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/EVENT

Events

Live coverage of the big market-moving stories that run for weeks, such as the third Gulf war, the Strait of Hormuz crisis and the Red Sea. Each event has one page where every related story gathers within minutes of publication, with a "what changed" line for each update, a situation summary refreshed as things develop, the key facts, and how oil, gold and the related stocks have moved since the event began and today. Big events contain smaller ones, each with its own page, so you can follow the whole picture or go into the detail. Below the live coverage are the events that have gathered three or more updates, ordered by their latest development.

AllBreakingDevelopingOngoingFadingResolved
AllCentral BanksForexCommoditiesStocksCryptoMacroGeopolitics
Macro
GBPUSD
Resolved
Macro

UK Inflation Expected to Hit 3.4% as Markets Price in November Rate Hike

UK annual inflation rose to 3.5% in September, exceeding the expected 3.4% and reaching its highest level since October 2025. Core CPI met market expectations at 2.8%, driven by persistent energy and service price pressures. Consequently, markets are now pricing in a 96% probability of a 25 basis point rate hike by the Bank of England in November.

4 updates·Last update 2 days ago
GBPUSD
Page 1Next
Resolved
Macro

US PPI Surges to 6.3% in September, Exceeding Market Expectations

The US Producer Price Index (PPI) for September rose to 6.3% on a year-over-year basis. Additionally, the index recorded a monthly increase of 1.3% in September, according to data released on October 15. These figures indicate a surge in producer prices that exceeded initial market expectations.

6 updates·Last update 7 days ago
CRWVBNPQF
Macro
BTCBLKBAC
Resolved
Macro

US Headline CPI Expected to Rise to 3.7% in September on Energy Costs

US headline CPI is expected to rise to 3.7% in September, primarily driven by a significant jump in energy costs, while core inflation is forecast to remain steady at 2.4% annually. Global stocks face a critical test as investors await this data, especially as the odds of an October Fed rate hike fell to 25% following weak payroll figures. Meanwhile, energy prices reversed their initial gains during the New York trading session after providing temporary relief.

21 updates·Last update 8 days ago
BTCBLK+6
Resolved
Macro

US Stocks Slump as Treasury Yields Break Above 5.35%

US stock indices fell sharply as Treasury yields surpassed the 5.35% threshold, reaching multi-decade highs not seen since 2002. This surge in yields occurred just before a scheduled Treasury auction. On October 8, stock index futures continued to decline alongside a nearly 5% increase in Brent crude oil prices.

3 updates·Last update 15 days ago
Resolved
Macro

Bitcoin Holds Above $86,000 as Markets Await Key US Jobs Report

Bitcoin maintained its position above $86,000 on October 2, as gold and tech futures showed upward movement. Markets are currently awaiting the release of the key U.S. jobs report for further economic direction. Expectations point toward the addition of 90,000 new jobs, with the unemployment rate projected to remain steady at 4.1%.

8 updates·Last update 19 days ago
BTCNDAQ+1
Resolved
Macro

US Inflation Rise Increases Pressure on Federal Reserve

US inflation cooled to 3.4% year-over-year, coming in lower than the 3.7% forecast and suggesting a better-balanced economy. This data eased pressure on the Federal Reserve, with NY Fed President John Williams stating there is no immediate rush to hike interest rates. Following the release, Bitcoin prices surged past $85,000, reversing a downward trend alongside a jump in gold prices. The positive market sentiment was further supported by upward revisions to household income and spending data.

4 updates·Last update 22 days ago
BTC
Resolved
Macro

US Business Activity Surges to 5-Year High in September

In September, US business activity reached its highest level in 62 months, with the Composite PMI rising to 58.4 and significantly exceeding forecasts. This growth was driven by strong performance in both manufacturing and services sectors, despite reports of supply chain bottlenecks. Following the data release, the 10-year Treasury yield spiked above 5% for the first time since 2007, while spot gold prices declined. These developments had a direct negative impact on both equities and fixed income markets.

3 updates·Last update 30 days ago
Macro
Resolved
Macro

US Futures Slide as Brent Hits $100 Amid PPI Data Anticipation

On September 10, U.S. stock futures declined as Brent crude oil prices reached $100 per barrel amid ongoing geopolitical tensions. Despite the sliding futures, Polymarket odds indicated a 70% chance of the S&P 500 opening higher. Wall Street is currently awaiting key Producer Price Index (PPI) inflation data and earnings reports from the technology sector.

