The monthly Gross Domestic Product (GDP) provides a high-frequency estimate of economic growth, measuring the change in output for a single month compared to the previous month. While quarterly data is more comprehensive, monthly GDP is crucial for identifying short-term economic trends and turning points in the business cycle. It is particularly significant in economies like the UK and Canada where it is a headline release. Investors use this data to anticipate quarterly performance and central bank policy shifts.
Estimated using a variety of monthly indicators including industrial production, services output, and construction activity. These components are weighted to reflect their contribution to the total economy.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | — | 0.10 | — |
| Aug 28, 2026 | 0.00 | 0.10 | -0.10 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | 0.30 | 0.20 | +0.10 |
| Jun 30, 2026 | 0.60 | 0.40 | +0.20 |
| May 29, 2026 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| Apr 30, 2026 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Mar 31, 2026 | 0.10 | 0.00 | +0.10 |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 0.20 | 0.10 | +0.10 |
| Jan 30, 2026 | 0.10 | 0.20 | -0.10 |
| Dec 23, 2025 | -0.30 | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Oct 31, 2025 | -0.30 | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Sep 26, 2025 | 0.20 | 0.10 | +0.10 |
| Aug 29, 2025 | 0.10 | 0.30 | -0.20 |
| Jul 31, 2025 | -0.10 | -0.10 | 0.00 |
| Jun 27, 2025 | -0.10 | 0.10 | -0.20 |
| May 30, 2025 | 0.10 | -0.30 | +0.40 |
| Apr 30, 2025 | 0.10 | -0.60 | +0.70 |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 0.40 | 0.30 | +0.10 |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 0.20 | 0.30 | -0.10 |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 0.30 | 0.10 | +0.20 |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 0.10 | 0.30 | -0.20 |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 0.30 | 0.40 | -0.10 |
| Sep 27, 2024 | 0.20 | — | — |
| Jul 31, 2024 | 0.10 | 0.20 | -0.10 |
| Jun 28, 2024 | 0.10 | 0.20 | -0.10 |
| May 31, 2024 | 0.30 | — | — |
| Apr 30, 2024 | 0.20 | 0.30 | -0.10 |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 0.40 | 0.10 | +0.30 |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 0.40 | — | — |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 0.20 | 0.10 | +0.10 |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 0.00 | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 0.10 | 0.00 | +0.10 |
| Oct 31, 2023 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Sep 29, 2023 | 0.10 | -0.10 | +0.20 |
| Sep 1, 2023 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Jul 28, 2023 | -0.20 | 0.10 | -0.30 |
| Jun 30, 2023 | 0.40 | — | — |
| May 31, 2023 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Apr 28, 2023 | -0.10 | -0.20 | +0.10 |
| Mar 31, 2023 | 0.50 | 0.30 | +0.20 |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 0.30 | -0.10 | +0.40 |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 0.10 | -0.20 | +0.30 |
| Sep 29, 2022 | 0.10 | -0.10 | +0.20 |
| Aug 31, 2022 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| Jul 29, 2022 | 0.10 | — | — |
| Jun 30, 2022 | -0.20 | 0.10 | -0.30 |
| Date | First print | Current | Revision |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 2026 | 0.50 | 0.60 | +0.10 ↑ |
| May 29, 2026 | -0.10 | 0.40 | +0.50 ↑ |