Currency
EPI = 100 − |inflation| − unemployment − deficit/GDP + GDP growth. Source: IMF WP/13/214 (Khramov & Lee, 2013).
Deficit/GDP sourced from TÜİK 2024
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Interest Rate Decision | 37 | 37 | 37 | In Line |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inflation Rate YoY | 29.73 | 31.51 | 30.3 | Miss | Falling5th Consecutive Decrease | |
| Inflation Rate MoM | 1.84 | 1.84 | 2.3 | Miss | ||
| 29.61 | 29.43 | — | Rising5th Consecutive Increase | |||
| CPI YoY | 30.87 | 31.53 | 31.4 | Miss | Falling5th Consecutive Decrease | |
| CPI MoM | 1.94 | 2.96 | 2.32 | Miss |
| 27.38 | 27.95 | 28 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | ||
| 2.07 | 2.57 | 2.5 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | ||
| Inflation Rate | 29.63 | 29.61 |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unemployment Rate | 7.8 | 8.1 | 8.4 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | |
| Non Farm Payrolls | -92 | — | 59 | Miss | ||
| Nonfarm Payrolls Private | -86 | — | 65 | Miss | ||
| 52.5 | 52.5 | 52.7 | Miss | |||
| Government Payrolls | -6 | — | — |
| Manufacturing Payrolls | -12 | 5 | 3 | Miss |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GDP Growth Rate YoY | 2.1 | 2.4 | 2.6 | Miss | Falling5th Consecutive Decrease | |
| GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 1.1 | 0.3 | 1 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |
| 2.3 | 2.6 | 2.9 | Miss | Falling5th Consecutive Decrease |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retail Sales MoM | 1.4 | 0.2 | -0.3 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |
| Retail Sales YoY | 10.1 | 9.9 | 9.9 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |
| 91.9 | 90.8 | 90 | Beat | Rising5th Consecutive Increase | ||
| 102 | 102.8 | 102.5 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | ||
| 101.3 | 100.6 | 100.6 | Beat | Rising5th Consecutive Increase |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balance of Trade | -5.23 | -5.24 | -7.8 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |
| Trade Balance | -6.9 | -4.17 | — | Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease | ||
| 4.053 | 0.036 | 0.4 | Beat | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase | ||
| 25.98 | 23.47 | 23.2 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | ||
| 31.21 | 28.71 | 31 | Beat | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industrial Production YoY | -1.9 | -0.2 | -1 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | |
| Industrial Production MoM | -1 | -0.9 | 0.4 | Miss | Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease | |
| 74.2 | 73.5 | 74 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | ||
| 47.9 | 48.1 | 49 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | ||
| 102 | 102.8 | — | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| 15.9 | 9.9 | 18 | Miss | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Budget Balance | -532.2 | 12.9 | -260 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | |
| Treasury Cash Balance | -467.2 | 49.82 | -220 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | |
| 15.894 | 15.471 | 15.948 | Miss | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Foreign Exchange Reserves | 64.57 | 60.33 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | ||
| Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI | 34.9 | 35.3 | — | Falling4th Consecutive Decrease | ||
| 5.1 | 1.5 | 4 | Beat | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase | ||
| -24.3 | -20.3 | -15 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | ||
| -0.03 | -0.3 | 0.5 | Miss | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase |
| 40 | 40 | 40 | In Line | |||
| 35.5 | 35.5 | 35.5 | In Line |
