Currency
EPI = 100 − |inflation| − unemployment − deficit/GDP + GDP growth. Source: IMF WP/13/214 (Khramov & Lee, 2013).
Deficit/GDP sourced from TÜİK 2024
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Interest Rate Decision | 37 | 37 | 37 | In Line |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inflation Rate YoY | 31.75 | 32.11 | 31.8 | Miss | Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease | |
| Inflation Rate MoM | 1.78 | 0.99 | 1.83 | Miss | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |
| 29.43 | 29.21 | — | Rising5th Consecutive Increase | |||
| CPI YoY | 31.75 | 32.11 | 31.8 | Miss | Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease | |
| CPI MoM | 1.78 | 0.99 | 1.83 | Miss | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| 27.83 | 28.09 | 27.4 | Beat | Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease | ||
| 1.52 | 1.8 | 1 | Beat | Falling4th Consecutive Decrease |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unemployment Rate | 8.1 | 7.6 | 7.7 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |
| Non Farm Payrolls | -92 | — | 59 | Miss | ||
| Nonfarm Payrolls Private | -86 | — | 65 | Miss | ||
| 52.5 | 52.9 | 52.9 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | ||
| Government Payrolls | -6 | — | — |
| Manufacturing Payrolls | -12 | 5 | 3 | Miss |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GDP Growth Rate YoY | 2.3 | 2.6 | 2.9 | Miss | Falling5th Consecutive Decrease | |
| GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 1.1 | 0.3 | 1 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |
| 2.3 | 2.6 | 2.9 | Miss | Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retail Sales MoM | 0.7 | 2.1 | 0.5 | Beat | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | |
| Retail Sales YoY | 11.8 | 12.8 | 12 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | |
| 90.8 | 89.8 | 90 | Beat | Rising5th Consecutive Increase | ||
| 102.8 | 102.2 | 102.5 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | ||
| 100.6 | 99.8 | 99.6 | Beat | Rising5th Consecutive Increase |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balance of Trade | -7.34 | -10.37 | -7.4 | Beat | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | |
| Trade Balance | -6.9 | -4.17 | — | Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease | ||
| -4.194 | -1.254 | -5 | Beat | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | ||
| 25.6 | 24.9 | 25.6 | In Line | |||
| 32.9 | 35.3 | 33 | Miss | Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industrial Production YoY | -1.4 | -0.1 | 2.4 | Miss | Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease | |
| Industrial Production MoM | 0.1 | -3 | 0.8 | Miss | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |
| 73.5 | 73.9 | 74 | Miss | Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease | ||
| 48.1 | 47.7 | 47.9 | Beat | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase | ||
| 102.8 | 102.2 | — | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| 15.9 | 9.9 | 18 | Miss | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Budget Balance | -378.1 | 114.2 | 100 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | |
| Treasury Cash Balance | -395.65 | 50.1 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | ||
| 15.463 | 14.992 | 15.2 | Beat | Rising5th Consecutive Increase |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Foreign Exchange Reserves | 74.228 | 75.166 | — | Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease | ||
| Tourist Arrivals YoY | -0.3 | -4.02 | -5 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |
| -25 | -11.4 | -9 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | ||
| -19.2 | 15.5 | 10 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | ||
| 35.9 | 38 | — | Rising4th Consecutive Increase |
| 35.5 | 35.5 | 35.5 | In Line | |||
| 40 | 40 | 40 | In Line |
