Measures the percentage change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy compared to the same quarter of the previous year. It provides a broader view of economic trends by smoothing out seasonal fluctuations. It is a key metric for long-term economic assessment.
Calculated by comparing the real GDP of the current quarter to the real GDP of the same quarter in the previous year. This year-over-year comparison helps identify structural growth trends.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2026 | 5.70 | 4.60 | +1.10 |
| Aug 20, 2026 | 4.60 | 4.60 | 0.00 |
| Jun 30, 2026 | 6.20 | 5.90 | +0.30 |
| May 20, 2026 | 5.90 | 3.00 | +2.90 |
| Mar 31, 2026 | 3.10 | 3.00 | +0.10 |
| Feb 20, 2026 | 3.00 | 3.60 | -0.60 |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 4.00 | 3.90 | +0.10 |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3.90 | 1.70 | +2.20 |
| Sep 30, 2025 | 1.60 | 1.90 | -0.30 |
| Aug 20, 2025 | 1.90 | 3.40 | -1.50 |
| Jun 30, 2025 | 2.30 | 3.60 | -1.30 |
| May 20, 2025 | 3.60 | 3.60 | 0.00 |
| Mar 31, 2025 | 4.40 | 4.10 | +0.30 |
| Feb 20, 2025 | 4.10 | 2.60 | +1.50 |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 3.10 | 3.90 | -0.80 |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 3.90 | 2.50 | +1.40 |
| Sep 30, 2024 | 3.40 | 2.50 | +0.90 |
| Aug 20, 2024 | 2.50 | 1.40 | +1.10 |
| Jun 28, 2024 | 1.40 | 5.20 | -3.80 |
| May 21, 2024 | 0.20 | 1.90 | -1.70 |
| Mar 27, 2024 | 3.50 | 3.10 | +0.40 |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 3.10 | 0.60 | +2.50 |
| Dec 22, 2023 | -0.30 | 0.30 | -0.60 |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 0.30 | 0.90 | -0.60 |
| Sep 29, 2023 | 0.90 | — | — |
| Aug 31, 2023 | 1.50 | — | — |
| Jun 30, 2023 | 1.70 | 2.40 | -0.70 |
| May 31, 2023 | 2.40 | — | — |
| Mar 31, 2023 | 1.60 | — | — |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1.50 | — | — |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 3.40 | — | — |
| Sep 30, 2022 | 3.90 | — | — |
| Aug 31, 2022 | 3.60 | — | — |
| Jun 30, 2022 | 6.20 | — | — |
| May 31, 2022 | 6.70 | — | — |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 6.80 | — | — |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 4.40 | — | — |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 3.60 | — | — |
The latest reading is 1.4 standard deviations above the mean.
