Retail Sales MoM measures the monthly change in the total value of sales at the retail level, serving as the primary gauge of consumer spending. Since consumer spending accounts for a significant portion of overall economic activity, this indicator is a critical driver of GDP growth. It provides early insights into household consumption patterns and the underlying strength of the domestic economy.
The data is compiled from a survey of retail firms of various sizes and types. The figure is seasonally adjusted to account for holiday periods and trading day differences, though it is not adjusted for inflation.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | — | -0.40 | — |
| Aug 25, 2026 | 1.30 | -0.30 | +1.60 |
| Jul 28, 2026 | 0.50 | -0.30 | +0.80 |
| Jun 24, 2026 | 1.00 | 0.60 | +0.40 |
| May 22, 2026 | -1.80 | -1.20 | -0.60 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | 2.80 | 0.40 | +2.40 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | -0.20 | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 0.70 | 0.50 | +0.20 |
| Jan 27, 2026 | -1.20 | -0.70 | -0.50 |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 1.50 | -0.30 | +1.80 |
| Nov 27, 2025 | 0.90 | -0.40 | +1.30 |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 0.00 | -0.10 | +0.10 |
| Sep 26, 2025 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Aug 27, 2025 | 0.60 | 0.50 | +0.10 |
| Jul 28, 2025 | -0.80 | -0.30 | -0.50 |
| Jun 27, 2025 | 1.00 | 0.30 | +0.70 |
| May 27, 2025 | 0.40 | 0.30 | +0.10 |
| Apr 28, 2025 | -0.10 | 0.20 | -0.30 |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 0.80 | 0.70 | +0.10 |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 0.30 | 0.40 | -0.10 |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 0.10 | 0.30 | -0.20 |
| Dec 20, 2024 | -0.20 | 0.60 | -0.80 |
| Nov 28, 2024 | 0.30 | 0.20 | +0.10 |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 0.10 | -0.30 | +0.40 |
| Sep 27, 2024 | 0.40 | 0.20 | +0.20 |
| Jul 26, 2024 | -0.10 | 0.50 | -0.60 |
| Jun 27, 2024 | 0.50 | 0.40 | +0.10 |
| May 28, 2024 | -0.60 | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| Apr 30, 2024 | 0.20 | -0.40 | +0.60 |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2.20 | 0.20 | +2.00 |
| Feb 28, 2024 | 0.40 | 0.60 | -0.20 |
| Jan 26, 2024 | -1.00 | 0.30 | -1.30 |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 1.00 | 0.40 | +0.60 |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 0.30 | -1.60 | +1.90 |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 0.00 | -0.60 | +0.60 |
| Sep 28, 2023 | 3.90 | — | — |
| Aug 28, 2023 | -4.40 | — | — |
| Jul 28, 2023 | 1.30 | — | — |
| Jun 28, 2023 | 1.80 | — | — |
| May 30, 2023 | 1.60 | — | — |
| Apr 28, 2023 | -1.50 | — | — |
| Mar 29, 2023 | -0.30 | — | — |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 2.30 | — | — |
| Jan 26, 2023 | -2.20 | — | — |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 0.20 | — | — |
| Nov 25, 2022 | -1.70 | — | — |
| Oct 27, 2022 | -0.40 | — | — |
| Sep 28, 2022 | 0.10 | — | — |
| Aug 26, 2022 | 0.01 | — | — |
| Jul 28, 2022 | -3.20 | — | — |
| Jun 28, 2022 | -1.10 | — | — |
| Date | First print | Current | Revision |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0 ↓ |
| Apr 24, 2026 | 2.50 | 2.80 | +0.30 ↑ |
| Mar 25, 2026 | -0.30 | -0.20 | +0.10 ↑ |
