EPI = 100 − |inflation| − unemployment − deficit/GDP + GDP growth. Source: IMF WP/13/214 (Khramov & Lee, 2013).
Deficit/GDP sourced from Eurostat / SCB 2024
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.75 | In Line | |||
| Riksbank Rate Decision | 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.75 | In Line |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.1 | 0.3 | 1.2 | Miss | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase | ||
| 0.9 | -0.3 | 0.9 | In Line | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.1 | 8.5 | 8.6 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | ||
| 5.292 | 5.423 | 5.4 | Miss | Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1.8 | 2.6 | 1.8 | In Line | ||
| 1.6 | -0.1 | 1.4 | Beat | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -12.7 | -11.6 | — | ||||
| 2 | 3 | 2 | In Line | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.8 | -0.1 | -0.6 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | ||
| 6.9 | 6.5 | 5.4 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -11.9 | 1.4 | 0.5 | Miss | Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease | ||
| Trade Balance | 5.4 | -8.1 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 58.1 | 56.3 | 54.6 | Beat | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase | ||
| 57.4 | 56 | 54 | Beat | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55.29 | 60.01 | — | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | |||
| 5.1 | 7.7 | -2 | Beat | Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease |
| CPI | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | In Line | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| CPI YoY | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | Beat | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase |
| CPI MoM | -0.6 | 0.6 | -0.6 | In Line | Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease |
| Producer Price Index YoY | 6.8 | 6.4 | 6.4 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |
| Producer Price Index MoM | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.5 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |
| Consumer Inflation Expectation | 6.3 | 6.8 | 6.8 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | |
| 0.9 | -0.2 | 0.9 | In Line | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase | ||
| 1.5 | 0.7 | 1.5 | In Line | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| Gross Domestic Product YoY | 3.3 | 2 | 2.8 | Beat | Rising4th Consecutive Increase |
| Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 1.6 | -0.2 | 1.4 | Beat | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase |
| Gross Domestic Product MoM | 1.1 | -0.7 | 0.2 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| Construction Output YoY | 3.9 | 1.7 | 0.5 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| Lending to Households YoY | 6.1 | 5.9 | — |
| Consumer Confidence | 102.2 | 98.4 | 97 | Beat | Rising5th Consecutive Increase |
| Business Confidence | 109.3 | 107.5 | 107 | Beat | Rising5th Consecutive Increase |
| Household Consumption YoY | 3.5 | 2.3 | 3.7 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| Household Consumption MoM | 1.1 | -0.4 | -0.3 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |
| Household Lending Growth YoY | 3.3 | 3.2 | 3.2 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |
| Household Consumption YoY (Aug) | 4 | 4 | — | |||
| Household Consumption MoM (Aug) | 0.7 | 0.7 | — |
| Current Account | 126.2 | 97.5 | 87 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| Exports | 176.2 | 171.8 | 192.4 | Miss | Rising4th Consecutive Increase |
| Imports | 171.4 | 160.9 | 186.5 | Miss | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase |
| Industrial Production YoY | 5.8 | 1.7 | -0.6 | Beat | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase |
| Industrial Production MoM | 5.4 | -2.9 | 1.5 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| Manufacturing Confidence | 106.3 | 106.5 | — | Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease |
| Swedbank Manufacturing PMI | 56.1 | 55.7 | 55.1 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |
| Industrial Inventories QoQ | -4.6 | 11.67 | -1.8 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | |
| Capacity Utilization QoQ | -0.6 | -0.3 | 0.1 | Miss | Falling5th Consecutive Decrease | |
| 57.7 | 55.6 | — | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase |
| Economic Tendency Indicator | 107.1 | 105.1 | 105 | Beat | Rising5th Consecutive Increase |
| M3 Money Supply | 5081.9 | 5105.7 | — | Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease |
| Money Supply | 5058.8 | 4947.3 | — | Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease |
| Riksbank Interest Rate | -0.25 | -0.1 | — | |||
| New Orders | 8.9 | — | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
