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India

AsiaINR
Compare with other countries
Interest Rate Decision4%
GDP Growth Rate YoY7.8

Currency

USDINR94.957
+0.02%

Stock Index

BSE Sensex76,380.81
-0.73%

Central Bank

Reserve Bank of India4.00%

Benchmark

Refreshed: 2026-04-25
94A
Coverage: 4/4

EPI = 100 − |inflation| − unemployment − deficit/GDP + GDP growth. Source: IMF WP/13/214 (Khramov & Lee, 2013).

GDP growth+7.8%
Inflation+3.4%
Unemployment+5.1%
Deficit / GDP-5.6%

Deficit/GDP sourced from Govt of India Budget 2024

Economic Indicators

Central Bank

(1)
Economic IndicatorsHistoryActualPreviousForecastSurpriseTrendFrequency
5.255.255.25In Line—
In Line
Actual
5.25
Previous
5.25

Upcoming Releases

Sep 2
11:30
M3 Money Supply YoY
Sep 4
11:30
Deposit Growth YoY
Sep 4
11:30
Foreign Exchange Reserves
Sep 4
11:30
Bank Loan Growth YoY
Sep 11
02:00
Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI
Sep 11
11:30

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Forecast
5.25

Inflation

(5)
Economic IndicatorsHistoryActualPreviousForecastSurpriseTrendFrequency
Inflation Rate YoY4.454.384.5MissRising5th Consecutive Increase—
Inflation Rate MoM0.881.030.5BeatFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
3.212.733.1BeatRising5th Consecutive Increase—
CPI YoY4.454.384.5MissRising5th Consecutive Increase—
9.789.879.95MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Miss
Actual
4.45
Previous
4.38
Forecast
4.5
Rising5th Consecutive Increase
Beat
Actual
0.88
Previous
1.03
Forecast
0.5
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Beat
Actual
3.21
Previous
2.73
Forecast
3.1
Rising5th Consecutive Increase
CPI YoY
Miss
Actual
4.45

Employment

(1)
Economic IndicatorsHistoryActualPreviousForecastSurpriseTrendFrequency
Unemployment Rate5.15.55.4MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Unemployment Rate
Miss
Actual
5.1
Previous
5.5
Forecast
5.4
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease

Growth

(4)
Economic IndicatorsHistoryActualPreviousForecastSurpriseTrendFrequency
GDP Growth Rate YoY7.87.87.1Beat—
Gross Domestic Product YoY7.87.87.1Beat—
-0.50.7—Rising2nd Consecutive Increase—
Fiscal Year GDP Growth7.77.17.6BeatRising3rd Consecutive Increase—
GDP Growth Rate YoY
Beat
Actual
7.8
Previous
7.8
Forecast
7.1
Beat
Actual
7.8
Previous
7.8
Forecast
7.1
Actual
-0.5
Previous
0.7
Forecast
—
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Fiscal Year GDP Growth
Beat
Actual

Consumer

(1)
Economic IndicatorsHistoryActualPreviousForecastSurpriseTrendFrequency
MNI Consumer Sentiment Indicator112.7111.6——
MNI Consumer Sentiment Indicator
Actual
112.7
Previous
111.6
Forecast
—

Trade

(5)
Economic IndicatorsHistoryActualPreviousForecastSurpriseTrendFrequency
Balance of Trade-86.1-83.4—Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
Trade Balance-32.15-26.49—Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
-4.26.5-7.4BeatFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
44.240.4—Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
76.270.84—Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Actual
-86.1
Previous
-83.4
Forecast
—
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
Actual
-32.15
Previous
-26.49
Forecast
—
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Beat
Actual
-4.2
Previous
6.5
Forecast
-7.4
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Actual
44.2

Manufacturing

(10)
Economic IndicatorsHistoryActualPreviousForecastSurpriseTrendFrequency
Manufacturing PMI52.853.552.9MissFalling4th Consecutive Decrease—
Services PMI54.553.353.8BeatRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
Composite PMI54.654.354.4BeatRising2nd Consecutive Increase—
6.78.86BeatFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
7.39.55.5BeatFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Miss
Actual
52.8
Previous
53.5
Forecast
52.9
Falling4th Consecutive Decrease
Beat
Actual
54.5
Previous
53.3
Forecast
53.8
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Composite PMI
Beat
Actual
54.6
Previous
54.3
Forecast
54.4
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Beat
Actual
Show all indicators (10)Hide extra indicators
6.35.8—Rising3rd Consecutive Increase—
7.39.5—Rising2nd Consecutive Increase—
8.297.488.5MissRising2nd Consecutive Increase—

Government

(2)
Economic IndicatorsHistoryActualPreviousForecastSurpriseTrendFrequency
Government Budget Value-4551.4-3078-7000BeatFalling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
External Debt762.8765.5779MissFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Beat
Actual
-4551.4
Previous
-3078
Forecast
-7000
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
Miss
Actual
762.8
Previous
765.5
Forecast
779
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease

