep 27, 202216.1017.00-0.90
Aug 30, 202218.6019.50-0.90

Revision history

3 of 3 prints were revised after release
DateFirst printCurrentRevision
Aug 25, 20262.102.20+0.10
Jun 30, 20261.101.20+0.10
May 26, 20260.800.90+0.10

Indicator questions

Source · S&P GlobalView Source
Actual is higher by 0.3
Next release
Tuesday, October 27 · 13:00
10 days
September 29October 27

Statistics

164 readings
  • Mean3.24
  • Std Deviation2.50
  • TrendRising
  • Year-over-year change+0.40
  • Forecast Accuracy75%
Latest reading against its usual range (mean ± one standard deviation)
2.500.743.245.74

The latest reading is within its usual range, less than one standard deviation from the mean.