EPI = 100 − |inflation| − unemployment − deficit/GDP + GDP growth. Source: IMF WP/13/214 (Khramov & Lee, 2013).
Deficit/GDP sourced from Eurostat / INE 2024
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.3 | 3 | 3.2 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | ||
| 0.1 | -0.5 | 0.1 | In Line | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | ||
| 0.1 | -0.7 | 0.1 | In Line | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.7 | 5.7 | 5.6 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GDP Growth Rate YoY | 2.5 | 2.4 | 2.5 | In Line | ||
| 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.8 | In Line | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase | ||
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.4 | -0.8 | Beat | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | ||
| 3 | 2.7 | 2.5 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | ||
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -3632 | -2826 | -2980 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | ||
| -8.62 | -8.9 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |||
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -1.4 | -1.1 | -1.6 | Beat | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | ||
| -0.3 | -4.2 | 2.1 | Miss | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -6.7 | -7 | -7.3 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.1 | 3.2 | 3.2 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | ||
| 2.1 | 2.1 | 2.1 | In Line | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| CPI YoY | 3.3 | 3 | — | Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease |
| CPI MoM | 0.1 | -0.5 | — | Falling4th Consecutive Decrease |
| Producer Price Index YoY | 5.8 | 5.1 | 5.4 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |
| Producer Price Index MoM | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.5 | Beat | Falling4th Consecutive Decrease |
| Gross Domestic Product YoY |
| 2.5 |
| 2.4 |
| 2.5 |
| In Line |
| Rising4th Consecutive Increase |
| Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.8 | In Line | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase |
| GDP Annual Growth Rate YoY | -3.8 | -3.5 | — |
| Consumer Confidence |
| -20.5 |
| -22.6 |
| -23 |
| Beat |
| Rising4th Consecutive Increase |
| Business Confidence | 2.9 | 2.8 | 2.8 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| -303.42 |
| -624.1 |
| 295 |
| Miss |
| Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| Exports | 3.83 | — | — |
| Imports | 4.4 | — | — |
