The Year-over-Year Inflation Rate measures the percentage change in the price of a basket of goods and services compared to the same month in the previous year. It is the primary gauge of purchasing power and is used by central banks to determine monetary policy and interest rate adjustments. High inflation often leads to tighter monetary policy, while low inflation may prompt stimulus measures.
It is calculated by comparing the current Consumer Price Index (CPI) to the CPI value from one year ago. The formula used is ((Current CPI - Past CPI) / Past CPI) x 100.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2026 | — | 3.00 | — |
| Aug 31, 2026 | 3.30 | — | — |
| Aug 31, 2026 | 3.30 | 3.20 | +0.10 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | 3.00 | 3.60 | -0.60 |
| Jul 10, 2026 | 3.20 | 3.20 | 0.00 |
| Jul 10, 2026 | 3.20 | 3.20 | 0.00 |
| Jun 30, 2026 | 3.20 | 3.50 | -0.30 |
| Jun 12, 2026 | 3.30 | 3.30 | 0.00 |
| Jun 12, 2026 | 3.30 | 3.30 | 0.00 |
| May 29, 2026 | 3.30 | 3.40 | -0.10 |
| May 29, 2026 | 3.30 | — | — |
| May 13, 2026 | 3.30 | 3.40 | -0.10 |
| May 13, 2026 | 3.30 | 3.40 | -0.10 |
| Apr 30, 2026 | 2.70 | — | — |
| Apr 30, 2026 | 3.40 | 3.20 | +0.20 |
| Apr 13, 2026 | 2.70 | 2.70 | 0.00 |
| Apr 13, 2026 | 2.70 | 2.70 | 0.00 |
| Mar 31, 2026 | 2.70 | 2.40 | +0.30 |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 2.10 | 2.10 | 0.00 |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 2.10 | 1.90 | +0.20 |
| Feb 11, 2026 | 1.90 | 1.90 | 0.00 |
| Jan 30, 2026 | 1.90 | 2.20 | -0.30 |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2.20 | 2.20 | 0.00 |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2.20 | 2.20 | 0.00 |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 2.20 | 2.20 | 0.00 |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2.20 | 2.10 | +0.10 |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 2.30 | 2.30 | 0.00 |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 2.30 | 2.20 | +0.10 |
| Oct 10, 2025 | 2.40 | 2.40 | 0.00 |
| Sep 30, 2025 | 2.40 | 2.70 | -0.30 |
| Sep 10, 2025 | 2.80 | 2.80 | 0.00 |
| Aug 29, 2025 | 2.80 | 2.80 | 0.00 |
| Aug 12, 2025 | 2.60 | 2.60 | 0.00 |
| Jul 10, 2025 | 2.40 | 2.40 | 0.00 |
| Jun 30, 2025 | 2.40 | 2.40 | 0.00 |
| Jun 12, 2025 | 2.30 | 2.30 | 0.00 |
| May 30, 2025 | 2.30 | 2.20 | +0.10 |
| May 13, 2025 | 2.10 | 2.10 | 0.00 |
| May 2, 2025 | 2.10 | 1.80 | +0.30 |
| Apr 10, 2025 | 1.90 | 1.90 | 0.00 |
| Mar 31, 2025 | 1.90 | 2.30 | -0.40 |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 2.40 | 2.40 | 0.00 |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 2.40 | 2.60 | -0.20 |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 2.50 | 3.10 | -0.60 |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| Dec 30, 2024 | 3.00 | 2.60 | +0.40 |
| Dec 11, 2024 | 2.50 | 2.50 | 0.00 |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2.50 | 2.50 | 0.00 |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 2.30 | 2.30 | 0.00 |
| Date | First print | Current | Revision |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 10, 2026 | 3.20 | 3.20 | 0 ↓ |
| Apr 30, 2026 | 3.40 | 2.70 | -0.70 ↓ |