3 updates·Last update about 1 month ago
Resolved
Macro

US Tariffs on Canada Take Effect Following Collapse of Trade Talks

U.S. tariffs on Canadian imports officially entered into force on August 22. This action follows the collapse of trade negotiations that were aimed at avoiding a tariff escalation between the two nations. The talks were originally intended to prevent the implementation of new trade barriers. Consequently, the tariffs are now active as a result of the failed diplomatic efforts to reach an agreement.

5 updates·Last update about 2 months ago
STLA.PA
Resolved
Macro

Gulf Markets Rally as Oil Prices Climb Amid Iran Sanctions Fears

Gulf stock markets experienced a collective rise on August 23, driven by a surge in global oil prices. This rally followed growing market concerns regarding the potential imposition of new sanctions on the Iranian energy sector. On August 24, the US Treasury announced plans to broaden secondary sanctions to further sever Iranian economic ties.

4 updates·Last update about 2 months ago
Resolved
Macro

S&P 500 Faces Pivotal Week Amid Inflation Data and Corporate Earnings

The S&P 500 faces a pivotal week as corporate earnings and US consumer inflation data serve as the primary market catalysts. Geopolitical tensions, specifically the US-Iran conflict, are currently weighing on market outlooks for the coming period. Additionally, the consumer price index is expected to show a modest increase while remaining above the Federal Reserve's 2% target.

4 updates·Last update 2 months ago
USDJPY+2
Resolved
Macro

Markets Eye US Jobs Data Amid Yen Intervention and Geopolitical Risks

Financial markets are awaiting the July U.S. jobs report, with expectations for nonfarm payroll growth between 80,000 and 83,000 and a slight unemployment uptick to 4.3%. Concurrently, U.S. 10-year Treasury yields rose to 4.67% on solid data, while the Japanese Yen was impacted by Treasury interventions. Geopolitical tensions in the Strait of Hormuz also drove WTI crude oil prices up by 3.60% to $77.93 per barrel.

11 updates·Last update 2 months ago
GBPUSD
Macro
NZD/USDNZDUSD
Resolved
Macro

New Zealand Q2 Inflation Hits 4.1%, Exceeding Market Forecasts

New Zealand's annual inflation rate for the second quarter reached 4.1%, exceeding market expectations and the central bank's targets. The jump in consumer prices was primarily driven by surging fuel costs. Consequently, fears have deepened that interest rates will need to rise significantly in the coming months to combat the accelerating inflation.

4 updates·Last update 3 months ago
NZD/USDNZDUSD
Resolved
Macro

US Mortgage Rates Hit One-Year High as Purchase Applications Slump

US mortgage rates reached a near one-year high, with the average 30-year fixed rate climbing to 6.58% by July 23. This increase, fueled by inflation fears linked to rising oil prices, led to a 7% weekly drop in home purchase applications. Despite softer-than-expected inflation data released mid-month, rates remained consistently above 6.5%, marking a significant slump in mortgage demand compared to the previous year.

3 updates·Last update 3 months ago
Macro
AMDINTCMU
Resolved
Macro

Nasdaq Gains as US Jobless Claims Fall Below Expectations

The Nasdaq rose 0.46% driven by a surge in technology and semiconductor shares after US initial jobless claims fell to 215,000, coming in lower than expected. While the consumer staples sector and the Dow Jones saw declines, investor sentiment improved, shifting the CNN Fear and Greed Index into the Neutral zone. US stocks continued their gains in the final hour of trading following a soft inflation reading.

8 updates·Last update 3 months ago
AMDINTC+9
Resolved
Macro

US Stock Futures Steady as Geopolitical Tensions Ease Following Trump Remarks

US stock futures stabilized in July following President Trump's remarks regarding Iran, which eased geopolitical tensions. Market performance remained steady as concerns over interest rate hikes and regional conflicts diminished. Investors concluded the period by balancing ongoing geopolitical factors against upcoming earnings reports from major technology firms.

