Stock Index
EPI = 100 − |inflation| − unemployment − deficit/GDP + GDP growth. Source: IMF WP/13/214 (Khramov & Lee, 2013).
Deficit/GDP sourced from Eurostat / Destatis 2024
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.3 | 2.9 | 3.3 | In Line | |||
| 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| In Line |
| CPI | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | In Line |
| CPI YoY | 2.9 | 2.8 | 3 | Miss | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| CPI MoM | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.3 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| Producer Price Index YoY | 4.6 | 3 | 4.1 | Beat | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase | |
| Producer Price Index MoM | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.4 | Beat | ||
| Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 3.3 | 2.9 | 3.3 | In Line | ||
| 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.6 | In Line | |||
| 3.6 | 3.1 | — | Rising4th Consecutive Increase | |||
| 0.6 | 0.1 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |||
| 0.5 | 0.3 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |||
| 2.9 | 2.6 | — | Rising4th Consecutive Increase | |||
| 3.3 | 2.9 | — | Rising4th Consecutive Increase | |||
| 0.6 | 0.2 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |||
| 3.2 | 2.9 | — | Rising4th Consecutive Increase | |||
| 0.6 | 0.1 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |||
| 0.6 | 0.2 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |||
| 3.4 | 2.9 | — | Rising4th Consecutive Increase | |||
| 0.5 | 0.3 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |||
| 3.4 | 3 | — | Rising4th Consecutive Increase |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unemployment Rate | 6.4 | 6.4 | 6.4 | In Line | ||
| Employment Change | 12 | 5 | 1 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |
| 3.012 | 3 | 3 | Beat | Rising5th Consecutive Increase | ||
| 3 | 3 | 3 | In Line | |||
| 41.9 | 41.88 | — |
| 414.3 | — | — |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1 | 0.7 | 0.9 | Beat | Rising4th Consecutive Increase | |
| GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |
| Full Year GDP Growth | 0.2 | -0.5 | 0.2 | In Line | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase | |
| 1 | 0.7 | 0.9 | Beat | Rising4th Consecutive Increase | ||
| 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| GDP Growth Rate | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.6 | Beat | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Construction PMI | 43.5 | 48.7 | 48 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retail Sales MoM | 1.3 | -3.2 | 1.5 | Miss | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |
| Retail Sales YoY | -0.4 | -2.2 | 0.1 | Miss | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |
| -30.6 | -26.8 | -27.4 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | ||
| 34.7 | 34.2 | 39.8 | Miss | Rising5th Consecutive Increase |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balance of Trade | 19.5 | 21.6 | 19 | Beat | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | |
| Trade Balance | 17.2 | 14.7 | 15.1 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |
| 10.3 | 21.8 | 17.2 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | ||
| 8.3 | 6.8 | 8 | Beat | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase | ||
| 1 | 0.2 | 0.7 | Beat | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase |
| -0.8 | -0.5 | 0.8 | Miss | Falling4th Consecutive Decrease | ||
| 0.9 | -5.5 | 2.8 | Miss | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manufacturing PMI | 53.9 | 54.3 | 53.8 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |
| Services PMI | 52.9 | 49.7 | 52.9 | In Line | ||
| Composite PMI | 53.8 | 51.8 | 53.8 | In Line | ||
| 2.33 | -1.74 | 0.7 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | ||
| 2 | -1.2 | 0.5 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| -10.6 | 3.2 | -1 | Miss | Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease | ||
| 53.6 | 53.8 | 53.5 | Beat | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | ||
| 6.8 | — |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Government Budget | -4.8 | 1.5 | -7 | Beat | Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease | |
| 30-Year Bund Auction | 3.8 | 3.8 | — | |||
| 5-Year Bobl Auction | 3.22 | 3.28 | — | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | ||
| 3.36 | 2.68 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |||
| 3.1 | 3.27 | — | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| 3.58 | 3.39 | — | Rising5th Consecutive Increase | |||
| 15-Year Bund Auction | 3.5 | 3.29 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI | 42.37 | 41.42 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | ||
| Wholesale Prices YoY | 8.7 | 6.8 | 7 | Beat | Rising4th Consecutive Increase | |
| 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.7 | Beat | Rising4th Consecutive Increase | ||
| 2.949 | 3.065 | — | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | |||
| 2.717 | 2.768 | — | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| 9 | 2.6 | 4 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | ||
| 89.9 | 88.8 | 89 | Beat | Rising5th Consecutive Increase | ||
| 90.4 | 89 |
| Rising4th Consecutive Increase |
| Beat |
| Rising5th Consecutive Increase |
| Ifo Current Conditions | 89.5 | 88.5 | 89 | Beat | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase |
| New Car Sales MoM | -20.7 | 23.8 | — | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| 11-Month Bubill Auction | 2.981 | 2.647 | — |
| 5-Month Bubill Auction | 2.701 | 2.492 | — |
| ZEW Current Conditions | -47.1 | -61.1 | -52.2 | Beat | Rising4th Consecutive Increase |
| Bond Auction | 3.19 | 3.01 | — |
| Bund Auction | 3.64 | 3.31 | — | Rising5th Consecutive Increase |
| 3-Month Bubill Auction | 2.479 | 2.386 | — | Rising5th Consecutive Increase |
| 9-Month Bubill Auction | 2.724 | 2.562 | — | Rising5th Consecutive Increase |
| New Car Sales YoY | 2.6 | 1.2 | 3.6 | Miss | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| HICP YoY | 2.9 | 2.8 | 3.1 | Miss | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| HICP MoM | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.3 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| New Car Registrations MoM | -21.3 | -1.7 | — | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| Index-Linked Bund Auction | 0.42 | 0.19 | — |
