Currency
Central Bank
EPI = 100 − |inflation| − unemployment − deficit/GDP + GDP growth. Source: IMF WP/13/214 (Khramov & Lee, 2013).
Deficit/GDP sourced from Swiss FFA 2024
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Interest Rate Decision | 0 | 0 | 0 | In Line |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inflation Rate YoY | 1 | 0.8 | 1 | In Line | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase | |
| Inflation Rate MoM | 0 | 0.4 | 0 | In Line | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | |
| CPI | 0.6 | -0.1 | 0.5 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |
| CPI YoY | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.5 | Miss | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase | |
| CPI MoM | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.5 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| -0.2 | -0.7 | -0.2 | In Line | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase | ||
| 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.5 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unemployment Rate | 3 | 3 | 2.8 | Beat | ||
| Non Farm Payrolls | 5.698 | 5.65 | 5.55 | Beat | Rising4th Consecutive Increase | |
| 5.698 | 5.537 | — | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase | |||
| Employment Level QoQ | 4.15 | 4.12 | — |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GDP Growth Rate YoY | 2.3 | 0.4 | 1.7 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |
| GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.6 | Miss | ||
| 2.8 | 0.5 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |||
| 1.9 | 0.6 | 1.5 | Beat | Rising5th Consecutive Increase |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retail Sales MoM | 0.4 | 0.1 | -0.1 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |
| Retail Sales YoY | 3.2 | 2.6 | 2.2 | Beat | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase | |
| -36 | -33 | -31 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | ||
| Business Confidence | 1.98 | 1.95 | 2 | Miss | ||
| 12.9 | 8.9 | — | Rising5th Consecutive Increase |
| 2.6 | 12.1 | 13 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | ||
| -33 | -40 | -34 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | ||
| 19 | 28.7 |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balance of Trade | 5.6 | 8.1 | 7.5 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | |
| Trade Balance | 4.073 | 3.876 | 5.22 | Miss | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |
| 23.7 | 16.5 | 10.8 | Beat | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase | ||
| -0.3 | 0.1 | -0.2 | Miss | |||
| 0.1 | -0.1 | 0.3 | Miss |
| -0.1 | -0.3 | 0.2 | Miss | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase | ||
| -2.1 | -2.1 | -1.6 | Miss |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industrial Production YoY | 5.5 | -7.6 | -4.7 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |
| procure.ch Manufacturing PMI | 55.3 | 57.1 | 56 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | |
| 48.8 | 49.4 | 48.6 | Beat | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | ||
| 11.4 | 11.2 | — | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bond Auction | 3.095 | — | — | Rising4th Consecutive Increase | ||
| Foreign Exchange Reserves | 770.47 | 770.07 | 777 | Miss | Rising5th Consecutive Increase | |
| 2.6 | 12.1 | — | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | |||
| 109.1 | 107.5 | 106 | Beat | Rising5th Consecutive Increase | ||
| M3 Money Supply | 1238.2 | 1232.2 | — | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase |
| CFTC CHF speculative net positions | -30.7 | -29.9 | — | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | ||
| 1212 | 1209 | — | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase | |||
| 1.69 | 1.73 |
| Miss |
| Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease |
| Rising3rd Consecutive Increase |
| ZEW Survey - Expectations | 20 | 2.3 | 5 | Beat |
| Currency Reserves | 428 | 427 | — |
