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Mexico

AmericasMXN
Compare with other countries
Inflation Rate YoY4.64%
Interest Rate Decision3.75%
GDP Growth Rate YoY3.6

Currency

USDMXN16.9916
+0.15%

Stock Index

IPC Mexico64,514.25
-1.40%

Central Bank

Banco de México3.75%

Benchmark

Refreshed: 2026-04-25
76B
Coverage: 4/4

EPI = 100 − |inflation| − unemployment − deficit/GDP + GDP growth. Source: IMF WP/13/214 (Khramov & Lee, 2013).

GDP growth+1.8%
Inflation+4.6%
Unemployment+2.4%
Deficit / GDP-19.3%

Economic Indicators

Central Bank

(1)
Economic IndicatorsHistoryActualPreviousForecastSurpriseTrendFrequency
6.56.56.5In Line—
In Line
Actual
6.5
Previous
6.5

Upcoming Releases

Sep 3
12:00
Consumer Confidence
Sep 4
12:00
Gross Fixed Investment MoM
Sep 4
12:00
Gross Fixed Investment YoY
Sep 7
12:00
Auto Production YoY
Sep 7
12:00
Auto Exports YoY
Sep 9
10:00

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Forecast
6.5

Inflation

(15)
Economic IndicatorsHistoryActualPreviousForecastSurpriseTrendFrequency
Inflation Rate YoY3.123.373.12In LineFalling5th Consecutive Decrease—
Core Inflation Rate YoY3.954.033.94BeatFalling5th Consecutive Decrease—
0.03-0.270.03In LineRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
0.230.240.22BeatFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
0.10.07—Rising3rd Consecutive Increase—
In Line
Actual
3.12
Previous
3.37
Forecast
3.12
Falling5th Consecutive Decrease
Beat
Actual
3.95
Previous
4.03
Forecast
3.94
Falling5th Consecutive Decrease
In Line
Actual
0.03
Previous
-0.27
Forecast
0.03
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Beat
Actual
0.23
Show all indicators (15)Hide extra indicators
CPI YoY3.123.373.12In LineFalling5th Consecutive Decrease—
CPI MoM0.03-0.270.03In LineRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
2.562.13.1MissRising2nd Consecutive Increase—

Employment

(1)
Economic IndicatorsHistoryActualPreviousForecastSurpriseTrendFrequency
Unemployment Rate2.92.93Miss—
Unemployment Rate
Miss
Actual
2.9
Previous
2.9
Forecast
3

Growth

(4)
Economic IndicatorsHistoryActualPreviousForecastSurpriseTrendFrequency
GDP Growth Rate YoY2.10.22.2MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
GDP Growth Rate QoQ1.4-0.61.5MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
2.12.22.2MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
1.41.51.5MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
GDP Growth Rate YoY
Miss
Actual
2.1
Previous
0.2
Forecast
2.2
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Miss
Actual
1.4
Previous
-0.6
Forecast
1.5
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Miss
Actual
2.1
Previous
2.2
Forecast
2.2
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Miss
Actual

Consumer

(4)
Economic IndicatorsHistoryActualPreviousForecastSurpriseTrendFrequency
Retail Sales MoM-0.2-0.60.1MissRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
Retail Sales YoY2.71.63.1MissRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
45.143.844.1BeatRising3rd Consecutive Increase—
48.14847.7BeatRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
Miss
Actual
-0.2
Previous
-0.6
Forecast
0.1
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Miss
Actual
2.7
Previous
1.6
Forecast
3.1
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Beat
Actual
45.1
Previous
43.8
Forecast
44.1
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
Beat
Actual
48.1

Trade

(6)
Economic IndicatorsHistoryActualPreviousForecastSurpriseTrendFrequency
Balance of Trade-0.8484.063MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Trade Balance-0.8310.382—Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
8927-182312500BeatRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
2728730169——
Imports3015329208——
Miss
Actual
-0.848
Previous
4.06
Forecast
3
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Actual
-0.831
Previous
0.382
Forecast
—
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Beat
Actual
8927
Previous
-18231
Forecast
2500
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Actual
27287
Show all indicators (6)Hide extra indicators
-9.7-9.21.8MissFalling4th Consecutive Decrease—
Miss
Actual
-9.7
Previous
-9.2
Forecast
1.8
Falling4th Consecutive Decrease

Manufacturing

(4)
Economic IndicatorsHistoryActualPreviousForecastSurpriseTrendFrequency
Manufacturing PMI49.851.351.1MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Industrial Production YoY1.7-0.71.1BeatRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
0.2-0.80.3MissRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
5253.3—Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
Miss
Actual
49.8
Previous
51.3
Forecast
51.1
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Beat
Actual
1.7
Previous
-0.7
Forecast
1.1
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Miss
Actual
0.2
Previous
-0.8
Forecast
0.3
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Actual
52

Government

(2)
Economic IndicatorsHistoryActualPreviousForecastSurpriseTrendFrequency
Government Budget Value-59.2-91.5——
Fiscal Balance-731.7-560.2—Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Actual
-59.2
Previous
-91.5
Forecast
—
Actual
-731.7
Previous
-560.2
Forecast
—
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease

