Industrial Production Year-over-Year (YoY) measures the change in the total inflation-adjusted value of output produced by manufacturers, mines, and utilities compared to the same month in the previous year. It is a key indicator of economic strength, as the industrial sector accounts for a significant portion of GDP and is highly sensitive to interest rates and consumer demand. Consistent growth in industrial production often precedes broader economic expansion.
The index is compiled using physical output data from various industries, weighted by their contribution to the total economy. The YoY figure compares the current month's index level to the level from 12 months prior.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | 5.50 | -4.70 | +10.20 |
| May 21, 2026 | -7.60 | 0.50 | -8.10 |
| Feb 19, 2026 | -0.40 | 2.10 | -2.50 |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2.40 | -0.60 | +3.00 |
| Aug 18, 2025 | -0.10 | -2.30 | +2.20 |
| May 16, 2025 | 8.50 | 1.10 | +7.40 |
| Feb 18, 2025 | 2.30 | 0.50 | +1.80 |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 3.50 | 5.00 | -1.50 |
| Aug 16, 2024 | 7.30 | -2.90 | +10.20 |
| May 17, 2024 | -3.10 | -1.20 | -1.90 |
| Feb 16, 2024 | -0.40 | 1.50 | -1.90 |
| Nov 17, 2023 | 2.00 | -1.70 | +3.70 |
| Aug 18, 2023 | -0.80 | — | — |
| May 22, 2023 | 3.40 | — | — |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 6.10 | — | — |
| Nov 18, 2022 | 5.20 | — | — |
| Aug 19, 2022 | 5.10 | — | — |
| May 20, 2022 | 7.90 | — | — |
| Feb 18, 2022 | 7.30 | — | — |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 8.30 | — | — |
| Date | First print | Current | Revision |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 21, 2026 | -7.10 | -7.60 | -0.50 ↓ |
| Feb 19, 2026 | -0.70 | -0.40 | +0.30 ↑ |
