The Core Inflation Rate Year-over-Year tracks the percentage change in the prices of consumer goods and services over the last 12 months, excluding food and energy. This annual perspective is vital for understanding the sustained trajectory of inflation and its impact on purchasing power over time. It is a primary reference point for cost-of-living adjustments and long-term economic planning. Central banks use this metric to gauge whether inflation is trending toward their long-term targets.
The index compares the current month's Core CPI level to the level from the same month in the previous year to determine the annual percentage growth.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | 3.10 | 3.10 | 0.00 |
| Jul 16, 2026 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| Jun 16, 2026 | 3.10 | 3.10 | 0.00 |
| May 18, 2026 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| Apr 16, 2026 | 2.70 | 2.50 | +0.20 |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 2.50 | 2.70 | -0.20 |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2.70 | 2.80 | -0.10 |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2.70 | 2.70 | 0.00 |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3.20 | 3.10 | +0.10 |
| Sep 16, 2025 | 3.20 | 3.10 | +0.10 |
| Aug 18, 2025 | 3.30 | 3.30 | 0.00 |
| Jul 16, 2025 | 3.40 | 3.40 | 0.00 |
| Jun 16, 2025 | 3.30 | 3.30 | 0.00 |
| May 16, 2025 | 3.40 | 3.50 | -0.10 |
| Apr 16, 2025 | 3.60 | 3.50 | +0.10 |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 3.60 | 3.90 | -0.30 |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 4.00 | 4.30 | -0.30 |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 4.30 | 4.20 | +0.10 |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 4.10 | 4.20 | -0.10 |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 4.30 | 4.20 | +0.10 |
| Sep 16, 2024 | 3.70 | 3.80 | -0.10 |
| Aug 16, 2024 | 3.80 | 3.70 | +0.10 |
| Jul 16, 2024 | 3.60 | 3.70 | -0.10 |
| Jun 17, 2024 | 3.80 | 3.90 | -0.10 |
| May 16, 2024 | 4.10 | 4.00 | +0.10 |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 4.60 | 4.40 | +0.20 |
| Mar 18, 2024 | 5.40 | 5.90 | -0.50 |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 6.90 | 6.90 | 0.00 |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 7.30 | 7.30 | 0.00 |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 8.00 | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 8.40 | 8.60 | -0.20 |
| Sep 18, 2023 | 10.00 | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| Aug 16, 2023 | 10.60 | 10.70 | -0.10 |
| Jul 17, 2023 | 11.10 | 11.10 | 0.00 |
| Jun 16, 2023 | 11.50 | 11.50 | 0.00 |
| May 16, 2023 | 12.20 | 12.20 | 0.00 |
| Apr 17, 2023 | 12.30 | 12.20 | +0.10 |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 11.70 | 11.90 | -0.20 |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 11.50 | 11.55 | -0.05 |
| Dec 16, 2022 | 11.40 | 11.30 | +0.10 |
| Nov 16, 2022 | 11.00 | 11.10 | -0.10 |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 10.70 | 10.70 | 0.00 |
| Sep 16, 2022 | 9.90 | 9.85 | +0.05 |
| Aug 16, 2022 | 9.30 | 9.20 | +0.10 |
| Jul 18, 2022 | 9.10 | 9.30 | -0.20 |
| Jun 17, 2022 | 8.50 | 8.50 | 0.00 |
| May 16, 2022 | 7.70 | 7.50 | +0.20 |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 6.90 | 6.90 | 0.00 |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 6.10 | 6.30 | -0.20 |
| Date | First print | Current | Revision |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2026 | 2.70 | 2.50 | -0.20 ↓ |
