The Core Inflation Rate Year-over-Year tracks the percentage change in the prices of consumer goods and services over the last 12 months, excluding food and energy. This annual perspective is vital for understanding the sustained trajectory of inflation and its impact on purchasing power over time. It is a primary reference point for cost-of-living adjustments and long-term economic planning. Central banks use this metric to gauge whether inflation is trending toward their long-term targets.
The index compares the current month's Core CPI level to the level from the same month in the previous year to determine the annual percentage growth.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2026 | — | 3.80 | — |
| Aug 10, 2026 | 2.70 | 2.40 | +0.30 |
| Jul 15, 2026 | 2.70 | 3.40 | -0.70 |
| Jun 10, 2026 | 3.40 | 3.20 | +0.20 |
| May 11, 2026 | 3.20 | 3.20 | 0.00 |
| Apr 10, 2026 | 3.00 | 3.10 | -0.10 |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3.00 | 3.20 | -0.20 |
| Feb 10, 2026 | 3.40 | 3.00 | +0.40 |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 3.10 | 3.00 | +0.10 |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 3.00 | 3.10 | -0.10 |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 3.40 | 3.00 | +0.40 |
| Oct 10, 2025 | 3.00 | 3.10 | -0.10 |
| Sep 10, 2025 | 3.10 | 3.10 | 0.00 |
| Aug 11, 2025 | 3.10 | 2.90 | +0.20 |
| Jul 10, 2025 | 3.10 | 3.00 | +0.10 |
| Jun 10, 2025 | 2.80 | 2.80 | 0.00 |
| May 9, 2025 | 3.00 | 3.20 | -0.20 |
| Apr 10, 2025 | 3.40 | 3.40 | 0.00 |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 3.40 | 2.90 | +0.50 |
| Feb 10, 2025 | 2.80 | 2.50 | +0.30 |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 2.70 | 2.80 | -0.10 |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3.00 | 2.70 | +0.30 |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 2.70 | 2.90 | -0.20 |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3.10 | 3.30 | -0.20 |
| Sep 10, 2024 | 3.20 | 3.30 | -0.10 |
| Aug 9, 2024 | 3.30 | 3.30 | 0.00 |
| Jul 10, 2024 | 3.40 | 3.60 | -0.20 |
| Jun 10, 2024 | 4.10 | 4.10 | 0.00 |
| May 10, 2024 | 4.40 | 4.30 | +0.10 |
| Apr 10, 2024 | 4.50 | 4.70 | -0.20 |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 4.90 | 5.30 | -0.40 |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 5.30 | 5.20 | +0.10 |
| Jan 10, 2024 | 5.50 | 5.60 | -0.10 |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 5.80 | 6.00 | -0.20 |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 6.00 | 5.60 | +0.40 |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 5.70 | 6.10 | -0.40 |
| Sep 11, 2023 | 6.30 | 6.60 | -0.30 |
| Aug 10, 2023 | 6.40 | 6.30 | +0.10 |
| Jul 10, 2023 | 7.00 | 6.60 | +0.40 |
| Jun 9, 2023 | 6.70 | 6.20 | +0.50 |
| May 10, 2023 | 6.30 | 6.10 | +0.20 |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 6.20 | 6.10 | +0.10 |
| Mar 10, 2023 | 5.90 | 6.30 | -0.40 |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 6.40 | 6.10 | +0.30 |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 5.80 | 5.70 | +0.10 |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 5.70 | 6.00 | -0.30 |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 5.90 | 5.50 | +0.40 |
| Oct 10, 2022 | 5.30 | 4.90 | +0.40 |
| Sep 9, 2022 | 4.70 | 4.80 | -0.10 |
| Aug 10, 2022 | 4.50 | 3.80 | +0.70 |
| Jul 11, 2022 | 3.60 | 3.60 | 0.00 |
