Measures the percentage change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy compared to the same quarter of the previous year. It provides a broader view of economic trends by smoothing out seasonal fluctuations. It is a key metric for long-term economic assessment.
Calculated by comparing the real GDP of the current quarter to the real GDP of the same quarter in the previous year. This year-over-year comparison helps identify structural growth trends.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2026 | 4.60 | 4.60 | 0.00 |
| Aug 20, 2026 | 4.60 | — | — |
| Aug 20, 2026 | 4.60 | 4.60 | 0.00 |
| Jun 30, 2026 | 6.20 | 5.90 | +0.30 |
| Jun 30, 2026 | 6.20 | 5.90 | +0.30 |
| May 20, 2026 | 5.90 | 3.00 | +2.90 |
| May 20, 2026 | 3.20 | — | — |
| Mar 31, 2026 | 3.10 | — | — |
| Feb 20, 2026 | 3.00 | — | — |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 4.00 | — | — |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3.90 | — | — |
| Sep 30, 2025 | 1.60 | 1.90 | -0.30 |
| Aug 20, 2025 | 1.90 | — | — |
| Jun 30, 2025 | 2.30 | — | — |
| May 20, 2025 | 3.60 | — | — |
| Mar 31, 2025 | 4.40 | — | — |
| Feb 20, 2025 | 4.10 | — | — |
| Aug 20, 2024 | 2.50 | 1.40 | +1.10 |
| Jun 28, 2024 | 1.40 | — | — |
| Mar 27, 2024 | 3.50 | — | — |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 3.10 | — | — |
| Date | First print | Current | Revision |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2026 | 5.90 | 3.20 | -2.70 ↓ |
