Measures the change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy compared to the previous quarter. It is the primary indicator of economic health and growth. High growth suggests a robust economy, while negative growth indicates contraction.
Calculated by comparing the total value of goods and services produced in the current quarter to the previous quarter, adjusted for inflation. It uses the expenditure approach, summing consumption, investment, government spending, and net exports.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2026 | 1.00 | 0.90 | +0.10 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | 0.90 | 1.00 | -0.10 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | 0.60 | 0.50 | +0.10 |
| May 14, 2026 | 0.50 | 0.90 | -0.40 |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Feb 12, 2026 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 0.90 | 0.80 | +0.10 |
| Sep 1, 2025 | 0.80 | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| Jun 2, 2025 | 0.70 | 0.70 | 0.00 |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1.30 | 1.30 | 0.00 |
| Nov 28, 2024 | -0.10 | -0.20 | +0.10 |
| Aug 29, 2024 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Aug 14, 2024 | 1.50 | 0.90 | +0.60 |
| Jun 3, 2024 | 0.50 | 0.40 | +0.10 |
| May 15, 2024 | 0.40 | 0.70 | -0.30 |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1.50 | 1.40 | +0.10 |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 1.40 | 2.20 | -0.80 |
| Aug 31, 2023 | -2.20 | -3.70 | +1.50 |
| Aug 16, 2023 | -3.70 | -2.50 | -1.20 |
| May 31, 2023 | 3.80 | 3.90 | -0.10 |
| May 16, 2023 | 3.90 | 0.70 | +3.20 |
| Feb 28, 2023 | -2.40 | — | — |
| Feb 14, 2023 | -2.40 | -0.40 | -2.00 |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 1.00 | — | — |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 0.90 | 0.20 | +0.70 |
| Aug 31, 2022 | -2.10 | -2.30 | +0.20 |
| Aug 17, 2022 | -2.30 | -0.80 | -1.50 |
| May 31, 2022 | 2.50 | — | — |
| May 17, 2022 | 2.40 | 1.60 | +0.80 |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 1.70 | — | — |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 1.70 | 1.70 | 0.00 |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 2.30 | — | — |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 2.10 | 1.80 | +0.30 |