EPI = 100 − |inflation| − unemployment − deficit/GDP + GDP growth. Source: IMF WP/13/214 (Khramov & Lee, 2013).
Deficit/GDP sourced from Norges Bank 2024
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 4.25 | 4.5 | In Line | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.4 | 3.3 | 3.6 | Miss | Rising4th Consecutive Increase | ||
| 3 | 3 | 3.1 | Miss |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2.1 | 2.1 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | ||
| 64.4 | 64.2 | — | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GDP Growth Rate YoY | 2 | 1.6 | 1.1 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |
| 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.5 | Beat | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.4 | 2.6 | 2.9 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | ||
| 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.1 | Beat | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6 | -0.6 | 0.2 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | ||
| 0.6 | -0.3 | -0.3 | Beat | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 105 | 100.6 | 88.1 | Beat | Rising5th Consecutive Increase | ||
| Trade Balance | 36.9 | 59.9 | — | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manufacturing PMI | 53 | 48.2 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | ||
| -11.1 | -4.9 | — | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 4.3 | 4.3 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | ||
| M3 Money Supply | 3617.4 | 3645.5 | — | Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease |
| Inflation Rate MoM | 0.5 | -0.3 | 0.6 | Miss | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| Core Inflation Rate MoM | 0.2 | -0.5 | 0.1 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| CPI | 2.7 | 3.6 | — | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| CPI YoY | 2.7 | 3.1 | 3.2 | Miss | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |
| CPI MoM | -0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | Miss | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |
| Producer Price Index YoY | 48.8 | 30.1 | 34 | Beat | Rising4th Consecutive Increase | |
| Core Inflation Rate | 3 | 3 | 3.1 | Miss | ||
| Core CPI | 3 | 2.7 | 3 | In Line | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| Unemployed Persons | 61.3 | 61.9 | 62.3 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| Registered Jobless Rate | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2.1 | In Line |
| Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.4 | Miss | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase |
| Gross Domestic Product MoM | -2.6 | 3.5 | — | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| GDP Growth Mainland QoQ | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.4 | Miss | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| GDP Mainland MoM | -0.1 | 0.4 | — | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| Household Consumption MoM | 0.9 | 0 | 0.2 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| Consumer Confidence | -16.6 | -18.1 | -18 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| Business Confidence | -8 | -8 | -6 | Miss |
| Current Account | 279 | 248.2 | 195 | Beat | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase |
| Industrial Production MoM | -3.2 | 0.6 | — | Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease |
| Manufacturing Production YoY | 1.5 | -3 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| Manufacturing Production MoM | -0.4 | 0.7 | 0.1 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| Industrial Confidence | 2.6 | 1.4 | -1 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |
| DNB Manufacturing PMI | 53 | 48.2 | 48.5 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |
| NIMA Manufacturing PMI | 53.7 | 54.9 | 50.2 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |
| 0.3 | 0.3 | — |
| Credit Indicator | 4.5 | 4.3 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| Money Supply | 3474.8 | 3422.1 | — | Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease |
