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BreakingMacro Economy

US Headline CPI Expected to Rise to 3.7% in September on Energy Costs

First Detected: Oct 11, 2026, 11:16 PM
Last Update: less than a minute ago
2 updates

Event Summary

US headline CPI is expected to rise to 3.7% in September, primarily driven by a significant jump in energy costs, while core inflation is forecast to remain steady at 2.4% annually. Global stocks face a critical test as investors await this data, especially as the odds of an October Fed rate hike fell to 25% following weak payroll figures. Meanwhile, energy prices reversed their initial gains during the New York trading session after providing temporary relief.

Timeline

Latest developmentabout 16 hours ago

Global Markets Cautious Ahead of US CPI Amid Energy and AI Volatility

Global equities face a critical test as investors await US inflation data, while energy prices reverse early gains and AI momentum cools.

Read the full story
  1. Oct 11, 2026, 11:10 PM
    US Annual Core CPI Forecast Revised Upward to 2.5% for September

    Core inflation is forecast to remain steady at 2.4% as markets weigh rising energy prices against weak payroll data and a potential Fed pause.

Key facts

  • Global stocks are facing a critical test as investors await the upcoming US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data.
  • Energy prices reversed their early gains during the New York trading session after providing initial relief.
  • US annual headline CPI is expected to rise to 3.7% in September, driven by a significant jump in energy costs.
  • Core inflation is forecast to remain steady at 2.4% annually, with monthly growth slowing to 0.2%.
  • Odds of an October Fed rate hike have fallen to approximately 25% following weak September payroll data.