EPI = 100 − |inflation| − unemployment − deficit/GDP + GDP growth. Source: IMF WP/13/214 (Khramov & Lee, 2013).
Deficit/GDP sourced from Eurostat / SCB 2024
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.75 | In Line | |||
| 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.75 | In Line |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 | In Line | |||
| -0.3 | 0.4 | -0.3 | In Line | |||
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.8 | 9.9 | 9.5 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | ||
| 5.507 | 5.398 | 5.4 | Beat | Rising4th Consecutive Increase |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GDP Growth Rate YoY | 3.3 | 2 | 2.5 | Beat | ||
| 1.6 | -0.1 | 1.4 | Beat | |||
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -12.7 | -11.6 | — | ||||
| 3 | 2 | 1 | Beat | Rising5th Consecutive Increase | ||
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -0.2 | 1.4 | -0.6 | Beat | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | ||
| 6.2 | 7.7 | 5.5 | Beat | Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease | ||
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.2 | 2.5 | 3 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | ||
| 5.4 | -8.1 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |||
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 56.1 | 55.7 | — | Rising5th Consecutive Increase | |||
| 54.2 | 56.5 | 55.5 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | ||
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 105.1 | 104.6 | 104 | Beat | Rising5th Consecutive Increase | ||
| M3 Money Supply | 5105.7 | 5132.4 | — | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase | ||
| 0.5 |
| 0.5 |
| 0.5 |
| In Line |
| Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| CPI YoY | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 | In Line |
| CPI MoM | -0.3 | 0.4 | -0.3 | In Line |
| Producer Price Index YoY | 6.4 | 7.4 | 6.9 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | |
| Producer Price Index MoM | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.6 | Miss | ||
| Consumer Inflation Expectation | 6.8 | 6.9 | 5.5 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |
| 0.7 | 1.3 | 0.7 | In Line | |||
| -0.3 | 0.3 | -0.3 | In Line |
| Gross Domestic Product YoY |
| 3.3 |
| 2 |
| 2.8 |
| Beat |
| Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 1.6 | -0.2 | 1.4 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| Gross Domestic Product MoM | -0.2 | 0.9 | 0.4 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| 7.6 |
| 4.2 |
| 3 |
| Beat |
| Rising3rd Consecutive Increase |
| Lending to Households YoY | 6.1 | 5.9 | — |
| Consumer Confidence |
| 98 |
| 97.2 |
| 96.7 |
| Beat |
| Rising5th Consecutive Increase |
| Business Confidence | 107.4 | 106.4 | 105.5 | Beat | Rising5th Consecutive Increase |
| Household Lending Growth YoY | 3.3 | 3.2 | 3.1 | Beat | Rising4th Consecutive Increase |
| Household Consumption MoM | 1.6 | -0.3 | 0.4 | Beat | ||
| Household Consumption YoY | 4.3 | 2 | 2.6 | Beat |
| 93.9 |
| 101.6 |
| 101 |
| Miss |
| Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| Exports | 176.2 | 171.8 | 192.4 | Miss | Rising4th Consecutive Increase |
| Imports | 171.4 | 160.9 | 186.5 | Miss | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase |
| Industrial Production YoY |
| -1.5 |
| 7.6 |
| 5.9 |
| Miss |
| Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| Industrial Production MoM | -0.4 | 0.6 | -0.6 | Beat | Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease |
| Swedbank Manufacturing PMI | 56.1 | 55.7 | 55.1 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| Manufacturing Confidence | 107.1 | 107.5 | — | Rising4th Consecutive Increase | ||
| Industrial Inventories QoQ | -4.6 | 11.67 | -1.8 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | |
| Capacity Utilization QoQ | -0.6 | -0.3 | 0.1 | Miss | Falling5th Consecutive Decrease | |
| 57.7 | 55.6 | — | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase |
| Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI |
| 56.55 |
| 58.6 |
| — |
| Rising3rd Consecutive Increase |
| New Orders YoY | 29.9 | 1.6 | 2 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| Money Supply | 5058.8 | 4947.3 | — |
| Riksbank Interest Rate | -0.25 | -0.1 | — | |||
| New Orders | 8.9 | — | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
