The Year-over-Year Inflation Rate measures the percentage change in the price of a basket of goods and services compared to the same month in the previous year. It is the primary gauge of purchasing power and is used by central banks to determine monetary policy and interest rate adjustments. High inflation often leads to tighter monetary policy, while low inflation may prompt stimulus measures.
It is calculated by comparing the current Consumer Price Index (CPI) to the CPI value from one year ago. The formula used is ((Current CPI - Past CPI) / Past CPI) x 100.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2026 | — | 2.70 | — |
| Aug 31, 2026 | 2.90 | 3.00 | -0.10 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | 2.80 | 2.80 | 0.00 |
| Jul 30, 2026 | 2.80 | 2.70 | +0.10 |
| Jul 10, 2026 | 2.30 | 2.30 | 0.00 |
| Jun 30, 2026 | 2.30 | 2.60 | -0.30 |
| Jun 12, 2026 | 2.60 | 2.60 | 0.00 |
| May 29, 2026 | 2.60 | 2.90 | -0.30 |
| May 12, 2026 | 2.90 | 2.90 | 0.00 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | 2.90 | 3.00 | -0.10 |
| Apr 10, 2026 | 2.70 | 2.70 | 0.00 |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 2.70 | 2.70 | 0.00 |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 1.90 | 1.90 | 0.00 |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 1.90 | 2.00 | -0.10 |
| Feb 17, 2026 | 2.10 | 2.10 | 0.00 |
| Jan 30, 2026 | 2.10 | 1.90 | +0.20 |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1.80 | 1.80 | 0.00 |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1.80 | 2.00 | -0.20 |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 2.30 | 2.30 | 0.00 |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2.30 | 2.40 | -0.10 |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 2.30 | 2.30 | 0.00 |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2.30 | 2.20 | +0.10 |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2.40 | 2.40 | 0.00 |
| Sep 30, 2025 | 2.40 | 2.30 | +0.10 |
| Sep 12, 2025 | 2.20 | 2.20 | 0.00 |
| Aug 29, 2025 | 2.20 | 2.10 | +0.10 |
| Aug 13, 2025 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| Jul 10, 2025 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| Jun 30, 2025 | 2.00 | 2.20 | -0.20 |
| Jun 13, 2025 | 2.10 | 2.10 | 0.00 |
| May 30, 2025 | 2.10 | 2.00 | +0.10 |
| May 14, 2025 | 2.10 | 2.10 | 0.00 |
| Apr 30, 2025 | 2.10 | 2.00 | +0.10 |
| Apr 11, 2025 | 2.20 | 2.20 | 0.00 |
| Mar 31, 2025 | 2.20 | 2.20 | 0.00 |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 2.30 | 2.30 | 0.00 |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 2.30 | 2.30 | 0.00 |
| Feb 13, 2025 | 2.30 | 2.30 | 0.00 |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 2.30 | 2.60 | -0.30 |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2.60 | 2.60 | 0.00 |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 2.60 | 2.40 | +0.20 |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2.20 | 2.20 | 0.00 |
| Nov 28, 2024 | 2.20 | 2.30 | -0.10 |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 2.00 | 1.80 | +0.20 |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 1.60 | 1.60 | 0.00 |
| Sep 30, 2024 | 1.60 | 1.70 | -0.10 |
| Sep 10, 2024 | 1.90 | 1.90 | 0.00 |
| Aug 29, 2024 | 1.90 | 2.10 | -0.20 |
| Aug 9, 2024 | 2.30 | 2.30 | 0.00 |
| Jul 30, 2024 | 2.30 | 2.20 | +0.10 |
