The Core Inflation Rate Month-over-Month measures the change in the price of goods and services sold to consumers, excluding the volatile food and energy sectors. By removing these fluctuating components, the indicator provides a more stable and accurate view of underlying long-term inflation trends. Central banks, particularly the Federal Reserve, closely monitor core figures to help determine future monetary policy and interest rate adjustments. A reading higher than forecast is generally seen as bullish for the currency.
Calculated by the Bureau of Labor Statistics using the Consumer Price Index (CPI) formula, but specifically filtering out items classified under food and energy categories.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2026 | — | 0.10 | — |
| Aug 10, 2026 | 0.80 | 0.50 | +0.30 |
| Jul 15, 2026 | -0.10 | 0.40 | -0.50 |
| Jun 10, 2026 | 0.40 | 0.20 | +0.20 |
| May 11, 2026 | 0.70 | 0.70 | 0.00 |
| Apr 10, 2026 | 0.10 | 0.20 | -0.10 |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 0.70 | 0.80 | -0.10 |
| Feb 10, 2026 | 0.30 | -0.10 | +0.40 |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 0.10 | -0.20 | +0.30 |
| Dec 10, 2025 | -0.30 | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 0.60 | 3.00 | -2.40 |
| Oct 10, 2025 | 0.20 | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| Sep 10, 2025 | -0.70 | -0.70 | 0.00 |
| Aug 11, 2025 | 0.80 | 0.60 | +0.20 |
| Jul 10, 2025 | 0.50 | 0.40 | +0.10 |
| Jun 10, 2025 | 0.20 | 0.30 | -0.10 |
| May 9, 2025 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 |
| Apr 10, 2025 | 0.20 | 0.10 | +0.10 |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 1.00 | 0.40 | +0.60 |
| Feb 10, 2025 | 0.10 | — | — |
| Jan 10, 2025 | -0.10 | 0.20 | -0.30 |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 0.10 | 0.20 | -0.10 |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 0.30 | 0.40 | -0.10 |
| Sep 10, 2024 | -0.70 | -0.20 | -0.50 |
| Aug 9, 2024 | 0.80 | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| Jul 10, 2024 | 0.20 | 0.50 | -0.30 |
| Jun 10, 2024 | 0.50 | — | — |
| May 10, 2024 | 0.90 | 0.80 | +0.10 |
| Apr 10, 2024 | 0.20 | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 0.40 | 0.70 | -0.30 |
| Jan 10, 2024 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Dec 11, 2023 | -0.20 | -0.10 | -0.10 |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 0.60 | 0.30 | +0.30 |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 0.40 | 0.70 | -0.30 |
| Sep 11, 2023 | -0.60 | -0.30 | -0.30 |
| Aug 10, 2023 | 0.90 | 0.80 | +0.10 |
| Jul 10, 2023 | 0.90 | 1.00 | -0.10 |
| Jun 9, 2023 | 0.70 | 0.40 | +0.30 |
| May 10, 2023 | 1.00 | 0.70 | +0.30 |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 0.60 | 0.30 | +0.30 |
| Mar 10, 2023 | 0.70 | 1.00 | -0.30 |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 0.20 | -0.10 | +0.30 |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 0.40 | 0.20 | +0.20 |
| Dec 9, 2022 | -0.10 | 0.20 | -0.30 |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 0.30 | 0.20 | +0.10 |
| Oct 10, 2022 | 1.00 | 0.60 | +0.40 |
| Sep 9, 2022 | -0.50 | -0.40 | -0.10 |
| Aug 10, 2022 | 1.50 | 0.80 | +0.70 |
| Jul 11, 2022 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 |
| Jun 10, 2022 | 0.40 | 0.10 | +0.30 |
