The reading has risen in each of the last 4 releases.
The 30-Year Bond Auction measures the yield on the longest-dated Treasury securities issued by the government. It serves as a benchmark for long-term interest rates, including mortgage rates. The results reflect long-term investor confidence in the economy and expectations for inflation over several decades.
The auction uses a competitive bidding system where the yield is set based on the bids received. The 'bid-to-cover' ratio is also a key metric, representing the total value of bids compared to the amount of bonds sold.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | 5.62 | — | — |
| Sep 10, 2026 | 5.31 | — | — |
| Aug 13, 2026 | 5.22 | — | — |
| Jul 9, 2026 | 5.06 | — | — |
| Jun 11, 2026 | 5.02 | — | — |
| May 13, 2026 | 5.05 | — | — |
| Apr 9, 2026 | 4.88 | — | — |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 4.87 | — | — |
| Feb 12, 2026 | 4.75 | — | — |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 4.83 | — | — |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 4.77 | — | — |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 4.69 | — | — |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 4.73 | — | — |
| Sep 11, 2025 | 4.65 | — | — |
| Aug 7, 2025 | 4.81 | — | — |
| Jul 10, 2025 | 4.89 | — | — |
| Jun 12, 2025 | 4.84 | — | — |
| May 8, 2025 | 4.82 | — | — |
| Apr 10, 2025 | 4.81 | — | — |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 4.62 | — | — |
| Feb 13, 2025 | 4.75 | — | — |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 4.91 | — | — |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 4.54 | — | — |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 4.61 | — | — |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 4.39 | — | — |
| Sep 12, 2024 | 4.01 | — | — |
| Aug 8, 2024 | 4.31 | — | — |
| Jul 11, 2024 | 4.41 | — | — |
| Jun 13, 2024 | 4.40 | — | — |
| May 9, 2024 | 4.63 | — | — |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 4.67 | — | — |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 4.33 | — | — |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 4.36 | — | — |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 4.23 | — | — |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 4.34 | — | — |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 4.77 | — | — |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 4.84 | — | — |
| Sep 13, 2023 | 4.13 | — | — |
| Aug 10, 2023 | 4.19 | — | — |
| Jul 13, 2023 | 3.91 | — | — |
| Jun 13, 2023 | 3.91 | — | — |
| May 11, 2023 | 3.74 | — | — |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3.66 | — | — |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3.88 | — | — |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 3.69 | — | — |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3.58 | — | — |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3.51 | — | — |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 4.08 | — | — |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3.93 | — | — |
| Sep 13, 2022 | 3.51 | — | — |
The latest reading is 2.7 standard deviations above the mean.
