Industrial Production Year-over-Year (YoY) measures the change in the total inflation-adjusted value of output produced by manufacturers, mines, and utilities compared to the same month in the previous year. It is a key indicator of economic strength, as the industrial sector accounts for a significant portion of GDP and is highly sensitive to interest rates and consumer demand. Consistent growth in industrial production often precedes broader economic expansion.
The index is compiled using physical output data from various industries, weighted by their contribution to the total economy. The YoY figure compares the current month's index level to the level from 12 months prior.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | 5.10 | 4.90 | +0.20 |
| Jul 20, 2026 | 7.40 | 7.20 | +0.20 |
| Jun 19, 2026 | 4.10 | 2.50 | +1.60 |
| May 21, 2026 | 2.90 | 4.20 | -1.30 |
| Apr 21, 2026 | 7.50 | 4.20 | +3.30 |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1.50 | 1.30 | +0.20 |
| Feb 19, 2026 | -1.50 | 2.40 | -3.90 |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 7.30 | -1.30 | +8.60 |
| Dec 18, 2025 | -1.10 | 2.70 | -3.80 |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 3.20 | 2.50 | +0.70 |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 7.40 | 5.00 | +2.40 |
| Sep 18, 2025 | 0.70 | 0.30 | +0.40 |
| Aug 21, 2025 | 2.90 | 1.60 | +1.30 |
| Jul 21, 2025 | -0.10 | 1.50 | -1.60 |
| Jun 23, 2025 | 3.90 | 4.30 | -0.40 |
| May 21, 2025 | 1.20 | 0.70 | +0.50 |
| Apr 22, 2025 | 2.50 | 3.60 | -1.10 |
| Mar 20, 2025 | -2.00 | -1.10 | -0.90 |
| Feb 20, 2025 | -1.00 | -1.40 | +0.40 |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 0.20 | 1.80 | -1.60 |
| Dec 19, 2024 | -1.50 | -0.20 | -1.30 |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 4.70 | 1.80 | +2.90 |
| Oct 21, 2024 | -0.30 | 0.20 | -0.50 |
| Sep 19, 2024 | -1.50 | -0.20 | -1.30 |
| Aug 21, 2024 | 4.90 | 7.30 | -2.40 |
| Jul 18, 2024 | 0.30 | -1.30 | +1.60 |
| Jun 20, 2024 | -1.70 | 1.50 | -3.20 |
| May 22, 2024 | 7.90 | 5.90 | +2.00 |
| Apr 22, 2024 | -6.00 | -1.00 | -5.00 |
| Mar 20, 2024 | 3.30 | 2.60 | +0.70 |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1.60 | 3.10 | -1.50 |
| Jan 22, 2024 | -3.90 | -5.00 | +1.10 |
| Dec 20, 2023 | -0.70 | 0.70 | -1.40 |
| Nov 21, 2023 | 1.60 | 1.60 | 0.00 |
| Oct 19, 2023 | -3.10 | -3.60 | +0.50 |
| Sep 20, 2023 | -2.00 | -1.70 | -0.30 |
| Aug 21, 2023 | -2.70 | -0.60 | -2.10 |
| Jul 20, 2023 | -1.40 | -1.60 | +0.20 |
| Jun 21, 2023 | -3.20 | -3.00 | -0.20 |
| May 22, 2023 | -6.40 | -3.40 | -3.00 |
| Apr 24, 2023 | -2.90 | -1.90 | -1.00 |
| Mar 20, 2023 | -1.20 | 1.00 | -2.20 |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 2.60 | 4.30 | -1.70 |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 1.00 | 1.40 | -0.40 |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 4.60 | 2.00 | +2.60 |
| Nov 22, 2022 | 6.80 | 7.80 | -1.00 |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 9.80 | 8.80 | +1.00 |
| Sep 20, 2022 | 10.90 | 9.90 | +1.00 |
| Aug 19, 2022 | 7.60 | 7.40 | +0.20 |
| Jul 20, 2022 | 10.40 | 11.20 | -0.80 |
| Date | First print | Current | Revision |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 20, 2026 | 7.60 | 7.40 | -0.20 ↓ |
| May 21, 2026 | 3.10 | 2.90 | -0.20 ↓ |
| Apr 21, 2026 | 9.40 | 7.50 | -1.90 ↓ |