Stock Index
EPI = 100 − |inflation| − unemployment − deficit/GDP + GDP growth. Source: IMF WP/13/214 (Khramov & Lee, 2013).
Deficit/GDP sourced from Eurostat / Destatis 2024
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.9 | 2.8 | 3 | Miss | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | ||
| 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.3 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| CPI | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | In Line |
| CPI YoY | 2.9 | 2.8 | 3 | Miss | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| CPI MoM | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.3 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| Producer Price Index YoY | 3 | 1.8 | 2.7 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |
| Producer Price Index MoM | 1.1 | -0.3 | 0.7 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |
| Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 2.9 | 2.8 | 3.1 | Miss | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |
| 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.3 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | ||
| 2.9 | 2.8 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |||
| 2.6 | 2.5 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |||
| 3.1 | 2.7 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |||
| 2.9 | 2.7 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |||
| 0.2 | 0.9 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |||
| 0.1 | 0.7 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |||
| 2.9 | 2.8 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |||
| 3 | 2.7 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |||
| 0.3 | 0.7 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |||
| 0.3 | 0.7 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |||
| 0.2 | 0.6 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |||
| 0.1 | 0.8 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unemployment Rate | 6.4 | 6.4 | 6.4 | In Line | ||
| Employment Change | 4 | 6 | 5 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | |
| 2.996 | 2.993 | 3 | Miss | Rising4th Consecutive Increase | ||
| 3 | 3 | 3 | In Line | |||
| 41.9 | 41.88 | — |
| 414.3 | — | — |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1 | 0.7 | 0.9 | Beat | Rising4th Consecutive Increase | |
| GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |
| Full Year GDP Growth | 0.2 | -0.5 | 0.2 | In Line | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase | |
| 1 | 0.7 | 0.9 | Beat | Rising4th Consecutive Increase | ||
| 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| GDP Growth Rate | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.6 | Beat | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Construction PMI | 42.1 | 44.8 | 45 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retail Sales MoM | -3.4 | 0 | 0.4 | Miss | Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease | |
| Retail Sales YoY | -2.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 | Miss | Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease | |
| -26.6 | -29.4 | -29.6 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | ||
| 34.2 | 26.3 | 30 | Beat | Rising5th Consecutive Increase |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balance of Trade | 15.4 | 19.3 | 17.4 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | |
| Trade Balance | 17.2 | 14.7 | 15.1 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |
| 19 | 9 | 16.2 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | ||
| 6.8 | 6.1 | 7.2 | Miss | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | ||
| 0.2 | -0.7 | 0.2 | In Line | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| 4.4 | -2.6 | 1 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | ||
| 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.2 | Beat |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manufacturing PMI | 54.3 | 52.2 | 54.1 | Beat | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase | |
| Services PMI | 48.5 | 49.8 | 50.1 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | |
| Composite PMI | 51 | 51.3 | 51.3 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | |
| 0 | -0.11 | — | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase | |||
| 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.1 | Beat | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| 3.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | Beat | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase | ||
| 53.6 | 53.8 | 53.5 | Beat | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | ||
| 6.8 | — | — | Rising4th Consecutive Increase |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Government Budget | -4.8 | 1.5 | -7 | Beat | Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease | |
| 5-Year Bobl Auction | 3.09 | 2.93 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | ||
| 15-Year Bund Auction | 3.5 | 3.29 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | ||
| 2.85 | 2.78 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |||
| 3.26 | 3.13 | — | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase |
| 3.65 | 3.64 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |||
| 2.68 | 2.8 | — | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HICP YoY | 2.9 | 2.8 | 3.1 | Miss | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |
| HICP MoM | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.3 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | |
| 89.1 | 86.8 | 87.5 | Beat | Rising5th Consecutive Increase | ||
| 88.5 | 86.5 | 87 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | ||
| 88.8 | 86.7 | 87.2 | Beat | Rising5th Consecutive Increase |
| -61.1 | -77.6 | -69.5 | Beat | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase | ||
| 2.656 | 2.566 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |||
| 2.502 | 2.436 | — | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase |
| Wholesale Prices MoM | 0.2 | -0.7 | 0.4 | Miss | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| Wholesale Prices YoY | 5.3 | 4.9 | 5.4 | Miss | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI | 42.13 | 42.28 | — | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| 9-Month Bubill Auction | 2.562 | 2.409 | — | Rising4th Consecutive Increase |
| 3-Month Bubill Auction | 2.386 | 2.28 | — | Rising5th Consecutive Increase |
| New Car Sales YoY | 1.2 | 15.7 | 5.1 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| Bond Auction | 2.71 | 2.49 | — |
| Bund Auction | 3.6 | 3.57 | — | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase |
| New Car Sales MoM | 23.8 | -3.9 | — | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase |
| New Car Registrations YoY | 3.8 | -6.6 | -4.4 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| New Car Registrations MoM | -21.3 | -1.7 | — |
| Index-Linked Bund Auction | 0.42 | 0.19 | — |
