Retail Sales MoM measures the monthly change in the total value of sales at the retail level, serving as the primary gauge of consumer spending. Since consumer spending accounts for a significant portion of overall economic activity, this indicator is a critical driver of GDP growth. It provides early insights into household consumption patterns and the underlying strength of the domestic economy.
The data is compiled from a survey of retail firms of various sizes and types. The figure is seasonally adjusted to account for holiday periods and trading day differences, though it is not adjusted for inflation.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2026 | — | -0.30 | — |
| Aug 28, 2026 | 0.00 | -0.80 | +0.80 |
| Jul 30, 2026 | 1.40 | 0.20 | +1.20 |
| Jun 29, 2026 | -0.20 | -0.30 | +0.10 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | -0.70 | -1.20 | +0.50 |
| May 4, 2026 | 1.80 | 0.40 | +1.40 |
| Mar 27, 2026 | -0.60 | -0.80 | +0.20 |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2.00 | 2.50 | -0.50 |
| Jan 29, 2026 | -3.20 | -0.60 | -2.60 |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2.30 | 0.50 | +1.80 |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 0.20 | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| Oct 1, 2025 | -0.70 | 0.20 | -0.90 |
| Sep 1, 2025 | 0.10 | 0.50 | -0.40 |
| Jul 31, 2025 | 1.80 | -0.80 | +2.60 |
| Jul 1, 2025 | 2.20 | 0.30 | +1.90 |
| Jun 2, 2025 | -0.20 | 0.10 | -0.30 |
| May 2, 2025 | -0.60 | -0.30 | -0.30 |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 0.00 | -0.60 | +0.60 |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 0.10 | -0.30 | +0.40 |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 0.70 | 0.60 | +0.10 |
| Dec 30, 2024 | 0.50 | 0.10 | +0.40 |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 0.80 | 0.70 | +0.10 |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 0.90 | -0.50 | +1.40 |
| Sep 30, 2024 | 1.20 | 0.60 | +0.60 |
| Aug 29, 2024 | -0.80 | 0.90 | -1.70 |
| Jul 29, 2024 | 0.70 | 0.80 | -0.10 |
| Jun 28, 2024 | 0.30 | -0.90 | +1.20 |
| May 29, 2024 | 1.60 | 0.20 | +1.40 |
| Apr 1, 2024 | -0.40 | -0.60 | +0.20 |
| Jan 30, 2024 | 0.70 | -0.60 | +1.30 |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 3.10 | 1.10 | +2.00 |
| Nov 30, 2023 | -0.40 | 0.50 | -0.90 |
| Oct 30, 2023 | -0.30 | 2.00 | -2.30 |
| Sep 29, 2023 | -3.00 | — | — |
| Aug 29, 2023 | 1.10 | — | — |
| Jul 28, 2023 | -1.60 | — | — |
| Jun 29, 2023 | 3.20 | — | — |
| May 30, 2023 | -1.40 | — | — |
| May 2, 2023 | 2.20 | — | — |
| Mar 30, 2023 | -0.10 | — | — |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1.50 | — | — |
| Jan 30, 2023 | -3.10 | — | — |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 1.70 | — | — |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 0.50 | — | — |
| Oct 28, 2022 | -2.00 | — | — |
| Sep 30, 2022 | 1.00 | — | — |
| Aug 30, 2022 | 0.70 | — | — |
| Jul 29, 2022 | -1.90 | — | — |
| Jun 30, 2022 | 1.40 | — | — |
| May 30, 2022 | -3.00 | — | — |
| Date | First print | Current | Revision |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | 1.70 | 1.40 | -0.30 ↓ |
| Jun 29, 2026 | 0.30 | -0.20 | -0.50 ↓ |
| Jun 1, 2026 | -1.50 | -0.70 | +0.80 ↑ |
| Mar 27, 2026 | 0.70 | -0.60 | -1.30 ↓ |
