The Balance of Trade is the difference between the monetary value of a nation's exports and imports over a specific period. A positive balance is known as a trade surplus, while a negative balance is a trade deficit. It is a major component of the current account and provides insights into a country's economic relationship with the rest of the world.
The figure is calculated by subtracting the total value of imported goods and services from the total value of exported goods and services. The data is collected from customs records and adjusted for seasonal factors.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2026 | — | -7.00 | — |
| Aug 28, 2026 | -7.34 | -7.40 | +0.06 |
| Aug 3, 2026 | -7.40 | -11.80 | +4.40 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | -10.37 | -10.40 | +0.03 |
| Jul 3, 2026 | -10.40 | -7.80 | -2.60 |
| Jun 30, 2026 | -5.61 | -5.60 | -0.01 |
| Jun 4, 2026 | -5.60 | -7.70 | +2.10 |
| May 22, 2026 | -8.50 | -8.51 | +0.01 |
| May 4, 2026 | -8.51 | -8.00 | -0.51 |
| Apr 30, 2026 | -11.20 | -11.30 | +0.10 |
| Mar 31, 2026 | -9.00 | -9.20 | +0.20 |
| Mar 3, 2026 | -9.20 | -6.70 | -2.50 |
| Feb 26, 2026 | -8.40 | -8.40 | 0.00 |
| Feb 2, 2026 | -8.40 | -7.70 | -0.70 |
| Jan 30, 2026 | -9.30 | -9.40 | +0.10 |
| Jan 6, 2026 | -9.40 | -9.30 | -0.10 |
| Dec 31, 2025 | -8.00 | -7.80 | -0.20 |
| Dec 4, 2025 | -7.80 | -8.30 | +0.50 |
| Nov 27, 2025 | -7.60 | -7.40 | -0.20 |
| Nov 4, 2025 | -7.40 | -5.70 | -1.70 |
| Oct 31, 2025 | -6.90 | -6.90 | 0.00 |
| Oct 2, 2025 | -6.90 | -4.60 | -2.30 |
| Sep 30, 2025 | -4.20 | -4.20 | 0.00 |
| Sep 3, 2025 | -4.20 | -5.80 | +1.60 |
| Aug 28, 2025 | -6.40 | -6.40 | 0.00 |
| Aug 4, 2025 | -6.40 | -7.50 | +1.10 |
| Jul 31, 2025 | -8.20 | -8.20 | 0.00 |
| Jul 2, 2025 | -8.20 | -2.60 | -5.60 |
| Jun 30, 2025 | -6.60 | -6.50 | -0.10 |
| Jun 2, 2025 | -6.50 | -8.70 | +2.20 |
| May 29, 2025 | -12.09 | -12.04 | -0.05 |
| May 2, 2025 | -12.04 | -9.20 | -2.84 |
| Apr 30, 2025 | -7.20 | -7.30 | +0.10 |
| Apr 4, 2025 | -7.30 | -5.90 | -1.40 |
| Mar 27, 2025 | -7.77 | -8.10 | +0.33 |
| Mar 4, 2025 | -8.10 | -7.40 | -0.70 |
| Feb 27, 2025 | -7.54 | -7.70 | +0.16 |
| Feb 3, 2025 | -7.70 | -9.40 | +1.70 |
| Jan 31, 2025 | -8.78 | -8.82 | +0.04 |
| Jan 6, 2025 | -8.82 | -5.10 | -3.72 |
| Dec 31, 2024 | -7.46 | -7.36 | -0.10 |
| Dec 4, 2024 | -7.36 | -5.75 | -1.61 |
| Nov 28, 2024 | -5.91 | -5.70 | -0.21 |
| Nov 4, 2024 | -5.74 | -5.60 | -0.14 |
| Oct 31, 2024 | -5.13 | -5.12 | -0.01 |
| Oct 4, 2024 | -5.12 | -3.70 | -1.42 |
| Sep 27, 2024 | -5.00 | -4.90 | -0.10 |
| Sep 5, 2024 | -4.90 | -5.00 | +0.10 |
| Aug 28, 2024 | -7.30 | -7.20 | -0.10 |
| Aug 2, 2024 | -7.20 | — | — |
| Jul 31, 2024 | -5.90 | -6.20 | +0.30 |
