The Government Budget Value, often released as the Monthly Budget Statement, tracks the difference between the federal government's monthly receipts and outlays. A positive value indicates a budget surplus, while a negative value represents a deficit. This indicator is crucial for understanding the nation's fiscal health, its borrowing requirements, and the overall impact of government spending on the economy.
The data is compiled by the Bureau of the Fiscal Service by aggregating reports from various federal agencies and the Federal Reserve. It is calculated by subtracting total monthly outlays from total monthly receipts on a cash basis.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2026 | — | -5700.00 | — |
| Aug 31, 2026 | -4551.40 | -7000.00 | +2448.60 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | -3078.00 | -5400.00 | +2322.00 |
| Jun 30, 2026 | -1624.00 | -5500.00 | +3876.00 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | -3623.00 | -1700.00 | -1923.00 |
| Mar 30, 2026 | -15191.70 | -13100.00 | -2091.70 |
| Feb 27, 2026 | -9814.00 | -12500.00 | +2686.00 |
| Jan 30, 2026 | -8558.40 | -9990.00 | +1431.60 |
| Dec 31, 2025 | -9766.70 | -9200.00 | -566.70 |
| Nov 28, 2025 | -8251.00 | -7580.00 | -671.00 |
| Oct 31, 2025 | -5731.00 | -8100.00 | +2369.00 |
| Sep 30, 2025 | -5980.00 | -5500.00 | -480.00 |
| Aug 29, 2025 | -4684.20 | -4000.00 | -684.20 |
| Jul 31, 2025 | -2807.30 | -102.00 | -2705.30 |
| Jun 30, 2025 | -131.60 | -4800.00 | +4668.40 |
| May 30, 2025 | -15772.70 | -13900.00 | -1872.70 |
| Mar 28, 2025 | -13468.50 | -15600.00 | +2131.50 |
| Feb 28, 2025 | -11695.00 | -10500.00 | -1195.00 |
| Jan 31, 2025 | -9140.90 | -9700.00 | +559.10 |
| Dec 31, 2024 | -8465.90 | — | — |
| Nov 29, 2024 | -7508.20 | — | — |
| Oct 30, 2024 | -4745.20 | -5200.00 | +454.80 |
| Sep 30, 2024 | -4351.80 | -3200.00 | -1151.80 |
| Aug 30, 2024 | -2769.50 | -1500.00 | -1269.50 |
| Jul 31, 2024 | -1357.10 | -675.00 | -682.10 |
| Jun 28, 2024 | -506.20 | -9500.00 | +8993.80 |
| May 31, 2024 | -2101.40 | -14500.00 | +12398.60 |
| Mar 28, 2024 | -15014.00 | -13880.00 | -1134.00 |
| Feb 29, 2024 | -11026.00 | -9980.00 | -1046.00 |
| Jan 31, 2024 | -9823.00 | -10250.00 | +427.00 |
| Dec 29, 2023 | -9066.00 | -10500.00 | +1434.00 |
| Nov 30, 2023 | -8037.00 | -8150.00 | +113.00 |
| Oct 31, 2023 | -7018.60 | -7200.00 | +181.40 |
| Sep 29, 2023 | -6428.00 | -6200.00 | -228.00 |
| Aug 31, 2023 | -6055.90 | -4720.00 | -1335.90 |
| Jul 31, 2023 | -4513.70 | -4340.00 | -173.70 |
| Jun 30, 2023 | -2102.87 | -2600.00 | +497.13 |
| May 31, 2023 | -17331.00 | -16200.00 | -1131.00 |
| Mar 31, 2023 | -14539.00 | -12400.00 | -2139.00 |
| Feb 28, 2023 | -11908.00 | -10100.00 | -1808.00 |
| Jan 31, 2023 | -9929.80 | -595.00 | -9334.80 |
| Dec 30, 2022 | -9781.50 | -8800.00 | -981.50 |
| Nov 30, 2022 | -7581.40 | -6800.00 | -781.40 |
| Oct 31, 2022 | -6198.50 | -449.80 | -5748.70 |
| Sep 30, 2022 | -5416.00 | -4900.00 | -516.00 |
| Aug 31, 2022 | -3408.00 | -3700.00 | +292.00 |
| Jul 29, 2022 | -3518.71 | -224.80 | -3293.91 |
| Jun 30, 2022 | -2039.20 | -11000.00 | +8960.80 |
| May 31, 2022 | -15865.37 | -1730.00 | -14135.37 |
| Mar 31, 2022 | -13166.00 | — | — |
| Feb 28, 2022 | -9378.68 | -8000.00 | -1378.68 |
| Date | First print | Current | Revision |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 1, 2026 | -15,191.7 | -3,623 | +11,568.7 ↑ |
| Mar 30, 2026 | -12,526.5 | -15,191.7 | -2,665.2 ↓ |
