Retail Sales MoM measures the monthly change in the total value of sales at the retail level, serving as the primary gauge of consumer spending. Since consumer spending accounts for a significant portion of overall economic activity, this indicator is a critical driver of GDP growth. It provides early insights into household consumption patterns and the underlying strength of the domestic economy.
The data is compiled from a survey of retail firms of various sizes and types. The figure is seasonally adjusted to account for holiday periods and trading day differences, though it is not adjusted for inflation.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | -0.20 | 0.10 | -0.30 |
| Jul 21, 2026 | -0.60 | 0.20 | -0.80 |
| Jun 23, 2026 | 0.80 | 0.40 | +0.40 |
| May 21, 2026 | 0.20 | 0.50 | -0.30 |
| Apr 23, 2026 | -0.90 | -0.10 | -0.80 |
| Mar 23, 2026 | 1.00 | 0.30 | +0.70 |
| Feb 20, 2026 | -0.10 | -0.40 | +0.30 |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1.00 | 0.10 | +0.90 |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 0.40 | 0.30 | +0.10 |
| Nov 25, 2025 | 0.00 | 0.30 | -0.30 |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 0.60 | 0.20 | +0.40 |
| Sep 23, 2025 | 0.10 | -0.10 | +0.20 |
| Aug 21, 2025 | -0.40 | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| Jul 22, 2025 | 1.80 | 0.30 | +1.50 |
| Jun 23, 2025 | -1.00 | 0.10 | -1.10 |
| May 21, 2025 | 0.50 | 0.10 | +0.40 |
| Apr 23, 2025 | 0.20 | 0.30 | -0.10 |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 0.70 | 0.10 | +0.60 |
| Feb 20, 2025 | 0.10 | -0.40 | +0.50 |
| Jan 21, 2025 | -0.10 | 0.30 | -0.40 |
| Dec 17, 2024 | -0.30 | 0.20 | -0.50 |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| Oct 23, 2024 | 0.10 | 0.20 | -0.10 |
| Sep 23, 2024 | 0.70 | 0.30 | +0.40 |
| Aug 20, 2024 | -0.50 | 0.20 | -0.70 |
| Jul 22, 2024 | 0.10 | 0.40 | -0.30 |
| Jun 20, 2024 | 0.50 | -0.30 | +0.80 |
| May 20, 2024 | -0.20 | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| Apr 19, 2024 | 0.40 | 0.30 | +0.10 |
| Mar 21, 2024 | -0.60 | 0.40 | -1.00 |
| Feb 21, 2024 | -0.90 | 0.20 | -1.10 |
| Jan 19, 2024 | 0.10 | 0.50 | -0.40 |
| Dec 20, 2023 | 0.80 | 0.10 | +0.70 |
| Nov 22, 2023 | -0.20 | 0.30 | -0.50 |
| Oct 20, 2023 | -0.40 | 0.20 | -0.60 |
| Sep 21, 2023 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Aug 18, 2023 | 2.30 | 0.90 | +1.40 |
| Jul 20, 2023 | -0.50 | 0.30 | -0.80 |
| Jun 20, 2023 | 1.50 | 0.20 | +1.30 |
| Apr 20, 2023 | -0.30 | 0.20 | -0.50 |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1.60 | 0.80 | +0.80 |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 0.10 | 0.40 | -0.30 |
| Jan 20, 2023 | -0.20 | 0.10 | -0.30 |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 0.70 | 0.40 | +0.30 |
| Nov 22, 2022 | -0.20 | 0.10 | -0.30 |
| Oct 21, 2022 | -0.40 | 0.30 | -0.70 |
| Sep 21, 2022 | 0.90 | 0.30 | +0.60 |
| Aug 19, 2022 | -0.30 | 0.20 | -0.50 |
| Jul 21, 2022 | 0.50 | 0.40 | +0.10 |
| Jun 23, 2022 | 0.40 | 0.50 | -0.10 |
| Date | First print | Current | Revision |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 21, 2026 | 0.10 | 0.20 | +0.10 ↑ |