Other

(18)
Economic IndicatorsHistoryActualPreviousForecastSurpriseTrendFrequency
Bank Loan Growth YoY18.319.3—Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Foreign Exchange Reserves729.33716.91—Rising5th Consecutive Increase—
14.214.7—Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
14.715.4—Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
5.462.2BeatRising3rd Consecutive Increase—
Actual
18.3
Previous
19.3
Forecast
—
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Actual
729.33
Previous
716.91
Forecast
—
Rising5th Consecutive Increase
Actual
14.2
Previous
14.7
Forecast
—
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Actual
14.7
Show all indicators (18)Hide extra indicators
20.0527.4120BeatFalling3rd Consecutive Decrease—
5.445.49—Rising4th Consecutive Increase—
6.656.146.6BeatFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Foreign Exchange Reserves
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Interest Rate Decision
Interest Rate Decision
Previous
4.38
Forecast
4.5
Rising5th Consecutive Increase
WPI Inflation YoY
Miss
Actual
9.78
Previous
9.87
Forecast
9.95
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
7.7
Previous
7.1
Forecast
7.6
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
Previous
40.4
Forecast
—
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Imports
Actual
76.2
Previous
70.84
Forecast
—
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
6.7
Previous
8.8
Forecast
6
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Manufacturing Production YoY
Beat
Actual
7.3
Previous
9.5
Forecast
5.5
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Nikkei Services PMI49.650.250.4MissFalling5th Consecutive Decrease—
Nikkei Manufacturing PMI52.152.751.7BeatFalling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Industrial Production
Actual
6.3
Previous
5.8
Forecast
—
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
Manufacturing Output MoM
Actual
7.3
Previous
9.5
Forecast
—
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
WPI Manufacturing YoY
Miss
Actual
8.29
Previous
7.48
Forecast
8.5
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Nikkei Services PMI
Miss
Actual
49.6
Previous
50.2
Forecast
50.4
Falling5th Consecutive Decrease
Beat
Actual
52.1
Previous
52.7
Forecast
51.7
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Previous
15.4
Forecast
—
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Infrastructure Output YoY
Beat
Actual
5.4
Previous
6
Forecast
2.2
Rising3rd Consecutive Increase
Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI65.2667.08—Rising2nd Consecutive Increase—
Passenger Vehicles Sales YoY31.218.2—Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Cash Reserve Ratio333In Line—
Passenger Vehicles Sales MoM3.24.3—Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease—
Reverse Repo Rate3.353.353.55Miss—
Bank Loan Growth9.210.4——
Loan Growth YoY14.714.8——
Money Supply14.514.5——
Official Foreign Reserves294.76295.25——
Wholesale Prices YoY6.846.626.5Beat—
WPI Fuel YoY
Beat
Actual
20.05
Previous
27.41
Forecast
20
Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease
WPI Food YoY
Actual
5.44
Previous
5.49
Forecast
—
Rising4th Consecutive Increase
WPI Food Index YoY
Beat
Actual
6.65
Previous
6.14
Forecast
6.6
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI
Actual
65.26
Previous
67.08
Forecast
—
Rising2nd Consecutive Increase
Actual
31.2
Previous
18.2
Forecast
—
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
In Line
Actual
3
Previous
3
Forecast
3
Actual
3.2
Previous
4.3
Forecast
—
Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease
Miss
Actual
3.35
Previous
3.35
Forecast
3.55
Actual
9.2
Previous
10.4
Forecast
—
Actual
14.7
Previous
14.8
Forecast
—
Actual
14.5
Previous
14.5
Forecast
—
Actual
294.76
Previous
295.25
Forecast
—
Beat
Actual
6.84
Previous
6.62
Forecast
6.5
CPI
WPI Inflation YoY
Inflation Rate YoY
Inflation Rate MoM
CPI
Gross Domestic Product QoQ
Gross Domestic Product YoY
Gross Domestic Product QoQ
Current Account
Exports
Imports
Balance of Trade
Trade Balance
Current Account
Exports
Industrial Production YoY
Manufacturing Production YoY
Manufacturing PMI
Services PMI
Industrial Production YoY
Industrial Production
Manufacturing Output MoM
WPI Manufacturing YoY
Government Budget Value
External Debt
M3 Money Supply YoY
Deposit Growth YoY
Infrastructure Output YoY
Bank Loan Growth YoY
Foreign Exchange Reserves
M3 Money Supply YoY
Deposit Growth YoY
WPI Fuel YoY
WPI Food YoY
WPI Food Index YoY
Nikkei Manufacturing PMI
Passenger Vehicles Sales YoY
Cash Reserve Ratio
Passenger Vehicles Sales MoM
Reverse Repo Rate
Bank Loan Growth
Loan Growth YoY
Money Supply
Official Foreign Reserves
Wholesale Prices YoY