EPI = 100 − |inflation| − unemployment − deficit/GDP + GDP growth. Source: IMF WP/13/214 (Khramov & Lee, 2013).
Deficit/GDP sourced from Eurostat / DST 2024
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.1 | 1.85 | — |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.2 | 2 | 2.4 | Miss | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase | ||
| 0 | -0.3 | 0.2 | Miss | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.7 | In Line |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GDP Growth Rate YoY | 3.1 | 3.4 | 3.9 | Miss | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |
| 0.9 | 1.5 | 0.3 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -0.6 | 1 | -0.4 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | ||
| 3.7 | 6.7 | 6.9 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31.2 | 38.9 | 36.2 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | ||
| 22.2 | 34.9 | — | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.1 | 19.6 | — | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | |||
| 0.9 | -5 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 693.2 | 693.6 | 689 | Beat | Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease | ||
| M3 Money Supply | 2155.9 | 2169.1 | — | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| CPI | 1 | -0.6 | — | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase |
| CPI YoY | 0.8 | 1.9 | — | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase |
| CPI MoM | -0.6 | -0.4 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 2.1 | 2 | 2.4 | Miss | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase |
| Gross Domestic Product YoY | 5.7 | 6.2 | 4.6 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 0.3 | 1.5 | — | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| Consumer Confidence | -13.7 | -13.1 | -13.7 | In Line | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| Business Confidence | 100.5 | 97.9 | 97 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| Current Account | 34.5 | 43.3 | 38.7 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| Manufacturing Production MoM | 0.9 | -5 | 3.7 | Miss | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| DILF Manufacturing PMI | 45.7 | 47.6 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| Currency Reserves | 693.6 | 699.6 | — | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| HICP YoY | 1.6 | 1.8 | — | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| Money Supply | 2089.8 | 2047.3 | — | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| Bond Auction | 1.73 | 1.72 | — |
