The Year-over-Year Inflation Rate measures the percentage change in the price of a basket of goods and services compared to the same month in the previous year. It is the primary gauge of purchasing power and is used by central banks to determine monetary policy and interest rate adjustments. High inflation often leads to tighter monetary policy, while low inflation may prompt stimulus measures.
It is calculated by comparing the current Consumer Price Index (CPI) to the CPI value from one year ago. The formula used is ((Current CPI - Past CPI) / Past CPI) x 100.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 7, 2026 | — | 0.50 | — |
| Aug 13, 2026 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Jul 15, 2026 | 0.70 | 0.70 | 0.00 |
| Jul 15, 2026 | 0.70 | 0.70 | 0.00 |
| Jun 11, 2026 | 0.80 | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| Jun 11, 2026 | 0.80 | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| May 13, 2026 | -0.10 | -0.10 | 0.00 |
| May 13, 2026 | -0.10 | -0.10 | 0.00 |
| Apr 14, 2026 | 0.50 | 0.60 | -0.10 |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 0.50 | 0.60 | -0.10 |
| Feb 20, 2026 | 0.50 | 0.40 | +0.10 |
| Feb 6, 2026 | 0.40 | 0.60 | -0.20 |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 0.30 | 0.50 | -0.20 |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 0.30 | 0.60 | -0.30 |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 0.90 | 0.80 | +0.10 |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 0.90 | 0.90 | 0.00 |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 0.90 | 1.00 | -0.10 |
| Sep 11, 2025 | 1.10 | 1.10 | 0.00 |
| Sep 4, 2025 | 1.10 | 1.10 | 0.00 |
| Aug 14, 2025 | 0.80 | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| Aug 7, 2025 | 0.80 | 0.90 | -0.10 |
| Jul 14, 2025 | 0.70 | 0.80 | -0.10 |
| Jun 5, 2025 | 0.20 | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| May 14, 2025 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| May 7, 2025 | 0.30 | 0.50 | -0.20 |
| Apr 11, 2025 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 0.50 | 0.80 | -0.30 |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 1.30 | 1.30 | 0.00 |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1.30 | 1.10 | +0.20 |
| Feb 18, 2025 | 0.90 | 1.00 | -0.10 |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 1.00 | 0.50 | +0.50 |
| Jan 15, 2025 | 0.80 | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1.60 | 1.60 | 0.00 |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1.60 | 1.60 | 0.00 |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 1.60 | 1.60 | 0.00 |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 1.60 | 2.20 | -0.60 |
| Sep 12, 2024 | 1.90 | 2.10 | -0.20 |
| Aug 14, 2024 | 2.60 | 2.70 | -0.10 |
| Jul 12, 2024 | 2.60 | 2.80 | -0.20 |
| Jun 14, 2024 | 3.70 | 3.50 | +0.20 |
| May 15, 2024 | 3.90 | 4.00 | -0.10 |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 4.10 | 4.40 | -0.30 |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 4.50 | 4.70 | -0.20 |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 5.40 | 5.10 | +0.30 |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 4.40 | 4.30 | +0.10 |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 5.80 | 6.00 | -0.20 |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 6.50 | 6.70 | -0.20 |
| Oct 13, 2023 | 6.50 | 6.30 | +0.20 |
