EPI = 100 − |inflation| − unemployment − deficit/GDP + GDP growth. Source: IMF WP/13/214 (Khramov & Lee, 2013).
Deficit/GDP sourced from Eurostat / GUS 2024
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | In Line |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.1 | 3.4 | 4 | Beat | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase | ||
| 3.1 | 3.3 | 3.3 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.8 | 5.8 | 5.9 | Miss | |||
| -0.8 | -0.8 | -0.8 | In Line |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GDP Growth Rate YoY | 3.9 | 3.5 | 3.8 | Beat | Rising4th Consecutive Increase | |
| 1 | 0.6 | 0.9 | Beat | Rising4th Consecutive Increase |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.6 | -0.8 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |||
| 3.8 | 3.9 | 4.2 | Miss | Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -3047 | -1446 | -1700 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | ||
| -3567 | -1925 | -2600 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 48.3 | 48.5 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | ||
| 4.3 | 4.9 | 6.8 | Miss | Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.11 | 48 | — | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | |||
| 295.4 | 304.9 | 304.5 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| Inflation Rate MoM | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | In Line |
| CPI | 2.5 | 2.7 | 2.5 | In Line | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase |
| CPI YoY | 3.1 | 3 | 3.1 | In Line | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase |
| CPI MoM | 0 | 0 | 0 | In Line | ||
| Producer Price Index YoY | 4.2 | 3.1 | 3.6 | Beat | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase |
| Corporate Sector Wages YoY | 5.6 | 6.8 | 6.6 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| Corporative Sector Wages Growth | 4.9 | 3.24 | 3.4 | Beat |
| Full Year GDP Growth | 3.6 | 2.9 | 3.5 | Beat | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase |
| Gross Domestic Product YoY | 3.9 | 3.5 | 3.8 | Beat | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase |
| Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 1 | 0.6 | 0.9 | Beat | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase |
| GDP Growth Rate | 4.6 | 2.9 | — | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase |
| Consumer Confidence | -10.8 | -11.3 | -12 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| Business Confidence | -5.8 | -5.1 | -5.5 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| Industrial Production MoM | 0.9 | 1 | — | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase |
| HSBC Manufacturing PMI | 54.3 | 52.4 | 52.1 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| New Car Sales YoY | 0 | 18.9 | — | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| New Car Sales MoM | -18.3 | 18.9 | — | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| M3 Money Supply YoY | 11.3 | 11.3 | 11.2 | Beat |
| New Car Registrations YoY | -9 | 21.7 | — | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | ||
| New Car Registrations MoM | -40.6 | 38.3 | — | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | ||
| NBP Interest Rate Decison | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 | In Line |