3 updates·Last update 3 months ago
AAPLMSFT+3
Resolved
Macro

Trump Policies Stall $83 Billion in Clean Energy and Manufacturing Projects

Trump's policies led to nearly $83 billion in cancellations and delays for clean energy, manufacturing, and EV projects. While a judge ruled against administration officials attempting to cancel billions in grants, critics argued these cuts held critical programs hostage to political interests. Additionally, Trump ordered a review of a judicial scientific reference manual, resulting in the federal judiciary withdrawing the climate science chapter due to allegations of political bias.

3 updates·Last update 3 months ago
Resolved
Macro

Bond Markets Eye US Wage and Inflation Data for Fed Rate Path

Bond markets are awaiting US wage and inflation data to assess the Federal Reserve's future monetary policy path. Super-core inflation has reached 3.9%, with the San Francisco Fed noting that recent increases have been driven by acyclical factors. Investors are also closely monitoring an upcoming testimony by Kevin Warsh for further economic signals.

13 updates·Last update 3 months ago
0Q1F.L0Q16.L+3
Macro
Resolved
Macro

US National Debt Surpasses 100% of GDP Triggering Fiscal Sustainability Alarms

U.S. national debt has surpassed 100% of the country's GDP for the first time since the World War II era, reaching a total of $39.4 trillion. The Congressional Budget Office projects that under current fiscal policies, the debt-to-GDP ratio will climb to 175% over the next 30 years. This milestone has triggered economic warnings regarding fiscal sustainability, while concurrent reports highlight concerns over the potential impact of AI on increasing wealth inequality.

3 updates·Last update 3 months ago
Macro
Resolved
Macro

EU Proposes Ambitious 2040 Electrification Targets to Slash Gas Reliance

The European Commission unveiled an Electrification Action Plan targeting a 46% share of total energy consumption by 2040 to slash fossil fuel reliance. This shift is estimated to replace two-thirds of EU gas consumption and potentially save 200 billion euros on energy import bills. Meanwhile, the EU is considering delaying fines for methane emission violations following U.S. pressure, though energy companies continue to push for more comprehensive legislative rewrites regarding gas leaks.

3 updates·Last update 3 months ago
Resolved
Macro

Eurozone Inflation Slips in June as Energy Costs Cool, Bolstering Case for ECB Pause

Eurozone inflation declined in June as cooling energy prices increased the likelihood that the European Central Bank will refrain from raising its key interest rate this month. A jump in energy company profits is forecast to drive European blue-chip earnings growth in the second quarter. Energy sector growth is expected to overshadow far weaker gains across the rest of the European market. The EU plans to offer carbon market flexibility to address concerns regarding industrial sector competitiveness.

4 updates·Last update 3 months ago
Resolved
Macro

US Consumer Inflation Expectations Surge to Three-Year High

US consumer inflation expectations surged to a three-year high in June, even as subsequent economic data indicated a cooling trend in inflation levels. The market experienced dense news flow, including hawkish FOMC minutes and geopolitical tensions, though major assets lacked decisive movements. In corporate news, Morgan Stanley reported its quarterly earnings, while IBM shares saw a notable decline during pre-market trading.

3 updates·Last update 3 months ago
US10Y0QYU+1
Macro
0Q1F.LJPM
Resolved
Macro

JPMorgan Warns of Summer Swoon as AI Momentum Faces Macro Headwinds

JPMorgan strategists warned of a potential summer market swoon, noting that AI momentum will face headwinds from broader macroeconomic drivers. The firm plans to target M&A deals valued under $500 million, specifically focusing on business successions among baby boomers. Additionally, CEO Jamie Dimon highlighted that geopolitical risks and persistent inflation remain significant threats despite the current resilience of the U.S. economy.

3 updates·Last update 3 months ago
0Q1F.LJPM
Macro
Resolved
Macro

Largest US Power Grid Faces Record Demand Amid Heat Dome and Data Center Boom

The largest U.S. power grid, PJM, is facing record electricity demand due to a heat dome and the expansion of data centers. On July 2, the grid began rerouting power traffic and dispatching costly fossil fuel plants to prevent outages. On July 3, electricity prices tripled on the PJM Interconnection grid, which serves 67 million people across 13 states, as power demand surged to approximately 163 gigawatts, nearing the all-time record set in 2006. On July 6, New Jersey lawmakers passed a bill directing the Board of Public Utilities to establish a dedicated tariff for data centers with 50MW capacity or more.

4 updates·Last update 3 months ago