The Mid-month Inflation Rate YoY tracks the annual percentage change in consumer prices for a specific basket of goods and services during the first half of the month. It provides a broader perspective on long-term price trends by comparing current price levels to the same period in the previous year. This data is essential for understanding the erosion of purchasing power over time and is a key input for inflation-indexed financial instruments. Persistent high readings often lead to tighter monetary policy to curb price growth.
It is calculated by taking the price index level of the first 15 days of the reference month and dividing it by the index level of the first 15 days of the same month in the previous year.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | 3.26 | 3.00 | +0.26 |
| Jul 23, 2026 | 3.10 | 3.12 | -0.02 |
| Jun 24, 2026 | 3.55 | 3.77 | -0.22 |
| May 22, 2026 | 4.11 | 4.13 | -0.02 |
| Apr 23, 2026 | 4.53 | 4.50 | +0.03 |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 4.63 | 4.35 | +0.28 |
| Feb 24, 2026 | 3.92 | 3.89 | +0.03 |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 3.77 | 3.86 | -0.09 |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3.72 | 3.87 | -0.15 |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 3.61 | 3.56 | +0.05 |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3.63 | 3.71 | -0.08 |
| Sep 24, 2025 | 3.74 | 3.77 | -0.03 |
| Aug 22, 2025 | 3.49 | 3.66 | -0.17 |
| Jul 24, 2025 | 3.55 | 3.64 | -0.09 |
| Jun 24, 2025 | 4.51 | 4.50 | +0.01 |
| May 22, 2025 | 4.22 | 4.01 | +0.21 |
| Apr 24, 2025 | 3.96 | 3.89 | +0.07 |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 3.67 | 3.75 | -0.08 |
| Feb 24, 2025 | 3.74 | 3.74 | 0.00 |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3.69 | 3.78 | -0.09 |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 4.44 | 4.39 | +0.05 |
| Nov 22, 2024 | 4.56 | 4.69 | -0.13 |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 4.69 | 4.65 | +0.04 |
| Sep 24, 2024 | 4.66 | 4.73 | -0.07 |
| Aug 22, 2024 | 5.16 | 5.31 | -0.15 |
| Jul 24, 2024 | 5.61 | 5.27 | +0.34 |
| Jun 24, 2024 | 4.78 | 4.70 | +0.08 |
| May 23, 2024 | 4.78 | 4.78 | 0.00 |
| Apr 24, 2024 | 4.63 | 4.48 | +0.15 |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 4.48 | 4.45 | +0.03 |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 4.45 | 4.70 | -0.25 |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 4.90 | 4.78 | +0.12 |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 4.46 | 4.36 | +0.10 |
| Nov 23, 2023 | 4.32 | 4.31 | +0.01 |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 4.27 | 4.38 | -0.11 |
| Sep 22, 2023 | 4.44 | 4.48 | -0.04 |
| Aug 24, 2023 | 4.67 | 4.67 | 0.00 |
| Jul 24, 2023 | 4.79 | 4.77 | +0.02 |
| Jun 22, 2023 | 5.18 | 5.30 | -0.12 |
| May 24, 2023 | 6.00 | 6.15 | -0.15 |
| Apr 24, 2023 | 6.24 | 6.28 | -0.04 |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 7.12 | 7.26 | -0.14 |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 7.76 | 7.80 | -0.04 |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 7.94 | 7.86 | +0.08 |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 7.77 | 7.80 | -0.03 |
| Nov 24, 2022 | 8.14 | 8.24 | -0.10 |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 8.53 | 8.63 | -0.10 |
| Sep 22, 2022 | 8.76 | 8.71 | +0.05 |
| Aug 24, 2022 | 8.62 | 8.52 | +0.10 |
| Jul 22, 2022 | 8.16 | 8.10 | +0.06 |
