The Economic Confidence Index is a composite indicator that aggregates the sentiment of both consumers and producers across various sectors. It reflects the general public's perception of the current economic situation and their expectations for the near future. High levels of confidence typically precede increased spending and investment, driving economic growth.
The index is calculated as a weighted average of several sub-indices, including consumer confidence, manufacturing, services, construction, and retail trade confidence indices.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | — | 98.00 | — |
| Aug 28, 2026 | 100.60 | 99.60 | +1.00 |
| Jul 30, 2026 | 99.80 | 98.40 | +1.40 |
| Jun 29, 2026 | 98.90 | 98.50 | +0.40 |
| May 25, 2026 | 97.20 | 96.50 | +0.70 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | 96.40 | 97.30 | -0.90 |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 99.40 | 99.70 | -0.30 |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 99.50 | 98.60 | +0.90 |
| Nov 27, 2025 | 99.50 | 98.50 | +1.00 |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 98.20 | 98.20 | 0.00 |
| Sep 29, 2025 | 98.00 | 98.20 | -0.20 |
| Aug 28, 2025 | 97.90 | 96.00 | +1.90 |
| Jul 30, 2025 | 96.30 | 96.70 | -0.40 |
| Jun 27, 2025 | 96.70 | 99.00 | -2.30 |
| May 28, 2025 | 96.70 | 97.00 | -0.30 |
| Apr 29, 2025 | 96.60 | 99.00 | -2.40 |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 100.80 | 99.10 | +1.70 |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 99.20 | 101.00 | -1.80 |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 99.70 | 98.30 | +1.40 |
| Dec 30, 2024 | 98.80 | 98.00 | +0.80 |
| Nov 28, 2024 | 97.10 | 98.70 | -1.60 |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 98.00 | 95.80 | +2.20 |
| Sep 27, 2024 | 95.00 | 95.00 | 0.00 |
| Aug 29, 2024 | 93.10 | 96.00 | -2.90 |
| Jul 30, 2024 | 94.40 | 97.00 | -2.60 |
| Jun 27, 2024 | 95.80 | 100.00 | -4.20 |
| May 30, 2024 | 98.20 | 100.00 | -1.80 |
| Apr 29, 2024 | 99.00 | 100.20 | -1.20 |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 100.00 | 99.40 | +0.60 |
| Feb 28, 2024 | 99.00 | 100.20 | -1.20 |
| Jan 30, 2024 | 99.40 | 96.80 | +2.60 |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 96.40 | 95.00 | +1.40 |
| Nov 29, 2023 | 95.30 | 98.20 | -2.90 |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 96.50 | 97.50 | -1.00 |
| Sep 28, 2023 | 95.40 | 96.10 | -0.70 |
| Aug 29, 2023 | 94.10 | 99.10 | -5.00 |
| Jul 28, 2023 | 99.30 | 100.20 | -0.90 |
| Jun 23, 2023 | 101.10 | 103.00 | -1.90 |
| May 29, 2023 | 103.70 | 101.90 | +1.80 |
| Apr 27, 2023 | 102.20 | 96.90 | +5.30 |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 98.80 | 101.50 | -2.70 |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 99.10 | 100.10 | -1.00 |
| Jan 30, 2023 | 99.30 | 99.60 | -0.30 |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 97.60 | 96.00 | +1.60 |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 96.90 | 97.70 | -0.80 |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 97.10 | — | — |
| Sep 29, 2022 | 94.30 | 93.00 | +1.30 |
| Aug 29, 2022 | 94.30 | 93.20 | +1.10 |
| Jul 28, 2022 | 93.40 | 94.00 | -0.60 |
| Jun 29, 2022 | 93.60 | 92.50 | +1.10 |
| May 26, 2022 | 96.70 | 95.00 | +1.70 |
