The Harmonised Inflation Rate Year-over-Year (YoY) represents the annual percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices. This metric is specifically designed to provide a comparable measure of inflation across different European countries, stripping out national idiosyncrasies in data collection. It is the benchmark used by the ECB to define its price stability mandate of 2%.
The rate is derived from the HICP, which follows a strict set of legal requirements and statistical standards defined by EU regulations to ensure cross-border comparability.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2026 | — | 2.30 | — |
| Aug 10, 2026 | 1.60 | 0.80 | +0.80 |
| Jul 10, 2026 | 1.80 | 1.90 | -0.10 |
| Jun 10, 2026 | 1.80 | 1.50 | +0.30 |
| May 11, 2026 | 1.20 | 1.40 | -0.20 |
| Apr 10, 2026 | 1.00 | 0.90 | +0.10 |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 0.50 | 0.30 | +0.20 |
| Feb 10, 2026 | 0.60 | 1.80 | -1.20 |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 1.90 | 2.00 | -0.10 |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 2.00 | 2.20 | -0.20 |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 2.10 | 2.20 | -0.10 |
| Oct 10, 2025 | 2.20 | 1.80 | +0.40 |
| Sep 10, 2025 | 1.90 | 2.40 | -0.50 |
| Aug 11, 2025 | 2.20 | 1.20 | +1.00 |
| Jul 10, 2025 | 1.80 | 1.80 | 0.00 |
| Jun 10, 2025 | 1.50 | 1.70 | -0.20 |
| May 12, 2025 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Apr 10, 2025 | 1.40 | 2.30 | -0.90 |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 2.00 | 1.50 | +0.50 |
| Feb 10, 2025 | 1.40 | 1.40 | 0.00 |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 1.80 | 1.60 | +0.20 |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1.60 | 1.70 | -0.10 |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 1.60 | 1.60 | 0.00 |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1.20 | 1.50 | -0.30 |
| Sep 10, 2024 | 1.40 | 1.70 | -0.30 |
| Aug 12, 2024 | 1.00 | 1.20 | -0.20 |
| Jul 10, 2024 | 1.80 | 1.40 | +0.40 |
| Jun 10, 2024 | 2.10 | 2.10 | 0.00 |
| May 10, 2024 | 0.50 | 0.90 | -0.40 |
| Apr 10, 2024 | 0.80 | 0.90 | -0.10 |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 0.60 | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 0.90 | 0.10 | +0.80 |
| Jan 10, 2024 | 0.40 | 0.80 | -0.40 |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 0.30 | 0.70 | -0.40 |
| Nov 10, 2023 | -0.40 | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 0.60 | 1.60 | -1.00 |
| Sep 11, 2023 | 2.30 | — | — |
| Aug 10, 2023 | 3.20 | — | — |
| Jul 10, 2023 | 2.40 | — | — |
| Jun 12, 2023 | 2.90 | — | — |
| May 10, 2023 | 5.60 | — | — |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 7.30 | 7.90 | -0.60 |
| Mar 10, 2023 | 8.30 | — | — |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 8.40 | — | — |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 9.60 | — | — |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 9.70 | — | — |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 11.40 | — | — |
| Oct 10, 2022 | 11.10 | — | — |
| Sep 12, 2022 | 9.90 | — | — |
| Aug 10, 2022 | 9.60 | — | — |
| Jul 11, 2022 | 9.10 | — | — |
