Measures the month-over-month change in the prices of goods and services consumed by households, excluding the effect of changes in mortgage interest rates. It is the primary target variable for the Riksbank's inflation target. This allows for a clearer view of underlying price pressures.
Calculated by tracking a basket of goods and services while keeping mortgage interest rates constant in the calculation. This isolates the impact of monetary policy changes from the inflation measure.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 7, 2026 | — | -0.10 | — |
| Aug 13, 2026 | -0.30 | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Jul 15, 2026 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Jun 11, 2026 | 0.90 | 0.90 | 0.00 |
| May 13, 2026 | -0.60 | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| Apr 14, 2026 | -0.60 | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 0.60 | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 0.60 | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Feb 20, 2026 | 0.30 | 0.20 | +0.10 |
| Feb 6, 2026 | 0.20 | 0.30 | -0.10 |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| Dec 4, 2025 | -0.20 | 0.30 | -0.50 |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 0.40 | 0.30 | +0.10 |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 0.10 | 0.30 | -0.20 |
| Sep 11, 2025 | -0.20 | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| Sep 4, 2025 | -0.20 | -0.30 | +0.10 |
| Aug 14, 2025 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Aug 7, 2025 | 0.30 | 0.40 | -0.10 |
| Jul 14, 2025 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 |
| Jun 5, 2025 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| May 14, 2025 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| May 7, 2025 | 0.20 | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| Apr 11, 2025 | -0.50 | -0.50 | 0.00 |
| Apr 4, 2025 | -0.50 | -0.20 | -0.30 |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 0.90 | 0.90 | 0.00 |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 0.90 | 0.70 | +0.20 |
| Feb 18, 2025 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 0.40 | -0.20 | +0.60 |
| Jan 15, 2025 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 0.30 | 0.20 | +0.10 |
| Sep 12, 2024 | -0.50 | -0.40 | -0.10 |
| Aug 14, 2024 | 0.10 | 0.20 | -0.10 |
| Jul 12, 2024 | -0.10 | 0.20 | -0.30 |
| Jun 14, 2024 | 0.20 | -0.10 | +0.30 |
| May 15, 2024 | 0.30 | 0.40 | -0.10 |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 0.10 | 0.40 | -0.30 |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 0.20 | 0.30 | -0.10 |
| Feb 19, 2024 | -0.30 | -0.60 | +0.30 |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 0.60 | 0.40 | +0.20 |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 0.10 | 0.50 | -0.40 |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 0.10 | 0.30 | -0.20 |
| Oct 13, 2023 | 0.40 | 0.20 | +0.20 |
| Sep 14, 2023 | -0.10 | 0.10 | -0.20 |
| Aug 15, 2023 | -0.20 | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| Jul 14, 2023 | 0.90 | 0.80 | +0.10 |
| Jun 14, 2023 | 0.10 | -0.10 | +0.20 |
| May 15, 2023 | 0.20 | 0.50 | -0.30 |
