The Economic Tendency Indicator is a monthly composite index that provides a comprehensive overview of the Swedish economy's sentiment. It aggregates survey data from manufacturing, services, retail trade, and construction sectors, along with consumer confidence levels. A value above 100 indicates a stronger-than-normal economic sentiment, while a value below 100 suggests a weaker outlook. It is widely used by analysts to predict turning points in the business cycle and GDP growth.
The indicator is calculated as a weighted average of the standardized results from qualitative surveys across five sectors. The data is seasonally adjusted and normalized to have a mean of 100 and a standard deviation of 10.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2026 | 105.10 | 104.00 | +1.10 |
| Jul 30, 2026 | 104.70 | 101.10 | +3.60 |
| Jun 26, 2026 | 102.10 | 98.80 | +3.30 |
| May 28, 2026 | 99.30 | 97.00 | +2.30 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | 99.20 | 98.50 | +0.70 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | 99.60 | 98.00 | +1.60 |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 100.10 | 102.00 | -1.90 |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 103.00 | 103.40 | -0.40 |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 103.70 | 102.50 | +1.20 |
| Nov 27, 2025 | 101.70 | 101.00 | +0.70 |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 100.80 | 97.00 | +3.80 |
| Sep 24, 2025 | 97.20 | 95.10 | +2.10 |
| Aug 28, 2025 | 96.00 | 93.70 | +2.30 |
| Jul 30, 2025 | 94.30 | 93.40 | +0.90 |
| Jun 26, 2025 | 92.80 | 94.00 | -1.20 |
| May 27, 2025 | 94.60 | 92.40 | +2.20 |
| Apr 29, 2025 | 94.80 | 92.90 | +1.90 |
| Mar 26, 2025 | 95.20 | 96.50 | -1.30 |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 97.10 | 97.00 | +0.10 |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 97.70 | — | — |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 97.50 | 98.00 | -0.50 |
| Nov 28, 2024 | 97.20 | 93.00 | +4.20 |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 93.60 | 94.90 | -1.30 |
| Sep 26, 2024 | 94.90 | 94.90 | 0.00 |
| Aug 29, 2024 | 94.70 | 95.20 | -0.50 |
| Jul 30, 2024 | 95.00 | 96.50 | -1.50 |
| Jun 27, 2024 | 96.30 | 94.50 | +1.80 |
| May 30, 2024 | 94.00 | 95.50 | -1.50 |
| Date | First print | Current | Revision |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 26, 2026 | 101.7 | 102.1 | +0.40 ↑ |
| May 28, 2026 | 99.3 | 99.3 | 0 ↓ |
| Apr 29, 2026 | 99 | 99.2 | +0.20 ↑ |
| Mar 25, 2026 | 99.9 | 99.6 | -0.30 ↓ |
