Loan Growth YoY measures the annual percentage change in the total outstanding balance of loans provided by the banking sector to the economy. It is a critical barometer of credit availability and the effectiveness of a central bank's monetary policy transmission. Robust loan growth typically indicates strong business confidence and consumer spending, which supports economic expansion. Conversely, a slowdown in loan growth can signal tightening credit conditions or weakening domestic demand.
Calculated by comparing the total stock of outstanding bank loans at the end of the current month to the same month of the previous year. The data is typically aggregated from commercial bank balance sheets by the central bank.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2026 | — | 4.30 | — |
| Aug 24, 2026 | 4.30 | 4.60 | -0.30 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | 4.40 | 4.50 | -0.10 |
| Jun 22, 2026 | 4.50 | 4.30 | +0.20 |
| May 26, 2026 | 4.40 | 4.50 | -0.10 |
| Apr 27, 2026 | 4.50 | 4.40 | +0.10 |
| Mar 23, 2026 | 4.60 | 4.20 | +0.40 |
| Feb 24, 2026 | 4.40 | 4.50 | -0.10 |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 4.40 | 3.80 | +0.60 |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3.90 | 3.90 | 0.00 |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 3.90 | 3.60 | +0.30 |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 3.80 | 4.10 | -0.30 |
| Sep 29, 2025 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| Aug 25, 2025 | 4.10 | 4.00 | +0.10 |
| Aug 1, 2025 | 4.10 | 4.00 | +0.10 |
| Jun 25, 2025 | 4.10 | 4.20 | -0.10 |
| May 26, 2025 | 4.10 | 4.00 | +0.10 |
| Apr 30, 2025 | 3.80 | 3.20 | +0.60 |
| Mar 26, 2025 | 3.60 | 3.40 | +0.20 |
| Feb 26, 2025 | 3.60 | 3.10 | +0.50 |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3.30 | 3.50 | -0.20 |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 3.60 | 3.80 | -0.20 |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3.80 | 3.60 | +0.20 |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3.70 | 3.70 | 0.00 |
| Sep 25, 2024 | 3.80 | 3.80 | 0.00 |
| Aug 23, 2024 | 3.70 | 3.30 | +0.40 |
| Aug 1, 2024 | 3.60 | 3.00 | +0.60 |
| Jun 25, 2024 | 3.10 | 3.10 | 0.00 |
| May 27, 2024 | 3.20 | 3.40 | -0.20 |
| Apr 30, 2024 | 3.50 | 3.00 | +0.50 |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 3.50 | 3.30 | +0.20 |
| Feb 23, 2024 | 3.50 | 3.30 | +0.20 |
| Jan 29, 2024 | 3.40 | 3.60 | -0.20 |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 3.70 | 3.40 | +0.30 |
| Nov 23, 2023 | 3.70 | 4.00 | -0.30 |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 4.10 | 3.80 | +0.30 |
| Sep 25, 2023 | 4.00 | — | — |
| Aug 23, 2023 | 4.20 | 4.20 | 0.00 |
| Aug 3, 2023 | 4.30 | 4.90 | -0.60 |
| Jun 22, 2023 | 5.00 | 5.20 | -0.20 |
| May 25, 2023 | 5.30 | 5.30 | 0.00 |
| Apr 27, 2023 | 5.20 | — | — |
| Mar 24, 2023 | 5.40 | 5.30 | +0.10 |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 5.30 | — | — |
| Jan 30, 2023 | 5.50 | — | — |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 5.40 | — | — |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 5.20 | — | — |
| Oct 31, 2022 | 5.10 | — | — |
| Sep 23, 2022 | 5.20 | — | — |
| Aug 24, 2022 | 5.20 | — | — |
| Aug 4, 2022 | 5.10 | — | — |
| Date | First print | Current | Revision |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2026 | 4.40 | 4.50 | +0.10 ↑ |