Currency
Stock Index
Central Bank
EPI = 100 − |inflation| − unemployment − deficit/GDP + GDP growth. Source: IMF WP/13/214 (Khramov & Lee, 2013).
Deficit/GDP sourced from Aus Treasury 2024
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.6 | 4.35 | 4.6 | In Line | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | ||
| 0 | 0 | — |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inflation Rate YoY | 3.9 | 4.1 | 4.1 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | |
| Inflation Rate MoM | 0.4 | 1 | 0.5 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | |
| 103.07 | 102.03 | 102.7 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | ||
| CPI YoY | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.6 | In Line | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |
| CPI MoM | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| 3.6 | 3 | 2.5 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | ||
| 5.3 | 4.9 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |||
| 5.3 | 4.9 |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unemployment Rate | 4.7 | 4.7 | 4.6 | Beat | ||
| Employment Change | -39.3 | 29.3 | 20 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | |
| 66.8 | 67 | 67 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | ||
| -73.7 | 33.3 | — | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | |||
| 34.4 | -4 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| 2.2 | 2.6 | -1.3 | Beat | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | ||
| ANZ-Indeed Job Ads MoM | -3.1 | 3.2 | 0.1 | Miss | Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease | |
| -0.7 | 0.6 |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1 | 1.3 | 1 | In Line | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | |
| GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |
| 2.1 | 2.5 | 1.8 | Beat | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | ||
| 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | ||
| 1.6 | 0.5 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| -0.6 | 0.9 | — | Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease | |||
| 0.5 | 0.1 | — | Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease | |||
| 0.5 | 0.1 |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Building Permits | -7.2 | -14.9 | -7.2 | In Line | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |
| Building Permits MoM | -6.1 | -1.9 | -6.1 | In Line | Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease | |
| -16 | -13.1 | — | Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease | |||
| 23.7 | 21.7 | 23 | Beat | Rising5th Consecutive Increase | ||
| 3.7 | -1.9 | 3.7 | In Line | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| Building Permits YoY | 10.3 | 10.9 | 10.3 | In Line | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | |
| -34.5 | -4.7 | -7 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | ||
| 0.4 | 0.5 |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retail Sales MoM | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.4 | Beat | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase | |
| Retail Sales YoY | 1.7 | 1.6 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | ||
| Consumer Confidence | 3.5 | -0.1 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | ||
| Business Confidence | 2 | 0 | — | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase | ||
| -13 | -9 | -9 | Miss | Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease |
| 80.4 | 84.4 | 83.4 | Miss | Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease | ||
| -4.7 | -5.2 | -1.2 | Miss | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | ||
| 0 | 1.1 |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balance of Trade | 0.495 | 1.351 | 2 | Miss | Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease | |
| Trade Balance | 1.825 | 6.612 | 6.13 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | |
| -27.2 | -25.4 | -30 | Beat | Falling5th Consecutive Decrease | ||
| 3 | — | — | ||||
| 1 | 4 | — | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| Exports | 0.2 | -0.9 | 0.6 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | |
| -1.3 | -1.5 | — | Falling4th Consecutive Decrease | |||
| 3.7 | -3.6 |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manufacturing PMI | 49.6 | 52 | 49.3 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |
| Services PMI | 51.9 | 53.2 | 51.4 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |
| Composite PMI | 51.3 | 52.7 | 50.8 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |
| -8.7 | -14.9 | -16 | Beat | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase | ||
| -0.2 | 0.7 | — | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| -0.2 | 0.7 | 0.7 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | ||
| 55.5 | 53.6 | 53.4 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | ||
| 50 | 49 |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI | 45.62 | 48.5 | — | Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease | ||
| Leading Index MoM | -0.1 | 0 | -0.1 | In Line | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | |
| -1 | -1 | — | ||||
| -24.2 | -1.6 | -4 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | ||
| 15.5 | 16.2 | 15 | Beat | Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease |
| 8.4 | 8.4 | 8.3 | Beat | |||
| 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.5 | Beat | |||
| 1.8 | -1.5 |
| Beat |
| Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| TD-MI Inflation Gauge MoM | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | Miss | Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease |
| Inflation Rate | 103.5 | 103.07 | 103.5 | In Line |
| Monthly Trimmed Mean CPI YoY | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.6 | In Line |
| Monthly CPI Indicator | 4 | 3.5 | 4.1 | Miss | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| Median CPI YoY | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.7 | Miss |
| Median CPI MoM | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| Trimmed Mean CPI MoM | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.3 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| Wage Price Index YoY | 3.2 | 3.2 | 3.2 | In Line |
| Wage Price Index QoQ | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | In Line |
| Producer Price Index QoQ | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| Export Price Index QoQ | 1.1 | 0.5 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| Import Price Index QoQ | 5.7 | 0.1 | 0 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| Trimmed Mean CPI YoY | 3.6 | 3.5 | 3.7 | Miss | Rising5th Consecutive Increase |
| Weighted Median CPI QoQ | 0.7 | 0.9 | — | Falling4th Consecutive Decrease |
| Weighted Median CPI YoY | 3.6 | 3.5 | — | Rising5th Consecutive Increase |
| Consumer Price Index | 4 | 3.5 | 3.7 | Beat | Rising4th Consecutive Increase |
| Trimmed Mean CPI QoQ | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.9 | Miss |
| Inflation Rate QoQ | 0.6 | 1.4 | 0.7 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| CPI QoQ | 0.9 | 1 | 0.8 | Beat |
| Weighted Mean CPI YoY | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.3 | In Line | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| Weighted Mean CPI QoQ | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| Consumer Inflation Expectations | 3.3 | 3.5 | — | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| TD Securities Inflation YoY | 1.7 | 2.2 | — | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease |
| ANZ Newspaper Job Ads MoM | -12.6 | -5.3 | — | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| ANZ Job Advertisements | 1.8 | 0.7 | — | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase |
| Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| GDP Capital Expenditure QoQ | -0.3 | 3.1 | — | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| Net Exports Contribution to GDP | 0.1 | -0.8 | -0.4 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| GDP Capital Expenditure | 0.7 | 3.2 | — | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| GDP Consumption | 0.7 | 0.8 | — | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| GDP Deflator | -0.5 | 0.1 | — |
| GDP Annual Growth Rate YoY | 3.1 | 3.1 | — |
| 0.4 |
| In Line |
| Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease |
| Construction Work Done QoQ | -2.1 | 4.3 | 0.5 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| Investment Lending for Homes | -10.2 | -3.2 | -6.4 | Miss | Falling4th Consecutive Decrease |
| Home Loans MoM | -1.9 | -3.5 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| Home Loans QoQ | -1.9 | -3.5 | -2.3 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| House Price Index QoQ | 4.7 | 5 | 3.9 | Beat | Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease |
| Construction Work Done | -2 | — | — |
| 0.3 |
| Miss |
| Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| Household Spending YoY | 6.8 | 7 | 6.4 | Beat | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| Retail Sales QoQ | 0.3 | 0.1 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| Imports MoM | 5.8 | -2.4 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| Export Prices QoQ | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| Import Prices QoQ | 5.7 | 0.1 | 0 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| Beat |
| Rising3rd Consecutive Increase |
| CommBank Composite PMI | 50.5 | 49.4 | 48.9 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| Miss |
| Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| Capital Expenditure MoM | 2.1 | -3.3 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| Capital Expenditure QoQ | -3.6 | 6.9 | -1.8 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| Westpac Leading Index MoM | 0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| CFTC AUD speculative net positions | 70.8 | 81.5 | — | Rising5th Consecutive Increase |
| CoreLogic Dwelling Prices MoM | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.4 | Beat | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase |
| Ai Group Services Index | 45.6 | 47.7 | 48.6 | Miss | Falling4th Consecutive Decrease |
| Plant Machinery Capital Expenditure QoQ | -4.1 | 2.7 | — |
| Building Capital Expenditure QoQ | -0.2 | 4.2 | — |
| Vehicle Sales YoY | -0.2 | 1.5 | — | Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease |
| Vehicle Sales MoM | 4.5 | 0.2 | — | Rising4th Consecutive Increase |
| CB Leading Indicator | -0.4 | 0.5 | — | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| Private Capital Expenditure QoQ | 0.8 | -8.4 | -3 | Beat |
| Priv. New Capital Exp. QoQ | -4.2 | — | -1.4 | Miss |
| Westpac Leading Index | -0.1 | 0.1 | — | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| CB Leading Index | 0.5 | 0.3 | — | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase |
| Commodity Index SDR YoY | -8 | — | — |
