The reading has risen in each of the last 3 releases.
Measures the percentage change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy compared to the same quarter of the previous year. It provides a broader view of economic trends by smoothing out seasonal fluctuations. It is a key metric for long-term economic assessment.
Calculated by comparing the real GDP of the current quarter to the real GDP of the same quarter in the previous year. This year-over-year comparison helps identify structural growth trends.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2026 | — | 2.70 | — |
| Aug 28, 2026 | 3.30 | 2.80 | +0.50 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | 2.80 | 1.90 | +0.90 |
| May 29, 2026 | 2.00 | 1.60 | +0.40 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | 1.60 | 2.10 | -0.50 |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 2.10 | 1.80 | +0.30 |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1.80 | 2.20 | -0.40 |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2.60 | 2.40 | +0.20 |
| Oct 29, 2025 | 2.40 | 1.60 | +0.80 |
| Aug 29, 2025 | 1.40 | 0.90 | +0.50 |
| Jul 29, 2025 | 0.90 | — | — |
| May 30, 2025 | 0.90 | 1.10 | -0.20 |
| Apr 29, 2025 | 1.10 | — | — |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 2.40 | 1.10 | +1.30 |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 1.10 | 1.10 | 0.00 |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 0.70 | 0.10 | +0.60 |
| Oct 29, 2024 | -0.10 | 0.70 | -0.80 |
| Aug 29, 2024 | 0.50 | — | — |
| May 30, 2024 | 0.70 | -1.10 | +1.80 |
| Apr 29, 2024 | -1.10 | -0.20 | -0.90 |
| Feb 29, 2024 | -0.20 | -0.30 | +0.10 |
| Nov 29, 2023 | -1.40 | -1.20 | -0.20 |
| Oct 30, 2023 | -1.20 | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| Aug 29, 2023 | -1.00 | -1.00 | 0.00 |
| Jul 28, 2023 | -2.40 | — | — |
| May 30, 2023 | 0.80 | 0.20 | +0.60 |
| Apr 27, 2023 | 0.30 | 0.20 | +0.10 |
| Feb 28, 2023 | -0.90 | 0.60 | -1.50 |
| Jan 30, 2023 | -0.60 | 1.20 | -1.80 |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 2.50 | 2.90 | -0.40 |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 2.60 | 2.40 | +0.20 |
| Aug 29, 2022 | 3.80 | 4.20 | -0.40 |
| Jul 28, 2022 | 4.20 | — | — |
| May 30, 2022 | 3.00 | 3.50 | -0.50 |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 3.00 | — | — |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 5.20 | 6.20 | -1.00 |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 6.20 | 5.40 | +0.80 |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 4.70 | 4.40 | +0.30 |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 4.70 | — | — |
The latest reading is 1.1 standard deviations above the mean.