Measures the year-over-year change in the prices of goods and services consumed by households, excluding the effect of mortgage interest rate changes. It is the most important inflation metric for Swedish monetary policy. It reflects the annual pace of underlying inflation.
Compares the CPIF index level of the current month to the same month of the previous year. The calculation maintains fixed interest rates to ensure the index reflects price changes rather than financing costs.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 7, 2026 | — | 0.80 | — |
| Aug 13, 2026 | 0.70 | 0.70 | 0.00 |
| Jul 15, 2026 | 1.30 | 1.30 | 0.00 |
| Jun 11, 2026 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| May 13, 2026 | 0.80 | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| Apr 14, 2026 | 1.60 | 1.60 | 0.00 |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1.70 | 1.70 | 0.00 |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1.70 | 1.70 | 0.00 |
| Feb 20, 2026 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| Feb 6, 2026 | 2.00 | 2.10 | -0.10 |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2.10 | 2.10 | 0.00 |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2.10 | 2.10 | 0.00 |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2.30 | 2.50 | -0.20 |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3.10 | 2.90 | +0.20 |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3.10 | 3.10 | 0.00 |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 3.10 | 3.20 | -0.10 |
| Sep 11, 2025 | 3.20 | 3.30 | -0.10 |
| Sep 4, 2025 | 3.30 | 3.20 | +0.10 |
| Aug 14, 2025 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| Aug 7, 2025 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| Jul 14, 2025 | 2.80 | 2.90 | -0.10 |
| Jun 5, 2025 | 2.30 | 2.50 | -0.20 |
| May 14, 2025 | 2.30 | 2.30 | 0.00 |
| May 7, 2025 | 2.30 | 2.50 | -0.20 |
| Apr 11, 2025 | 2.30 | 2.30 | 0.00 |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 2.30 | 2.60 | -0.30 |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 2.90 | 2.90 | 0.00 |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2.90 | 2.70 | +0.20 |
| Feb 18, 2025 | 2.20 | 2.20 | 0.00 |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2.20 | 1.60 | +0.60 |
| Jan 15, 2025 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1.80 | 1.90 | -0.10 |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 1.10 | 1.00 | +0.10 |
| Sep 12, 2024 | 1.20 | 1.30 | -0.10 |
| Aug 14, 2024 | 1.70 | 1.40 | +0.30 |
| Jul 12, 2024 | 1.30 | 1.60 | -0.30 |
| Jun 14, 2024 | 2.30 | 2.10 | +0.20 |
| May 15, 2024 | 2.30 | 2.40 | -0.10 |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 2.20 | 2.60 | -0.40 |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2.50 | 2.80 | -0.30 |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3.30 | 3.10 | +0.20 |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2.30 | 2.20 | +0.10 |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 3.60 | 3.90 | -0.30 |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 4.20 | 4.30 | -0.10 |
| Oct 13, 2023 | 4.00 | 3.80 | +0.20 |
| Sep 14, 2023 | 4.70 | 4.90 | -0.20 |
| Aug 15, 2023 | 6.40 | 6.50 | -0.10 |
| Jul 14, 2023 | 6.40 | 6.10 | +0.30 |
| Jun 14, 2023 | 6.70 | 6.70 | 0.00 |
| May 15, 2023 | 7.60 | 7.90 | -0.30 |