The EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change measures the weekly change in the number of barrels of commercial crude oil held by US firms. This report is the most influential data point for the global energy market, as it directly reflects the balance between supply and demand in the world's largest oil consumer. A decrease in stocks typically suggests strong demand or tightening supply, which tends to drive oil prices higher. Conversely, an increase in inventories often signals oversupply or weakening demand, putting downward pressure on prices.
The Energy Information Administration (EIA) collects weekly data from oil companies, refineries, and pipeline operators across the United States. The data represents commercial stocks and excludes the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR).
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2026 | — | -1.10 | — |
| Aug 26, 2026 | 0.10 | 0.60 | -0.51 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | 4.41 | -0.60 | +5.00 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | 17.42 | -1.40 | +18.82 |
| Aug 5, 2026 | 2.48 | -1.50 | +3.98 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | -7.17 | -1.30 | -5.87 |
| Jul 22, 2026 | 2.01 | -1.25 | +3.26 |
| Jul 15, 2026 | -1.69 | -2.60 | +0.91 |
| Jul 8, 2026 | 3.00 | -2.40 | +5.40 |
| Jul 1, 2026 | -3.77 | -5.10 | +1.32 |
| Jun 24, 2026 | -6.09 | -4.50 | -1.59 |
| Jun 17, 2026 | -8.26 | -4.60 | -3.66 |
| Jun 10, 2026 | -7.23 | -4.00 | -3.23 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | -7.97 | -4.00 | -3.97 |
| May 28, 2026 | -3.33 | -4.10 | +0.77 |
| May 20, 2026 | -7.86 | -2.90 | -4.96 |
| May 13, 2026 | -4.31 | -2.10 | -2.21 |
| May 6, 2026 | -2.31 | -3.30 | +0.99 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | -6.23 | -0.20 | -6.03 |
| Apr 22, 2026 | 1.93 | -1.20 | +3.13 |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 3.82 | 1.10 | +2.72 |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3.48 | — | — |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 15.99 | — | — |
| Feb 19, 2026 | -9.01 | — | — |
| Feb 11, 2026 | 8.53 | — | — |
| Feb 4, 2026 | -3.46 | — | — |
| Jan 28, 2026 | -2.30 | — | — |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 3.60 | — | — |
| Jan 14, 2026 | 3.39 | -2.20 | +5.59 |
| Jan 7, 2026 | -3.83 | 1.10 | -4.93 |
| Dec 31, 2025 | -1.93 | -0.90 | -1.03 |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 0.41 | -2.40 | +2.80 |
| Dec 17, 2025 | -1.27 | -1.10 | -0.17 |
| Dec 10, 2025 | -1.81 | -2.30 | +0.49 |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 0.57 | -0.80 | +1.37 |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2.77 | -0.50 | +3.27 |
| Nov 19, 2025 | -3.43 | -0.60 | -2.83 |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 6.41 | 2.00 | +4.41 |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 5.20 | 0.60 | +4.60 |
| Oct 29, 2025 | -6.86 | -0.20 | -6.66 |
| Oct 22, 2025 | -0.96 | 1.20 | -2.16 |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3.52 | 0.12 | +3.40 |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 3.71 | 2.25 | +1.46 |
| Oct 1, 2025 | 1.79 | 1.50 | +0.29 |
| Sep 24, 2025 | -0.61 | 0.80 | -1.41 |
| Sep 17, 2025 | -9.29 | -1.50 | -7.79 |
| Sep 10, 2025 | 3.94 | -1.10 | +5.04 |
| Sep 4, 2025 | 2.42 | -1.80 | +4.21 |
| Aug 27, 2025 | -2.39 | -2.00 | -0.39 |
| Aug 20, 2025 | -6.01 | -1.30 | -4.71 |
| Aug 13, 2025 | 3.04 | -0.80 | +3.84 |
| Date | First print | Current | Revision |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 17, 2026 | -8.26 | -8.26 | 0 ↓ |
| May 20, 2026 | -7.86 | -7.86 | 0 ↓ |
| May 6, 2026 | -2.31 | -2.31 | +0.00 ↑ |
