The Year-over-Year Inflation Rate measures the percentage change in the price of a basket of goods and services compared to the same month in the previous year. It is the primary gauge of purchasing power and is used by central banks to determine monetary policy and interest rate adjustments. High inflation often leads to tighter monetary policy, while low inflation may prompt stimulus measures.
It is calculated by comparing the current Consumer Price Index (CPI) to the CPI value from one year ago. The formula used is ((Current CPI - Past CPI) / Past CPI) x 100.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | 3.50 | 3.30 | +0.20 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | 3.80 | 4.00 | -0.20 |
| Jun 24, 2026 | 4.00 | 4.40 | -0.40 |
| Jun 24, 2026 | 4.00 | 4.30 | -0.30 |
| May 27, 2026 | 4.20 | 4.40 | -0.20 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | 4.10 | 4.20 | -0.10 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | 3.60 | 3.80 | -0.20 |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3.80 | 3.70 | +0.10 |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 3.80 | 3.60 | +0.20 |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3.40 | 3.70 | -0.30 |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3.80 | 3.60 | +0.20 |
| Oct 29, 2025 | 3.20 | 3.00 | +0.20 |
| Jul 30, 2025 | 2.10 | 2.20 | -0.10 |
| Apr 30, 2025 | 2.40 | 2.30 | +0.10 |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 2.40 | 2.50 | -0.10 |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 2.80 | 2.90 | -0.10 |
| Jul 31, 2024 | 3.80 | 3.80 | 0.00 |
| Apr 24, 2024 | 3.60 | 3.40 | +0.20 |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 4.10 | 4.30 | -0.20 |
| Oct 25, 2023 | 5.40 | 5.30 | +0.10 |
| Jul 26, 2023 | 6.00 | 6.20 | -0.20 |
| Apr 26, 2023 | 7.00 | 6.90 | +0.10 |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 7.80 | 7.50 | +0.30 |
| Oct 26, 2022 | 7.30 | 7.00 | +0.30 |
| Jul 27, 2022 | 6.10 | 6.20 | -0.10 |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 5.10 | 4.60 | +0.50 |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 3.50 | 3.20 | +0.30 |
| Oct 27, 2021 | 3.00 | 3.10 | -0.10 |
| Date | First print | Current | Revision |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 24, 2026 | 4 | 4 | 0 ↓ |
| Apr 29, 2026 | 4.60 | 4.10 | -0.50 ↓ |
| Mar 25, 2026 | 3.70 | 3.60 | -0.10 ↓ |
