Measures the change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy compared to the previous quarter. It is the primary indicator of economic health and growth. High growth suggests a robust economy, while negative growth indicates contraction.
Calculated by comparing the total value of goods and services produced in the current quarter to the previous quarter, adjusted for inflation. It uses the expenditure approach, summing consumption, investment, government spending, and net exports.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 27, 2026 | 0.70 | 0.50 | +0.20 |
| May 28, 2026 | 0.40 | 0.90 | -0.50 |
| Feb 9, 2026 | -0.60 | 0.20 | -0.80 |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1.10 | 0.40 | +0.70 |
| Aug 21, 2025 | 0.80 | 0.50 | +0.30 |
| May 15, 2025 | -0.10 | 0.50 | -0.60 |
| Feb 11, 2025 | -0.60 | 0.60 | -1.20 |
| Nov 21, 2024 | -1.80 | 0.50 | -2.30 |
| Aug 22, 2024 | 1.40 | 0.30 | +1.10 |
| May 16, 2024 | 0.20 | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 1.50 | 0.60 | +0.90 |
| Nov 23, 2023 | -0.50 | 0.30 | -0.80 |
| Aug 22, 2023 | 0.00 | 0.10 | -0.10 |
| May 12, 2023 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 0.20 | — | — |
| Nov 18, 2022 | 1.50 | — | — |
| Aug 18, 2022 | 0.70 | 0.70 | 0.00 |
| May 13, 2022 | -1.00 | -1.30 | +0.30 |
| Feb 16, 2022 | 0.10 | — | — |
| Nov 19, 2021 | 3.80 | 3.30 | +0.50 |
| Date | First print | Current | Revision |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2026 | -0.30 | -0.60 | -0.30 ↓ |
