Retail Sales MoM measures the monthly change in the total value of sales at the retail level, serving as the primary gauge of consumer spending. Since consumer spending accounts for a significant portion of overall economic activity, this indicator is a critical driver of GDP growth. It provides early insights into household consumption patterns and the underlying strength of the domestic economy.
The data is compiled from a survey of retail firms of various sizes and types. The figure is seasonally adjusted to account for holiday periods and trading day differences, though it is not adjusted for inflation.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2026 | — | -0.50 | — |
| Aug 11, 2026 | 0.70 | 0.50 | +0.20 |
| Jul 13, 2026 | 2.10 | 0.30 | +1.80 |
| Jun 16, 2026 | -1.60 | -0.90 | -0.70 |
| May 11, 2026 | 2.80 | 0.10 | +2.70 |
| Apr 13, 2026 | -0.20 | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 2.40 | 1.10 | +1.30 |
| Feb 11, 2026 | 1.70 | -0.20 | +1.90 |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1.50 | 0.30 | +1.20 |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 0.20 | -0.30 | +0.50 |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2.20 | 0.80 | +1.40 |
| Oct 10, 2025 | 0.90 | 1.30 | -0.40 |
| Sep 11, 2025 | -0.20 | 1.00 | -1.20 |
| Aug 12, 2025 | 1.30 | 0.80 | +0.50 |
| Jul 11, 2025 | 1.60 | 0.30 | +1.30 |
| Jun 16, 2025 | 2.80 | 1.80 | +1.00 |
| May 12, 2025 | -1.40 | -0.60 | -0.80 |
| Apr 11, 2025 | 1.10 | 0.10 | +1.00 |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2.00 | 0.60 | +1.40 |
| Feb 11, 2025 | 0.40 | 1.00 | -0.60 |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 1.90 | — | — |
| Dec 11, 2024 | 0.20 | 1.90 | -1.70 |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2.30 | 1.30 | +1.00 |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 2.20 | 1.10 | +1.10 |
| Sep 11, 2024 | 0.80 | 1.40 | -0.60 |
| Aug 12, 2024 | 1.70 | -0.80 | +2.50 |
| Jul 11, 2024 | -0.20 | -1.20 | +1.00 |
| Jun 11, 2024 | -1.80 | -0.50 | -1.30 |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 3.50 | 1.90 | +1.60 |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 2.60 | -0.90 | +3.50 |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1.70 | 0.10 | +1.60 |
| Jan 12, 2024 | 0.20 | 1.80 | -1.60 |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 2.00 | 0.30 | +1.70 |
| Nov 13, 2023 | -0.70 | -3.90 | +3.20 |
| Oct 11, 2023 | -4.70 | 0.90 | -5.60 |
| Sep 12, 2023 | 2.70 | -0.50 | +3.20 |
| Aug 11, 2023 | -0.10 | 2.00 | -2.10 |
| Jul 13, 2023 | 2.10 | 0.40 | +1.70 |
| Jun 13, 2023 | 0.90 | -3.60 | +4.50 |
| May 12, 2023 | 7.30 | 3.70 | +3.60 |
| Apr 12, 2023 | -6.50 | -3.60 | -2.90 |
| Mar 13, 2023 | 5.40 | -3.20 | +8.60 |
| Feb 13, 2023 | 4.80 | -0.40 | +5.20 |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1.50 | 0.50 | +1.00 |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1.40 | -1.20 | +2.60 |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 1.80 | — | — |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3.70 | 0.90 | +2.80 |
| Sep 13, 2022 | -0.30 | -1.10 | +0.80 |
| Aug 12, 2022 | -0.70 | -1.30 | +0.60 |
| Jul 14, 2022 | 1.90 | -1.30 | +3.20 |
| Jun 13, 2022 | 2.10 | -0.20 | +2.30 |
| Date | First print | Current | Revision |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 13, 2026 | 2.40 | 2.10 | -0.30 ↓ |
| Jun 16, 2026 | -1.70 | -1.60 | +0.10 ↑ |
| May 11, 2026 | 2.60 | 2.80 | +0.20 ↑ |
