Currency
Stock Index
Central Bank
EPI = 100 − |inflation| − unemployment − deficit/GDP + GDP growth. Source: IMF WP/13/214 (Khramov & Lee, 2013).
Deficit/GDP sourced from Dept of Finance Canada 2024
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.25 | 0.75 | — | ||||
| 2.25 | 2.25 | 2.25 | In Line |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inflation Rate YoY | 3 | 2.8 | 2.9 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |
| Core Inflation Rate YoY | 2.3 | 2.1 | 2.2 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |
| 0.5 | -0.4 | 0.4 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | ||
| 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | In Line | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | ||
| 2.3 | 2.4 | 2.4 | Miss | Falling5th Consecutive Decrease |
| CPI YoY | 3 | 2.8 | — | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | ||
| CPI MoM | 0.5 | -0.4 | 0.4 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |
| 12.4 | 12.4 | 12 | Beat |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unemployment Rate | 6.4 | 6.5 | 6.5 | Miss | Falling4th Consecutive Decrease | |
| Employment Change | 75.1 | 18.2 | 15 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |
| 475 | -301 | 120 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | ||
| 65.1 | 65 | 65.1 | In Line | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | ||
| 3.4 | 3.3 | 3.3 | Beat |
| 38.6 | 0.6 | 21 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | ||
| 3 | 3.7 | 3.6 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | ||
| 36.6 | 17.5 | 4 | Beat | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1.1 | 1.5 | — | |||
| GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.8 | In Line | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase | |
| 3.3 | 0.3 | 3.4 | Miss | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase | ||
| 1.13 | 0.06 | — | Falling4th Consecutive Decrease | |||
| 3.3 | 0.3 | 3.4 | Miss | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase |
| 0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | Miss | Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease | ||
| 2.5 | 1.2 | 0.6 | Beat | Rising5th Consecutive Increase | ||
| -9 | — | — |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Housing Starts | 229.1 | 240.8 | 248 | Miss | Falling4th Consecutive Decrease | |
| Building Permits | 4.8 | 6.1 | -2 | Beat | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | |
| 18.5 | -3 | 0.8 | Beat | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase | ||
| 200.2 | — | 178 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retail Sales MoM | -0.8 | 1 | -0.5 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | |
| Retail Sales YoY | 5.2 | 6.1 | 3.1 | Beat | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | |
| 0.5 | 1.2 | 0.4 | Beat | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balance of Trade | 3.86 | 3.7 | 3 | Beat | Rising5th Consecutive Increase | |
| Trade Balance | -6.32 | -3.82 | -5.7 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | |
| 8.8 | -8.3 | -2 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | ||
| 77.49 | 77.19 | 75 | Beat | Rising5th Consecutive Increase | ||
| 73.63 | 73.49 | 70.2 | Beat | Rising4th Consecutive Increase |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manufacturing PMI | 53 | 53.5 | 52.7 | Beat | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | |
| Services PMI | 49.1 | 47.1 | 48 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |
| Composite PMI | 49.7 | 47.9 | 49 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |
| 82.3 | 82.2 | 82 | Beat | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase | ||
| -0.2 | 0.1 | 0.9 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| Ivey PMI | 54.1 | 59.7 | 55.5 | Miss | Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease | |
| 49.2 | 49.1 | 49 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | ||
| 0.2 | 0.3 | — | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Budget Balance | 0.99 | -0.31 | 2 | Miss | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase | |
| 10-Year Bond Auction | 3.707 | 3.653 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | ||
| 2-Year Bond Auction | 3.023 | 2.888 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | ||
| 3.344 | 3.231 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |||
| 3.968 | 3.783 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| 3-Year Bond Auction | 3.666 | 3.449 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | ||
| 2.588 | 2.113 | — | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wholesale Sales MoM | -0.6 | 2.8 | -1.3 | Beat | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | |
| BoC Senior Loan Officer Survey | -1 | 1 | — | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | ||
| 57.6 | 58.6 | 56 | Beat | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | ||
| -2.2 | -6.7 | -1.8 | Miss | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | ||
| 18.1 | 21 | 18 | Beat | Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease |
| 35.43 | 21.89 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |||
| 190.2 | 190.6 | 160 | Beat | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | ||
| 40.83 | 8.8 | 15 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| Producer Price Index MoM | 0.6 | -1.4 | -0.4 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| New Housing Price Index MoM | -0.1 | -0.1 | 0 | Miss |
| Core CPI YoY | 2.3 | 2.1 | — |
| Common CPI YoY | 2.7 | 2.6 | 2.5 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| Core CPI MoM | 0.2 | 0.1 | — |
| Trimmed CPI YoY | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.8 | Beat |
| Median CPI YoY | 2 | 1.9 | 1.9 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| New Housing Price Index YoY | -2.3 | — | — |
| Labour Productivity QoQ | -0.5 | -0.1 | 0.7 | Miss | Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease |
| Job Vacancies | 353 | 401 | — |
| Industrial Product Prices YoY | 1.7 | 1.4 | — | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase |
| Manufacturing Sales YoY | -1 | 2.3 | — |
| Manufacturing Shipments MoM | 2.6 | 0.5 | 1 | Beat |
| Manufacturing Shipments YoY | 2.3 | -0.9 | — |
| Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI | 48.19 | 49.42 | — | Rising4th Consecutive Increase |
| Vehicle Sales MoM | 190.6 | 183.9 | — | Rising5th Consecutive Increase |
| Leading Index MoM | 0.14 | 0.15 | — | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| CFTC CAD speculative net positions | -55.6 | -32.7 | — | Rising5th Consecutive Increase |
| Business Outlook Survey Indicator | 4.7 | 4 | — | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase |
| Stock Investment by Foreigners | -4.28 | — | 9970 | Miss |
| Canadian Investment in Foreign Securities | 2.81 | 3.81 | — | Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease |
| Wholesale Sales YoY | 0.8 | 2.6 | — |
| Foreign Investment in Canadian Securities | -6.31 | 14.32 | 7.28 | Miss |
