EPI = 100 − |inflation| − unemployment − deficit/GDP + GDP growth. Source: IMF WP/13/214 (Khramov & Lee, 2013).
Deficit/GDP sourced from Eurostat / HCSO 2024
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | In Line |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.5 | Beat | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase | ||
| 1.9 | 2 | 2.1 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.8 | 4.6 | 4.6 | Beat | Rising4th Consecutive Increase | ||
| 8.4 | 7.5 | 7.6 | Beat | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 | In Line | ||
| 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.4 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21.9 | -12.2 | 4.9 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -0.6 | — | -0.3 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | ||
| 2.4 | 4.9 | 4 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -481 | 449 | 400 | Miss | Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease | ||
| 557 | 452 | — | Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53.2 | 51.5 | 51.5 | Beat | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase | ||
| 8.7 | 4.7 | 8.7 | In Line |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -92.8 | -2311 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |||
| 5.36 | 5.82 | — | Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.58 | 48.23 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |||
| New Car Sales YoY | 8.2 | 31.1 | — | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| Inflation Rate MoM | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | Miss |
| CPI | 0.1 | 0.3 | — | Falling5th Consecutive Decrease |
| CPI YoY | 1.9 | 2.1 | — | Falling4th Consecutive Decrease |
| CPI MoM | 0.3 | 0.1 | — | |||
| Producer Price Index YoY | 4.8 | 1 | 2 | Beat | Rising4th Consecutive Increase |
| Gross Domestic Product YoY | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 | In Line |
| GDP Annual Growth Rate YoY | -2.7 | — | — |
| Current Account | -0.25 | 0.35 | 1 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| Balance of Trade MoM | -480.9 | 69 | — | Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease |
| Industrial Production MoM | 0.7 | 0.3 | — |
| HALPIM Manufacturing PMI | 51.3 | 51.4 | 51.5 | Miss | Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease |
| 3-Year Bond Auction | 5.6 | 5.9 | — | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| 5-Year Bond Auction | 5.49 | 5.91 | — | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| 15-Year Bond Auction | 5.6 | 5.11 | — |
| 20-Year Bond Auction | 5.68 | 5.42 | — |
| New Car Sales MoM | -19.8 | 31.1 | — | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| New Car Registrations MoM | -30.5 | 10.9 | — | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| New Car Registrations YoY | -9.2 | 0.4 | — | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| Base Rate | 10 | 10.75 | 9.75 | Beat | Falling5th Consecutive Decrease | |
| Deposit Interest Rate | 9 | 9.75 | 8.75 | Beat | ||
| MNB Interest Rate Decison | 3.2 | 3.4 | 3.2 | In Line | Falling5th Consecutive Decrease |