Other

(12)
Economic IndicatorsHistoryActualPreviousForecastSurpriseTrendFrequency
Economic Activity MoM-0.1-0.40.2MissRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
Economic Activity YoY2.81.11.7BeatRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
52.7753.74—Rising3rd Consecutive Increase—
-2.2-1.892.3MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
-0.44-1.8BeatFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Miss
Actual
-0.1
Previous
-0.4
Forecast
0.2
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Beat
Actual
2.8
Previous
1.1
Forecast
1.7
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Actual
52.77
Previous
53.74
Forecast
—
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
Miss
Actual
-2.2
Show all indicators (12)Hide extra indicators
1.15.90.3BeatFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
255.49255.05255.3BeatRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
2.23.90.7BeatFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Foreign Exchange Reserves
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12:00
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Interest Rate Decision
Interest Rate Decision
Previous
0.24
Forecast
0.22
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
CPI
Actual
0.1
Previous
0.07
Forecast
—
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
Producer Price Index MoM-0.03-0.870.3MissRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
Mid-month Inflation Rate YoY3.263.13BeatRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
Core CPI0.080.16—Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Mid-month Core Inflation Rate MoM0.080.160.2MissFalling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
Mid-month Inflation Rate MoM0.10.070.2MissRising4th Consecutive Increase—
Mid-month Core Inflation Rate YoY3.933.953.9BeatFalling5th Consecutive Decrease—
Core CPI MoM0.230.240.22BeatFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
CPI YoY
In Line
Actual
3.12
Previous
3.37
Forecast
3.12
Falling5th Consecutive Decrease
CPI MoM
In Line
Actual
0.03
Previous
-0.27
Forecast
0.03
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Producer Price Index YoY
Miss
Actual
2.56
Previous
2.1
Forecast
3.1
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Producer Price Index MoM
Miss
Actual
-0.03
Previous
-0.87
Forecast
0.3
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Beat
Actual
3.26
Previous
3.1
Forecast
3
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Core CPI
Actual
0.08
Previous
0.16
Forecast
—
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Miss
Actual
0.08
Previous
0.16
Forecast
0.2
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
Miss
Actual
0.1
Previous
0.07
Forecast
0.2
Rising4th Consecutive Increase
Beat
Actual
3.93
Previous
3.95
Forecast
3.9
Falling5th Consecutive Decrease
Core CPI MoM
Beat
Actual
0.23
Previous
0.24
Forecast
0.22
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
1.4
Previous
1.5
Forecast
1.5
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Previous
48
Forecast
47.7
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Previous
30169
Forecast
—
Imports
Actual
30153
Previous
29208
Forecast
—
Previous
53.3
Forecast
—
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
Previous
-1.89
Forecast
2.3
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Gross Fixed Investment MoM
Beat
Actual
-0.4
Previous
4
Forecast
-1.8
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Private Spending QoQ-0.81-0.8In LineFalling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
Aggregate Demand YoY54.60.2BeatRising5th Consecutive Increase—
Aggregate Demand QoQ0.32.4-0.4BeatFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
CFTC MXN speculative net positions57.557.7—Falling4th Consecutive Decrease—
Gross Fixed Investment YoY
Beat
Actual
1.1
Previous
5.9
Forecast
0.3
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Foreign Exchange Reserves
Beat
Actual
255.49
Previous
255.05
Forecast
255.3
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Private Spending YoY
Beat
Actual
2.2
Previous
3.9
Forecast
0.7
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Private Spending QoQ
In Line
Actual
-0.8
Previous
1
Forecast
-0.8
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
Beat
Actual
5
Previous
4.6
Forecast
0.2
Rising5th Consecutive Increase
Beat
Actual
0.3
Previous
2.4
Forecast
-0.4
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Actual
57.5
Previous
57.7
Forecast
—
Falling4th Consecutive Decrease
Inflation Rate MoM
Core Inflation Rate MoM
CPI
Inflation Rate YoY
Core Inflation Rate YoY
Inflation Rate MoM
Core Inflation Rate MoM
Producer Price Index YoY
Gross Domestic Product YoY
Gross Domestic Product QoQ
GDP Growth Rate QoQ
Gross Domestic Product YoY
Gross Domestic Product QoQ
Consumer Confidence
Business Confidence
Retail Sales MoM
Retail Sales YoY
Consumer Confidence
Business Confidence
Current Account
Exports
Balance of Trade
Trade Balance
Current Account
Exports
Auto Exports YoY
Auto Exports YoY
Industrial Production MoM
HSBC Manufacturing PMI
Manufacturing PMI
Industrial Production YoY
Industrial Production MoM
HSBC Manufacturing PMI
Government Budget Value
Fiscal Balance
Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI
Auto Production YoY
Gross Fixed Investment MoM
Economic Activity MoM
Economic Activity YoY
Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI
Auto Production YoY
Gross Fixed Investment YoY
Foreign Exchange Reserves
Private Spending YoY
Mid-month Inflation Rate YoY
Mid-month Core Inflation Rate MoM
Mid-month Inflation Rate MoM
Mid-month Core Inflation Rate YoY
Aggregate Demand YoY
Aggregate Demand QoQ
CFTC MXN speculative net positions