Currency
Central Bank
EPI = 100 − |inflation| − unemployment − deficit/GDP + GDP growth. Source: IMF WP/13/214 (Khramov & Lee, 2013).
Deficit/GDP sourced from Swiss FFA 2024
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Interest Rate Decision | 0 | 0 | 0 | In Line |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inflation Rate YoY | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.5 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |
| Inflation Rate MoM | 0.4 | -0.1 | 0 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |
| 0.6 | -0.1 | 0.5 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | ||
| CPI YoY | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.5 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |
| CPI MoM | 0.4 | -0.1 | 0 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| -2.1 | -2.1 | — | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | |||
| -0.1 | -0.3 | -0.2 | Beat | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unemployment Rate | 3 | 2.9 | 2.9 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |
| Non Farm Payrolls | 5.698 | 5.65 | 5.55 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |
| 5.698 | 5.537 | — | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | |||
| 4.15 | 4.12 | — |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GDP Growth Rate YoY | 2.3 | 0.4 | 1.7 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |
| GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.6 | Miss | ||
| 2.8 | 0.5 | — | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | |||
| 1.9 | 0.6 | 1.5 | Beat | Rising5th Consecutive Increase |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retail Sales MoM | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | Miss | Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease | |
| Retail Sales YoY | 2.3 | 1.9 | 1.3 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |
| -35 | -36 | -34 | Miss | Rising5th Consecutive Increase | ||
| 1.98 | 1.95 | 2 | Miss | |||
| 12.9 | 8.9 | — | Rising5th Consecutive Increase |
| 12.1 | 10 | 8 | Beat | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase | ||
| -33 | -40 | -34 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | ||
| 19 | 28.7 | 25 | Miss | Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balance of Trade | 8.1 | 3.8 | 4.1 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |
| Trade Balance | 4.073 | 3.876 | 5.22 | Miss | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |
| 15.5 | 3 | 11.9 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | ||
| -0.3 | 0.1 | -0.2 | Miss | |||
| 0.1 | -0.1 | 0.3 | Miss |
| -0.1 | -0.3 | 0.2 | Miss | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase | ||
| -2.1 | -2.1 | -1.6 | Miss |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industrial Production YoY | 5.5 | -7.6 | -4.7 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |
| procure.ch Manufacturing PMI | 57.1 | 53.2 | 53.5 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |
| 48.8 | 49.4 | 48.6 | Beat | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | ||
| 11.4 | 11.2 | — | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KOF Leading Indicators | 106.7 | 104.2 | 103.3 | Beat | Rising5th Consecutive Increase | |
| ZEW Expectations | 12.1 | 10 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | ||
| M3 Money Supply | 1231.1 | 1226.4 | — | Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease | ||
| 768.26 | 758.854 | 760 | Beat | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase | ||
| Bond Auction | 0.361 | 1.069 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| -30.7 | -29.9 | — | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | |||
| 1212 | 1209 | — | ||||
| 1.69 | 1.73 | — | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase |
| ZEW Survey - Expectations | 20 | 2.3 | 5 | Beat |
| Currency Reserves | 428 | 427 | — |
